World Bank Document

Table 19. Population growth and projections
Average annual growth
Hypothetical
size of
Assumed
year of
of population Population stationary reaching net Population
(percent) (millions) population reproduction momentum
1965-73 1973-83 1980-2000 1983 19,a 2000a (millions) rate of 1 1985
Low-incomeconomies
China and India
2.6 w
2.5 w
2.0 w
1.8 w
1.8 w
1.5 w
2,342 t
1,752 t
2,663 t
1,950 t
3,154t
2,236 t
Other low-income 2.6 w 2.6 w 2.6 w 590 t 713 t 918 t
Sub-Saharan Africa 2.6 w 2.8 w 3.0 w 245 t 304 t 408 t
1 Ethiopia 2.6 2.7 2.6 41 48 64 181 2035 1.9
2 Bangiadesh 2.6 2.4 2.3 95 114 141 310 2025 1.9
3 Mali 2.6 2.5 2.5 7 9 11 37 2035 1.9
4 Nepal 2.0 2.6 2.6 16 19 24 74 2040 1.8
5 Zare 2.1 2.5 3.1 30 37 50 145 2030 1.9
6 Burkina 2.0 1.9 2.0 6 7 9 32 2040 1.8
7 Burma 2.3 2.0 2.3 35 43 53 115 2025 1.9
8 Malaw 2.8 3.0 3.1 7 8 11 38 2040 2.0
9 Uganda 3.4 2.8 3.3 14 18 25 83 2035 2.0
10 Birundi 1.4 2.2 2.9 4 5 7 24 2035 1.9
11 Niger 2.6 3.0 3.2 6 8 11 40 2040 2.0
12 Tanzan.a 3.1 3.3 3.4 21 27 37 125 2035 2.0
13 Somalia 3.5 2.8 3.0 5 6 8 31 2040 1.9
14 India 2.3 2.3 1.8 733 844 994 1.700 2010 1.8
15 Rwanda 3.1 3.4 3.4 6 7 10 40 2040 2.0
16 CentralAfrican Rep. 1.6 2.3 2.7 2 3 4 12 2035 1.9
17 Togo 2.8 2.6 3.2 3 4 5 16 2035 2.0
18 Benin 2.6 2.8 3.1 4 5 6 21 2035 2.0
19 China 2.7 1.5 1.2 1,019 1,106 1,242 1,571 2010 1.6
20 Guinea 1.8 2.0 2.1 6 7 8 25 2045 1.8
21 Haiti 1.5 1.8 1.8 5 6 7 14 2025 1.9
22 Ghana 2.2 3.1 3.5 13 17 23 64 2025 2.0
23 Madagascar 2.4 2.6 3.1 9 12 16 55 2035 1.9
24 Sierra Leone 1.7 2.1 2.3 4 4 5 17 2045 1.8
25 Sr Lanka 2.0 1.7 1.8 15 18 21 32 2005 1.7
26 Kenya 3.7 4.0 3.9 19 25 36 120 2030 2.1
27 Pakistan 3.1 3.0 2.4 90 106 133 330 2035 1.9
28 Sudan 2.6 3.2 2.8 21 25 33 102 2035 1.9
29 Afghanistan 2.3 2.6 2.3 17 20 25 76 2045 1.9
30 Bhutan 1.3 1.9 2.2 1 1 2 4 2035 1.8
31 Chad 1.8 2.1 2.4 5 6 7 22 2040 1.8
32 Kampuchea, Dem. 1.8 .. . . . .. .
33 Lao PDP 1.4 2.2 2.5 4 4 6 18 2040 1.9
34 Mozambique 2.3 2.6 2.9 13 16 22 70 2035 2.0
35 VietNam 3.1 2.7 2.4 59 70 88 170 2015 1.9
Middle-income economies 2.5 w 2.4 w 2.2 w 1,166 t 1,374 t 1,690 t
Oil exporters 2.6 w 2.7 w 2.5 w 543 t 652 t 830 t
Oil importers 2.4 w 2.2 w 1.9 w 623 t 722 t 860 t
Sub-Saharan Africa 2.6 w 2.9 w 3.1 w 148 t 178 t 256 t
Lower middle-income 2.5 w 2.5 w 2.3 w 665 t 787 t 977 t
36 Senegal 2.4 2.8 2.9 6 8 10 30 2035 1.9
37 Lesotho 2.1 2.5 2.6 1 2 2 6 2030 1.8
38 Liberia 2.8 3.3 3.1 2 3 3 11 2035 1.9
39 Mauritania 2.3 2.2 2.6 2 2 3 8 2035 1.8
40 Bolivia 2.4 2.6 2.4 6 7 9 22 2030 1.9
41 Yemen, PDR 2.1 2.2 2.4 2 2 3 8 2035 2.0
42 YemenArabRep. 2.6 2.9 2.8 8 9 12 40 2040 2.0
43 Indonesia 2.1 2.3 1.9 156 179 212 368 2010 1.8
44 Zambia 3.0 3.2 3.3 6 8 11 33 2030 2.0
45 Honduras 2.9 3.5 3.0 4 5 7 15 2020 2.0
46 Egypt, Arab Rep. 2.3 2.5 2.0 45 52 63 113 2015 1.8
47 El Salvador 3.4 3.0 2.6 5 6 8 17 2015 1.9
48 IvoryCoast 4.6 4.6 3.6 9 13 17 47 2030 2.0
49 Zimbabwe 3.4 3.2 3.6 8 10 14 39 2025 2.1
50 Morocco 2.4 2.6 2.4 21 25 31 70 2025 2.0
51 Papua New Guinea 2.5 2.1 2.1 3 4 5 9 2025 1.9
52 Philippines 2.9 2.7 2.1 52 61 73 126 2010 1.9
53 Nigeria 2.5 2.7 3.3 94 118 163 532 2035 2.0
54 Cameroon 2.4 3.1 3.2 10 12 17 52 2030 1.9
55 Thailand 2.9 2.3 1.7 49 56 65 100 2000 1.8
56 N caragua 2.9 3.9 3.0 3 4 5 12 2025 2.0
57 Costa Rica 3.0 2.4 2.1 2 3 3 5 2005 1.8
58 Peru 2.8 2.4 2.2 18 21 26 49 2020 1.9
59 Guatemala 3.0 3.1 2.6 8 10 12 25 2020 1.9
60 Congo. People's Rep. 2.6 3.1 3.7 2 2 3 9 2020 1.9
61 Turkey 2.5 2.2 1.9 47 55 65 1'1'1 2010 1.8
62 Tunisia 2.0 2.5 2.2 7 8 10 19 2015 1.9
63 Jamaca 1.5 1.3 1.4 2 2 3 5 2005 1.6
64 Dominican Rep. 2.9 2.4 2.2 6 7 9 15 2010 1.9
Note For data comparability and coverage see the technical notes.
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