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TPF-C Technology Plan - Exoplanet Exploration Program - NASA

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Chapter 5<br />

5.6.1 Modeling Methodology Validation<br />

Because <strong>TPF</strong>-C cannot be fully tested on the ground, successful implementation of the mission<br />

requires that models accurately predict sub-nanometer level performance prior to launch,<br />

currently beyond the state-of-the-art. <strong>TPF</strong>-C will address model development as “software<br />

fabrication” by including additional margin in the error budget to account for modeling<br />

uncertainties or tolerances much as is done for hardware fabrication. This implies that the<br />

accuracy of the prediction will be quantified by tracking contributions to the modeling errors<br />

during the project lifecycle. In effect, the <strong>TPF</strong>-C modeling validation is now treated as validation<br />

of analysis bounds, where the uncertainty is quantified and managed by the error budget.<br />

Through the use of the modeling error margins, we will derive rational and consistent acceptance<br />

criteria for the validation and delivery of models.<br />

5.6.2 Error Budget Validation through Modeling<br />

A systematic approach will be used to identify which error budget terms, starting from Level 2<br />

requirement levels on down, will be validated by analysis and which will be directly validated by<br />

tests. Each of the models, parameters and assumptions used for validating the error budget<br />

terms, will then need to be validated themselves through a series of tests or testbed results,<br />

starting from the lowest level of assembly on up. Validation of <strong>TPF</strong>-C models will fall in one of<br />

two categories, validation of absolute predictive accuracy and validation of relative predictive<br />

accuracy. In either case, the approach implemented on <strong>TPF</strong>-C will require that validated<br />

accuracy be bound by the modeling uncertainties.<br />

Table 5-5. M&MV <strong>Technology</strong> Validation vs. Testbed Matrix<br />

90

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