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CES VŠEM o aktuálních ekonomických problémech

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parameter heterogeneity). Additionally, there may be a bias<br />

associated with small samples in the data (Chen and Engel, 2004)<br />

that may have an impact on results. 78<br />

The second group encompasses various direct and indirect (nonmarket)<br />

measures applied in an economy. One of them can be in<br />

the form of exchange rate arrangements such as the ERM II. This<br />

may have restricted the exchange rates of NMS countries and<br />

therefore the results of URTs or pURTs may be inconclusive. The<br />

euro as a benchmark for our analysis may also influence our<br />

results, as it was an artificial currency in the 1990s. However, this<br />

choice seems to be rational, since the US dollar has lost its<br />

importance in the NMS countries and the euro/ECU has gained<br />

significance due to European integration process. Moreover,<br />

some authors argue that the RER are not I(1) but rather I(0)<br />

process that has a nonlinear (deterministic) trend or with<br />

structural breaks. This may give support to the notion of a 'quasi-<br />

PPP' or 'a relaxed version of PPP' (for discussion see e.g. Cuestas<br />

and Regis, 2008).<br />

Another example is mentioned in the study by Brissimis al.<br />

(2005). The authors claim that monetary authority's<br />

interventions in the foreign market targeting a certain level of<br />

exchange rate may result in the inability to confirm PPP<br />

empirically even though it holds. Additionally, Taylor (2004) puts<br />

forward that interventions may lead to RER displaying nonlinear<br />

behaviour, e.g. with I(1) type of behaviour within a certain band,<br />

and I(0) outside. 79 For example, some countries have been using<br />

inflation targeting and exchange rate is an important part of this.<br />

An exchange rate has direct and indirect impacts on inflation.<br />

Finally, the last group incorporates empirical problems and<br />

problems of econometric methods. One of them may be a group<br />

78 Robertson al. (2009) surveys literature and discuss sources of these biases in<br />

depth. It also shows how important these biases for a development country are<br />

(Mexico compared to the US).<br />

79 The Bierens (1997) test should account for this.<br />

109

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