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Figure 7.1 Net receipts of official flows,<br />
by source, 1970-83<br />
ment profiles that often match the nature and character-<br />
Multilateral flows<br />
istics of projects more closely than most bank loans do.<br />
Billions of dollars<br />
However, there have been many cases of export 8 Official development<br />
credits' supporting inappropriate and poorly designed I - I_ assistance<br />
projects, promoting an excessive amount of borrowing, 6 ,Nonconcessional<br />
N'<br />
leading to overpricing of goods, or being an instrument<br />
lending<br />
of corruption. In recent years several developing coun- 4 /<br />
tries have used short-term export credits to finance their<br />
longer-term investments, thus exacerbating their exter- 2<br />
nal debt position. Such problems arise because the basic<br />
purpose of export credits is the promotion of exports, 0<br />
not development; and some developing countries do not 1970 1973 1976 1979 1982<br />
have any machinery for reviewing and controlling the Bilateral official development assistance<br />
use of export credits.<br />
Bilions of dolars<br />
In order to promote their exports, industrial countries 19<br />
have often provided credits on concessional terms. In the<br />
DAC countries<br />
late 1970s, they sought to reduce the rapidly expanding 15<br />
use of subsidized loans. Under the OECD Consensus,<br />
they adopted guidelines on the terms and conditions of<br />
export credits, including mninimum interest rates and 10<br />
maximum maturities. Many developing countries, however,<br />
view this agreement not as an effort to improve the 5<br />
quality of export credits, but rather as a cartel that<br />
`> -7 OPEC members<br />
reduces interest rate competition and increases the cost -- Nonmarket<br />
of export credits. 0 economies and<br />
To increase the contribution that export credits can 1970 1973 1976 1979 1982 other<br />
make to longer-term programs of structural reform and<br />
faster economic growth in developing countries, all gov- Source: OECD 1984.<br />
ernments need to address two issues: first, how to<br />
encourage export credit agencies to resume guarantees<br />
and insurance to developing countries that are implementing<br />
adjustment programs; and second, recognizing This chapter focuses on four issues.<br />
that the basic objective of export credit agencies is to<br />
* The basic arguments for official assistance and<br />
promote exports, what steps to take to enhance the the way that the motives and objectives of donors<br />
developmental impact of export credits. One key to both can influence the effectiveness of their assistance<br />
objectives may be to increase the availability and use of programs.<br />
information on adjustment and investment programs of<br />
The criticisms that have been leveled against<br />
individual developing countries.<br />
aid.<br />
* The attempts that have been made to measure<br />
the impact of these official flows on development.<br />
included are the private and religious relief agen- * Recent efforts to make aid more effective.<br />
cies such as CARE, the Red Cross, and Catholic<br />
Relief Services; their role is discussed in Box 7.3. Changing perceptions of development<br />
Since 1980 the dollar value of the various types<br />
of ODA has stagnated or fallen (see Figure 7.1). On The nature of official flows is strongly influenced<br />
present prospects little or no real increase is likely by the way that donors and recipients perceive<br />
for the foreseeable future. The recent decline has development. The success of the Marshall Plan in<br />
occurred in the face of a continuing need for sub- the 1940s and 1950s led many to believe that a simistantial<br />
external capital flows and a slowdown in lar transfer of capital to developing countries<br />
the growth of commercial lending. It highlights the would, despite their physical, human, and instituneed<br />
to ensure that external capital is put to the tional limitations, achieve similar results. The early<br />
best possible use by the recipients. For that, the model of development therefore placed nearly<br />
developing countries' own economic policies have total emphasis on increasing physical capital to<br />
an important role to play-an issue discussed in raise production and income and to alleviate pov-<br />
Chapter 4.<br />
erty. This strategy meant investing not only in<br />
97