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CES VŠEM o aktuálních ekonomických problémech

CES VŠEM o aktuálních ekonomických problémech

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influencing and determining behaviour of individual exchange<br />

rates may be heterogeneous. Given the aforementioned<br />

problems (for discussion see below), the Pesaran's CADF test<br />

(allowing for contemporaneous correlation) seems to be the<br />

most reliable one in our case (allowing for different speeds of<br />

adjustment). Its results can be roughly compared to those results<br />

of the LLC and IPS tests.<br />

Table 11: Panel unit root tests – baseline specification<br />

no trend<br />

trend<br />

test t. statistics P-value t. statistics P-value<br />

LLCa) Unadjusted -4.8890 -6.9911<br />

Adjusted ( ) -2.2347 0.0127 -1.1975 0.1156<br />

IPSa) -0.7993 0.2120 -0.1869 0.4259<br />

H-LMa) 102.4918 0.0000 62.5401 0.0000<br />

H-LMa), b) 86.4370 0.0000 55.4475 0.0000<br />

M-Wa), c) Z -5.4454 0.0000 0.0030 0.5012<br />

M-Wa), d) Z -0.6834 0.2472 -0.3226 0.3735<br />

CADFe) -2.413 -3.114<br />

Z[-bar] -2.384 0.009 -3.117 0.001<br />

Note: a) demeaned time series. b) robust option; c) DF, drift; Inverse normal<br />

Z statistics reported, d) PP, drift; Inverse normal Z statistics reported,<br />

e) truncated – approximation of extreme values of the distribution.<br />

Source: own calculations.<br />

However, it does not imply that the PPP has been rejected as<br />

within a group of countries or certain subgroups it may behave<br />

differently (Dufrénot and Sanon, 2005). Therefore, various<br />

subgroups of countries were created and employed (see the<br />

section below). Another problem (for details see Sarno and<br />

Taylor, 2003) is that the variable nature of the relationship<br />

between exchange rates and price indices for individual units of<br />

a panel may lead to ambiguous results. Additionally, the results<br />

of our empirical analysis must be interpreted with caution, as we<br />

have to rely on a limited number of countries (cross sections, ,<br />

100

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