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BEYOND SYRIA IRAQ

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KATHERINE BAUER<br />

area from which the province and its predecessors profited. It is important<br />

to note that, despite Sinai’s reliance on core funding, its funding needs are<br />

relatively small. Sinai Province does not control territory and only boasts<br />

about a thousand fighters. Its financial demands are small enough that<br />

the core should be able to sustain it without putting heavy strains on its<br />

own finances<br />

CONCLUSION<br />

While coalition efforts have yielded tangible successes, continued efforts<br />

to detect and disrupt Islamic State financing will be crucial in the ongoing<br />

fight. Three areas in particular will determine the coalition’s success on the<br />

financial front.<br />

The first is the Islamic State’s use of banks and exchange houses just outside<br />

IS-controlled territory to get access to the formal financial sector. U.S.<br />

officials have said exchange houses are likely important points for such access.<br />

In December 2015, the Central Bank of Iraq banned from its currency auctions<br />

more than one hundred exchange houses suspected of being used by<br />

the Islamic State. Regional regulators can take similar action by identifying<br />

and taking out of commission both formal and informal financial institutions<br />

that are being exploited by the Islamic State.<br />

The second area is the detection and disruption of funds transfers to<br />

Islamic State provinces outside Syria and Iraq. Although the provinces have<br />

preexisting methods of financing themselves, identifying external funding<br />

streams serves as a valuable source of intelligence for mapping out ties<br />

between the core and provinces, while exposing them will make it harder to<br />

send and receive funds.<br />

The last area important to the coalition’s success on the financial front is<br />

the ongoing targeting of oil infrastructure under IS control and attempts to<br />

rebuild it. This would not only help to contain the Islamic State; it would<br />

also pressure the Assad regime, IS’s primary external partner for oil sales.<br />

NOTES<br />

1. The Center for the Analysis of Terrorism estimated in its May 2016 report, “ISIS<br />

Financing 2015,” that the total revenue of the Islamic State was $2.9 billion in 2014<br />

and $2.4 billion in 2015.<br />

2. Patrick B. Johnston et al., Foundations of the Islamic State: Management, Money and<br />

Terror in Iraq, 2005–2010 (Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 2016).<br />

48

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