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Source - Vi.potsdam.ny.us - Potsdam

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<strong>Potsdam</strong> Municipal Airport - Master Plan – Phase 1 Report<br />

CHAPTER 3 - FORECASTS OF AVIATION<br />

DEMAND<br />

Aviation demand forecasts are a key element in airport planning studies. Demand<br />

forecasts, based upon the desires and needs of the service area, provide a basis for<br />

determining the type, size and timing of aviation facility development and a platform<br />

upon which this master planning study will be based. Consequently, these forecasts<br />

influence all phases of the planning process.<br />

The aviation demand forecasts will serve four purposes in the development of the<br />

master plan. Specifically, they provide for:<br />

• Determining the necessary capacity of the airfield, apron, and ground access<br />

system serving the Airport.<br />

• Determining the Airport's role and resulting size and type of facility<br />

development.<br />

• Evaluating the potential environmental effects, such as noise, due to the<br />

Airport's development and operation, and<br />

• Evaluating the financial feasibility of alternative airport development<br />

proposals.<br />

Data is available from the New York State Department of Transportation and the<br />

FAA in the form of the New York State Aviation Activity Forecasts (NYSAAF)<br />

Study, the New York State Aviation System Plan (SASP), the National Plan of<br />

Integrated Airport Systems (NPIAS), and the FAA Terminal Area Forecasts (TAF).<br />

This information serves as a comparative basis of forecasting aviation demand at<br />

<strong>Potsdam</strong> Municipal Airport for the planning period. Specific portions of these<br />

statewide and federal planning studies will be referenced, compared, and adj<strong>us</strong>ted to<br />

more accurately reflect the present and expected future conditions at the Airport.<br />

Forecasts of aviation demand require the evaluation of the following variables:<br />

• Based aircraft by category<br />

• Fleet mix by aircraft type<br />

• Aircraft operations (itinerant and local)<br />

• Peak period activity<br />

3-1

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