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ture economies, ease debt-servicing burdens, and investors have confidence in the policies and prorestore<br />

economic growth-are the results projected grams of the recipient countries. Here, the <strong>Bank</strong><br />

in the High scenarios. However difficult the policy plays a dual role. In its own lending, the <strong>Bank</strong> has<br />

reforms may have been to adopt, in due course a unique perspective from which to analyze a<br />

they will create much easier conditions for devel- country's prospects and needed policy reforms<br />

oping countries than would prevail if the reforms and to provide this analysis to policymakers. In its<br />

are diluted or abandoned.<br />

cofinancing efforts, the <strong>Bank</strong> provides instruments<br />

The High scenarios therefore convey a strong to increase the assurance of investors in projects<br />

sense of encouragement. Policies and policy aspi- and countries' development prospects. In order to<br />

rations are on the right lines; governments are try- carry out these functions, the <strong>Bank</strong>'s ability to<br />

ing to steer their economies in directions that will increase its own lending is crucial.<br />

indeed bear fruit. The achievements of the 1950s Low-income countries that must depend on conand<br />

1960s-strong growth, low inflation, financial cessional capital have experienced relative stagnastability-can<br />

be recaptured. Under these circum- tion in new commitments in recent years. Attenstances,<br />

provided institutional innovations take tion has focused on sub-Saharan Africa, where the<br />

place, normal relationships between private credi- prospect for a dramatic decrease in concessional<br />

tors and debtor countries can be resumed, and flows has been highlighted as an overriding obstaconcessional<br />

aid can be expected to increase. Inter- cle to achieving sustainable development. This<br />

national capital can then resume its productive role underscores the need for a substantial increase in<br />

in economic development.<br />

IDA resources in the medium term to meet the<br />

needs of this region and to provide uninterrupted<br />

The role of the <strong>World</strong> <strong>Bank</strong><br />

support to IDA borrowers in Asia.<br />

In its proposals to respond to the potential<br />

The role of the <strong>Bank</strong> as a provider of finance and decline in funds for sub-Saharan Africa, the <strong>Bank</strong><br />

other services must be seen in the context of the has stressed that increases in the volume of aid to<br />

increased importance of international finance in the region must go hand in hand with improveeconomic<br />

development. The <strong>Bank</strong> is playing an ments in aid effectiveness. It has also been recogincreasingly<br />

active role in assisting developing nized that ODA flows to Africa could be better<br />

countries with needed policy reforms. It has been utilized with new forms of aid coordination that<br />

flexible in adapting its operations and instruments emphasize targeted support by lenders for reform<br />

to the changing needs of its member countries. It efforts by borrowers. The potential <strong>Bank</strong> contribucomplements<br />

and-to the extent possible-exer- tion to achieving these dual objectives through<br />

cises a constructive influence on capital flows from enhanced aid coordination has received strong<br />

other sources. In order to carry out these func- support from the aid community. In exercising this<br />

tions, the <strong>Bank</strong>'s own financing must be on a scale function, the <strong>Bank</strong> is prepared to assist borrowing<br />

that is meaningful both to borrowing countries and governments in strengthening existing mechato<br />

other sources of finance.<br />

nisms for investment review to help ensure that<br />

The <strong>Bank</strong> is the major channel by which devel- proposed projects are consistent with explicit<br />

oping countries access the international bond mar- development priorities and with the capacity to<br />

ket and other financial markets. This function is effectively implement and operate projects.<br />

critical particularly for countries that rely mainly The <strong>Bank</strong> also has a long history of collaboration<br />

on commercial capital and are most sensitive to the with export credit agencies and commercial banks.<br />

impact of fluctuations in the world economy. <strong>Bank</strong> Various cofinancing instruments have been devellending<br />

is an important component in the accept- oped and will continue to evolve in the future as<br />

able balance between official and private sources, the demand increases for resources from the <strong>Bank</strong><br />

between short- and long-term maturities, and and other sources of finance. The <strong>Bank</strong> could,<br />

between fixed and variable rate instruments.<br />

through its assessments of investment programs<br />

Although the worldwide recession has meant and individual projects, support the efforts of both<br />

temporary slowdowns in many investment export credit agencies and commercial banks to<br />

projects in developing countries and reductions in improve the quality of lending, thereby increasing<br />

private and public investment, resumed growth the development benefits of such flows while<br />

will involve increased ability to use external strengthening the portfolios of the lending instituresources<br />

productively. The resumption of growth tions. Beyond specific cofinancing arrangements,<br />

of private capital flows will be more likely if private the <strong>Bank</strong>'s role in regularly reviewing country poli-<br />

146

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