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CEIOPS' Advice for Level 2 Implementing ... - EIOPA - Europa

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C.6. The individual elements sketched in the previous paragraphs should be<br />

calculated by using the following bases of calculation:<br />

(a) For the increased morbidity/disability inception rates during the first<br />

year, the product of the following factors:<br />

• the total disability capital at risk (in year one) and<br />

• an undertaking-specific expected average rate of transition from<br />

healthy to sick over the first year (weighted by the sum assured/<br />

annual payment).<br />

(b) For the increased morbidity/disability inception rates during all subsequent<br />

years, the product of the following factors:<br />

• the total disability capital at risk in year two,<br />

• an undertaking-specific expected average rate of transition from<br />

healthy to sick over the second year (weighted by the sum<br />

assured/annual payment),<br />

• the modified duration of the liability cash-flows diminished by<br />

one and<br />

• the Projected Disability Increase (1.1 ((n-2)/2) ), cf. the assumption<br />

that the average disability rate of the portfolio, due to age,<br />

increases over the period corresponding to the length of the<br />

duration with 10 per cent a year.<br />

(c) With respect to the risk that the duration of claims is greater than<br />

expected, 20 per cent the product of the following factors:<br />

• technical Provisions <strong>for</strong> contracts subject to longevity risk,<br />

• an undertaking-specific expected termination rate (i.e. average<br />

rate of transition from sick to healthy/dead over the next year),<br />

• the modified duration of the liability cash-flows and<br />

• the Projected Disability Increase (1.1 ((n-1)/2) ).<br />

101/112<br />

© CEIOPS 2010

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