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CP13/6 - CRD IV for Investment Firms - Financial Conduct Authority

CP13/6 - CRD IV for Investment Firms - Financial Conduct Authority

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FCA 2013/xx<br />

(3) further adjust the statistical PD to the extent necessary to take account<br />

of the following:<br />

(a)<br />

any likely differences between the observed default rates over<br />

the period covered by the firm's default experience and the<br />

long-run PD <strong>for</strong> each grade required by article 180(1)(a) and<br />

(2)(a) of the EU CRR; and<br />

(b)<br />

any other in<strong>for</strong>mation that indicates (taking into account the<br />

robustness and cogency of that in<strong>for</strong>mation) that the statistical<br />

PD is likely to be an inaccurate estimate of PD.<br />

4.3.75 G The FCA expects a firm to take into account only defaults that occurred<br />

during periods that are relevant to the validation under the EU CRR of the<br />

model or other rating system in question when determining whether there are<br />

20 defaults or fewer.<br />

Supervisory slotting criteria <strong>for</strong> specialised lending<br />

4.3.76 G Until the regulatory technical standards specified in article 153(9) of the EU<br />

CRR come into <strong>for</strong>ce, we would expect a firm to assign exposures to the risk<br />

weight category <strong>for</strong> specialised lending exposures based on the criteria set out<br />

in the tables in IFPRU 4 Annex 1G (Slotting criteria).<br />

Negative LGDs<br />

4.3.77 G The FCA expects a firm to ensure that no LGD estimate is less than zero.<br />

Low LGDs<br />

4.3.78 G The FCA does not expect a firm to be using zero LGD estimates in cases<br />

other than where it had cash collateral supporting the exposures.<br />

4.3.79 G The FCA expects a firm to justify any low LGD estimates using analysis on<br />

volatility of sources of recovery, notably on collateral, and cures. This<br />

includes:<br />

(1) recognising that the impact of collateral volatility on low LGDs is<br />

asymmetric as surpluses over amounts owed need to be returned to<br />

borrowers and that this effect may be more pronounced when<br />

estimating downturn, rather than normal period LGDs; and<br />

(2) recognising the costs and discount rate associated with realisations<br />

and the requirements of article 181(1)(e) of the EU CRR.<br />

4.3.80 G To ensure that the impact of collateral volatility is taken into account, the<br />

FCA expects a firm’s LGD framework to include non-zero LGD floors which<br />

are not solely related to administration costs (see article 179(1)(f) of the EU<br />

CRR).<br />

Treatment of cures<br />

4.3.81 G Where a firm wishes to include cures in its LGD estimates, the FCA expects it<br />

to do this on a cautious basis, with reference to both its current experience<br />

and how this is expected to change in downturn conditions. In particular, this<br />

involves being able to articulate clearly both the precise course of events that<br />

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