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Education Sector Strategic Plan 2004-2015 - Planipolis

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Projected Population<br />

Matriculation Rates<br />

Repeater Rates<br />

Age<br />

Under 5<br />

6<br />

7<br />

8 or older<br />

P,<br />

P2<br />

P3<br />

P4<br />

P5<br />

P6<br />

P7<br />

ESTIMATES OF ENROLLMENTS AND COSTS<br />

With Policies from the Budget Workshop<br />

(People in thousands; Ush in billions)<br />

<strong>2004</strong>-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15<br />

1,334 1,379 1,426 1,475 1,525 1,577 1,630 1,686 1,743 1,802 1,863<br />

1,175 1,215 1,256 1,299 1,343 1,389 1,436 1,485 1,536 1,588 1,642<br />

1,098 1,136 1,175 1,215 1,256 1,299 1,343 1,389 1,436 1,485 1,535<br />

952 1,080 1,118 1,156 1,196 1,236 1,278 1,322 1,367 1,413 1,461<br />

935 936 1,063 1,100 1,138 1,176 1,216 1,258 1,301 1,345 1,390<br />

910 933 934 1,061 1,098 1,135 1,174 1,214 1,255 1,298 1,342<br />

900 909 933 933 1,060 1,097 1,134 1,173 1,213 1,254 1,297<br />

892 899 909 932 933 1,059 1,096 1,133 1,172 1,212 1,253<br />

863 891 898 908 931 932 -1,057 1,095 1,132 1,171 1,210<br />

834 862 890 898 907 930 931 1,056 1,094 1,131 1,169<br />

809 833 862 890 897 906 929 930 '1,055 1,093 1,130<br />

785 809 833 861 889 896 905 928 929 1,054 1,092<br />

776 785 808 832 860 -888 895 904 927 928 1,053<br />

751 776 784 807 831_ 859 887 894 903 926 927<br />

728 751 775 783 806 830 858 886 893 902 925<br />

709 727 750 774 782 805 829 857 885 892 901<br />

685 708 726 749 773 782 805 829 856 884 891<br />

661 684 707 725 748 773 781 804 828 856 883<br />

15,798 16,315 16,847 17,397 17,972 18,568 19,185 19,842 20,524 21,233 21,966<br />

0.200 0.170 0.150 0.100 0.100 0.100 0.100 0.100 0.100 0.100 0.100<br />

0.780 0.800 0.800 0.750 0.750 0.750 0.750 0.750 0.750 0.750 0.750<br />

0.360 0.300 0.200 0.100 0.100 0.100 0.100 0.100 0.100 0.100 0.100<br />

0.110 0.080 0.050 0.050 0.050 0.050 0.050 0.050 0.050 0.050 0.050<br />

1.450 1,350 1.200 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000<br />

0.135 0.130 0.125 0.120 0.115 0.110 0.110 0.110 0.110 0.110 0.110<br />

0.095 0.090 0.085 0.080 0.075 0.070 0.070 0.070 0.070 0.070 0.070<br />

0.095 0.090 0.085 0.080 0.075 0.070 0.070 0.070 0.070 0.070 0.070<br />

0.095 0.090 0.085 0.080 0.075 0.070 0.070 0.070 0.070 0.070 0.070<br />

0.095 0.090 0.085 0.080 0.075 0.070 0.070 0.070 0.070 0.070 0.070<br />

0.095 0.090 0.085 0.080 0.075 0.070 0.070 0.070 0.070 0.070 0.070<br />

0.075 _ 0.070 0.065 0.060 0.055 0.050 0.050 0.0501 0.050 0.050 0.050<br />

Model with Reforms<br />

c

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