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BEYOND SYRIA IRAQ

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FINANCING<br />

methodology. In the decade following 9/11, an international regime was developed<br />

to counter al-Qaeda-style financing, disrupting international transfers by<br />

deep-pocket donors and setting standards for transparency in charities to guard<br />

against the diversion of funds to terrorist organizations.<br />

In Iraq and Syria, IS effectively took advantage of multiple preexisting<br />

dynamics to enrich itself quickly after taking territory. These included a<br />

high concentration of natural resources and established smuggling networks<br />

needed to monetize them; a sizable population and sufficient economic<br />

activity to tax and extort; and opportunities to loot valuable goods, including<br />

machinery and weapons, as well as bank branches, from which it is reported<br />

to have taken as much as $1 billion.<br />

The Islamic State did not develop this expertise overnight. For more than<br />

a decade its predecessors, al-Qaeda in Iraq (AQI) and the Islamic State in<br />

Iraq, had acted according to the strategic decision to derive revenues locally<br />

to avoid foreign dependence and direction. These practices included sales<br />

of stolen goods, black-market fuel sales, and large-scale extortion, closely<br />

resembling an organized-crime operation engaged initially in petty criminality<br />

and later in extortion of the oil sector and contracting, according to<br />

a RAND Corporation assessment of recovered financial documents. 2 The<br />

same review suggests AQI revenue sources were volatile, and funds were<br />

expended mostly at the local level, with little surplus made available to the<br />

organization. This is likely because of the emphasis on rapid expansion;<br />

functioning as a terrorist organization and an insurgency with aspirations<br />

of statehood is expensive.<br />

Likewise, despite its prosperity in 2014, IS’s considerable expenses created<br />

vulnerabilities that the government of Iraq, along with the U.S.-led Counter-<br />

ISIL Coalition, has effectively exploited. One well-known example is the<br />

August 2015 cutoff of Iraqi federal government salaries to employees in IScontrolled<br />

territories, which hindered the Islamic State’s ability to derive revenue<br />

from them through extortion. Previously, employees could collect their<br />

salaries just outside IS-controlled territory, and IS would tax the funds at a rate<br />

of 10–50 percent once they reentered. Additionally, a change in military tactics<br />

beginning in November 2015 allowed greater use of coalition airstrikes to target<br />

oil wells and refineries, as well as oil convoys, reducing the Islamic State’s<br />

oil revenue by an estimated 30 percent. 3 Finally, perhaps the greatest impact on<br />

IS’s bottom line has been the territorial losses: as of mid-2016, the Islamic State<br />

had lost nearly half the territory it had once controlled in Iraq and 20 percent<br />

in Syria, meaning fewer local resources—including people—to extort.<br />

45

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