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Trends<br />

emanating from a single statistical source, for the older age groups<br />

of the population. 2<br />

Before the age of 55, unemployment benefit is the most important<br />

source of income for those not working. For men older than 55, the<br />

number of unemployed increases and after old-age pensions<br />

unemployment benefit is the largest category of income. For<br />

women, unemployment remains at roughly the same level. Perhaps<br />

the most striking feature of these figures is the large number of<br />

elderly people whose main source of non-wage income is sickness<br />

benefit. Among 40-year-olds only 500 to 1,000 people per age class<br />

receive sickness benefit, with a similar pattern for both men and<br />

women. However, after the age of 50 the number of women on<br />

sickness benefit increases dramatically. Indeed this is the main<br />

source of income for women between the ages of 55 and 61. For<br />

practically all ages between 55 and 64 more people receive their<br />

main income from sickness benefit than they do from disability<br />

pensions.<br />

Thus, it is relatively uncommon that an individual leaves work<br />

directly to a disability pension. <strong>The</strong> most common path is via either<br />

unemployment or sick benefit. Among all those who do not work in<br />

these age groups, 256,000 received their main income in 1999 from a<br />

disability pension.<br />

<strong>The</strong> category “pension” includes the state pension, private pensions<br />

and those regulated by collective agreements. From the age of 59<br />

and onwards the pension is the most important source of income for<br />

those not working. Men take up pensions slightly earlier than<br />

women.<br />

While the cross-sectional data presented in Figures 3(a) and 3(b) could<br />

be interpreted in a life-cycle perspective, it is of course of interest to<br />

observe how the various categories in these figures have varied during<br />

the last decade.<br />

Figure 3(a): Main source of income outside the labour market, men aged 40-64 in 1999. 3<br />

4000<br />

3500<br />

3000<br />

2500<br />

2000<br />

1500<br />

1000<br />

500<br />

Disability pension<br />

Sick benefit<br />

Unemployed<br />

Pension<br />

<strong>The</strong> total number of newly-awarded disability pensions is at roughly<br />

the same level in 2000 as in 1990, but the number has almost halved<br />

for the 60 to 64-year-olds (see Figure 4). Moreover, there was<br />

considerable variation during the 1990s for 55 to 59-year-olds.<br />

Numbers increased up to 1993, in the wake of the severe recession of<br />

the early 1990s, but subsequently declined up to the end of the 1990s<br />

only to increase rather rapidly in 2000. Indeed the recent increase<br />

contributes largely to the total figure.<br />

We noted from the Figures 3(a) and 3(b) above that sickness benefit<br />

is an important main source of income for many older workers and<br />

particularly women in their mid-fifties. <strong>The</strong> increase in sickness<br />

benefit is probably the single most prominent labour market issue<br />

currently in Sweden and has increased dramatically since the mid<br />

1990s. From Table 3 one can observe that even during the last four<br />

year period for which there is compatible data (1998–2001), the<br />

number of days of sickness benefit has almost doubled. <strong>The</strong> highest<br />

number of days of sickness benefit is for women in the age class 55-<br />

59. For men, the age groups 55-59 and 60-64 show roughly the same<br />

levels. One can note appreciably higher figures for women in all the<br />

age groups presented. It can also be noted that women work<br />

predominately in the public sector.<br />

One should note that the data in Table 4 does not include the first 14<br />

days of sickness, which is paid by the employer. As most sick periods<br />

are shorter than 14 days, the figures are appreciably higher than<br />

presented above. Statistics from the Employers Federation for<br />

Industry show a monotonic increase in the length of sickness benefit<br />

as age increases. Thus, the duration of the period of sickness benefit<br />

explains a major part of the high figures for older workers. A<br />

comparison of the declining disability pension figures and the<br />

increasing sickness benefit figures may suggest some degree of<br />

substitution from disability pensions to sickness benefit in the last<br />

decade.<br />

0<br />

40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64<br />

2 This data comes from RAMS at Statistics Sweden and was kindly provided by Martin Lagnerö.<br />

3 <strong>The</strong> category of unemployed also includes social assistance recipients and those in active labour market policy measures. Sickness benefit includes also those with<br />

income from work injury benefit and other payments due to illness. <strong>The</strong>re are other main sources of income, such as parental leave, education grants and capital<br />

income, but these are relatively few and are not included in the figure.<br />

150 Spring 2003 | European Employment Observatory Review

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