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Gulf and European Energy Supply Security - Feem-project.net

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<strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Security</strong>: Potential for EU-GCC Cooperation<br />

Taxation Policies<br />

Export taxes are a tool not only to extract at least<br />

part of the rent generated by oil <strong>and</strong> gas production,<br />

but also to favor domestic consumers by creating<br />

a differential between domestic <strong>and</strong> international<br />

prices. When it comes to oil, an export tax is a very<br />

rudimentary form of taxation <strong>and</strong>, accordingly, is<br />

rarely used.<br />

The most important <strong>and</strong> widely debated case<br />

of export taxes on crude oil exports is that of the<br />

Russia Federation. Export taxes on crude oil also<br />

exist in Argentina <strong>and</strong> Vietnam. China has had an<br />

export tax on offshore oil produced by foreign joint<br />

venture partners since 2006. Kazakhstan imposed<br />

an export tax on crude oil in 2003, but abolished it as<br />

of January 2009. The Russian export duty has been<br />

identified as a disincentive to exp<strong>and</strong> production.<br />

Oil companies lack stimulus to increase production<br />

because of the high tax burden. Oil export duties<br />

are still a very important source of revenue for the<br />

Russian state treasury, providing for more than half<br />

the oil <strong>and</strong> gas revenue of the federal budget, <strong>and</strong>,<br />

therefore, about one-fifth of all budget revenues.<br />

In the longer run, it is likely that export taxes <strong>and</strong><br />

duties on crude oil will be substituted for by other,<br />

more effective <strong>and</strong> less distorting forms of taxation.<br />

Exports may be restricted because the government<br />

pursues a market intervention strategy (whatever the<br />

target of the same) <strong>and</strong> modulates exported volumes<br />

in order to achieve certain price objectives.<br />

The obvious case is collective action by OPEC<br />

to impose <strong>and</strong> modulate quotas. OPEC quotas are<br />

imposed on total production, not on exports – but<br />

in fact the determination of quota levels is primarily<br />

influenced by international market conditions <strong>and</strong><br />

accumulation of stocks, <strong>and</strong> domestic requirements<br />

are added to whatever is believed to be the optimal<br />

volumes of crude oil to be added to the market.<br />

Non-OPEC oil exporters may also place<br />

restrictions on exports in cases of severe weakness<br />

in oil prices: they are then “encouraged” to align<br />

themselves to OPEC practices either explicitly or<br />

implicitly.<br />

Domestic Pricing Policies<br />

It is very common for oil <strong>and</strong> gas producers<br />

– indeed, for a large number of developing countries<br />

– to enforce domestic prices which are lower than<br />

international prices.<br />

The problem might not exist if international prices<br />

were more stable <strong>and</strong> increased only gradually. But<br />

the wide swings <strong>and</strong> price explosions as experienced<br />

in the first half of 2008 are difficult to pass on to<br />

domestic consumers in countries which export the<br />

vast majority of their oil <strong>and</strong> gas. As hydrocarbons<br />

are generally sold by government-owned entities,<br />

increasing domestic prices will shift purchasing<br />

power from the population to the government at a<br />

time when the latter is likely to be already flush with<br />

cash.<br />

Obviously, artificially low domestic prices<br />

will tend to result in relatively higher dem<strong>and</strong>,<br />

discouraging conservation <strong>and</strong> the efficient use of<br />

energy as well as the development of alternatives.<br />

All of the above are in prominent display in many<br />

developing countries, notably the oil producers.<br />

The use of lower domestic prices as a tool<br />

for encouraging industrialization <strong>and</strong> economic<br />

diversification is, however, a separate matter <strong>and</strong><br />

is quite more defensible than enforcing low prices<br />

to the final consumer. Offering low-cost inputs is<br />

a valid <strong>and</strong> effective industrial <strong>and</strong> development<br />

policy, <strong>and</strong> has yielded excellent results. The impact<br />

of this policy on global energy supplies is minimal,<br />

<strong>and</strong> concerns about security of supply do not offer a<br />

valid reason for criticism.<br />

Conclusions on Restrictions on Exports<br />

Our analysis has shown that restrictions on<br />

exports are widespread <strong>and</strong> take multiple forms.<br />

The problem is more acute for natural gas, but<br />

domestic dem<strong>and</strong> may be favored over exports<br />

also in the case of oil <strong>and</strong> oil products. All forms<br />

of restrictions are, in a sense, a threat to security<br />

of supply, because they result in lower production<br />

<strong>and</strong> exports ceteris paribus. Depending on one’s<br />

view of available resources <strong>and</strong> of the likelihood<br />

of supplies peaking because of the physical<br />

<strong>and</strong> technological impossibility of maintaining<br />

production, the fact that production is lower than<br />

might otherwise be the case shall be considered<br />

good or bad. Some view high oil <strong>and</strong> gas prices as

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