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KARL MARX

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LONDON 217<br />

of the changing political scene in France during 1848-49 against a background<br />

of class and economic interest. Marx's general judgement on the<br />

failure of the recent revolutionary upsurge was given to the opening<br />

words:<br />

With the exception of only a few chapters, every more important part<br />

of the annals of the revolution from 1848 to 1849 carries the heading:<br />

Defeat of the revolution!<br />

What succumbed in these defeats was not the revolution. It was the<br />

pre-revolutionary traditional appendages, results of social relationships<br />

which had not yet come to the point of sharp class antagonisms -<br />

persons, illusions, conceptions, projects from which the revolutionary<br />

party before the February Revolution was not free, from which it could<br />

be freed not by the victory of February, but only by a series of defeats.<br />

In a word: the revolution made progress, forged ahead, not by its<br />

immediate tragicomic achievements, but, on the contrary, by the<br />

creation of a powerful, united counter-revolution, by the creation of an<br />

opponent in combat with whom, only, the party of overthrow ripened<br />

into a really revolutionary party. 33<br />

Marx continued with an analysis of the July Monarchy, likening it to a<br />

joint-stock company with the state continually kept on the verge of<br />

bankruptcy so that the bankers and brokers could speculate on its debts<br />

to the ruin of the small investor. 34 The resulting general discontent<br />

erupted into revolution with the severe effect on French industry of the<br />

1845-46 commercial and industrial crisis in England. But the provisional<br />

government set up after the February barricades could do no more than<br />

mirror the disagreements of the various classes that had created it. It was<br />

to some extent a criticism of his own past actions in Germany when<br />

Marx declared that it was an illusion for the workers to have hoped for<br />

emancipation alongside the bourgeoise or inside the national walls of<br />

France. The inevitable result of the May elections, he continued, was a<br />

bourgeois republic against which the workers could but revolt in vain.<br />

But their very defeat only prepared a future victory:<br />

. .. the June defeat has created all the conditions under which France<br />

can seize the initiative of the European revolution. Only after being<br />

dipped in the blood of the June insurgents did the tri-colour become<br />

the flag of the European revolution - the red flag!<br />

And we exclaim: The revolution is dead! - Long live the revolution! ,s<br />

Marx's second article discussed the contradictions of the new constitution<br />

promulgated in the autumn of 1848 and the opportunities this<br />

afforded Louis Napoleon, who won an overwhelming victory in the presidential<br />

elections in December. Napoleon was the only man who had

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