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Education Sector Strategic Plan 2004-2015 - Planipolis

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Leavers from.<br />

Repeated<br />

Teacher Requirements<br />

Enrolment Projection<br />

Pupil/Teacher Ratio<br />

Demand for Teachers<br />

Ouput of Teachers<br />

Stock of Teachers<br />

Wage Bill (Billions Ush)<br />

WithRealGrowth inSalariesof 3.5% a Year<br />

Capitation Payment<br />

Building Maintenance<br />

Teacher Training<br />

TOTAL DIRECT COSTS<br />

Classroom Construction<br />

Pupils per Classroom<br />

Classrooms Required:<br />

Cost of Classroom Construction<br />

Non Classroom Space<br />

SI<br />

S2<br />

S3<br />

S4<br />

S5<br />

S6<br />

SI<br />

S2<br />

S3<br />

S4<br />

S5<br />

S6<br />

ESTIMATES OF ENROLLMENTS AND COSTS<br />

With Policies from the Budget Workshop<br />

(People in thousands; Ush in billions)<br />

<strong>2004</strong>-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15<br />

19 23 27 31 37 40 42 44 45 41 41<br />

19 20 24 29 33 40 44 46 48 49 44<br />

18 16 18 21 25 29 35 38 40 42 42<br />

99 107 96 103 124 146 170 206 223 234 245<br />

3 3 3 3 3 4 5 5 7 7 7<br />

2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 5<br />

3 3 4 5 6 7 7 8 8 8 7<br />

5<br />

4<br />

31 4<br />

5<br />

4<br />

1<br />

5<br />

4<br />

4<br />

1<br />

6<br />

4<br />

3<br />

1<br />

7<br />

5<br />

4<br />

1<br />

8<br />

6 ,,<br />

4<br />

1<br />

9<br />

7<br />

5<br />

1<br />

10<br />

9<br />

6<br />

1<br />

11<br />

10<br />

7<br />

2<br />

11<br />

10<br />

8<br />

2<br />

11<br />

10<br />

8<br />

2<br />

1 1 1 1 2 1 2 2 2 2 3<br />

897 963 1061 1207 1410 1618 1809 1974 2091 2120 2126<br />

22 23 25 26 27 28 28 29 29 30 30<br />

40,759 41,885 42,429 46,428 52,229 57,787 64,602 68,071 72,103 70,650 70,883<br />

3,312 3,001 2,470 5,951 7,937 7,960 9,473 6,440 7,164 1,863 3,482<br />

39,253 40,759 41,885 42,429 46,428 52,229 57,787 64,602 68,071 72,103 70,650<br />

103.6 107.6 110.6 112.0 122.6 137.9 152.6 170.5 179.7 190.4 186.5<br />

107.3 115.3 122.6 128.5 145.6 169.5 194.1 224.6 244.9 268.5 272.3<br />

26.0 27.9 30.8 35.0 40.9 46.9 52.5 57.2 60.6 61.5 61.7<br />

8.6 9.2 10.2 11.6 13.5 15.5 17.4 19.0 20.1 20.3 20.4<br />

5.0 4.5 3.7 8.9 11.9 11.9 14.2 9.7 10.7 2.8 5.2<br />

146.8 157.0 167.2 184.1 211.9 243.9 278.1 310.4 336.4 353.1 359.6<br />

511 501 501 491 491 481 481 471 471 461 451<br />

17582 19267 21214 24635 28780 33709 37685 42001 44489 46076 47255<br />

37.1 42.5 70.1 84.6 100.4 84.8 92.5 60.7 45.2 38.3 30.8<br />

37.1 42.5 70.1 84.6 100.4 84.8 92.5 60.7 45.2 38.3 30.8<br />

Model with Reforms

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