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CEIOPS' Advice for Level 2 Implementing ... - EIOPA - Europa

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• unavoidable market risk,<br />

in order to investigate to what extent the calculations could be simplified<br />

or approximated.<br />

3.346 In the following paragraphs some proposals <strong>for</strong> such simplifications are put<br />

<strong>for</strong>ward and the main aspects of the simplifications are briefly explained.<br />

These proposals are in to a large extent based on the proposals put <strong>for</strong>ward<br />

in the QIS4 Technical Specifications or the CP on simplifications <strong>for</strong><br />

the SCR calculations.<br />

Life Underwriting Risk<br />

3.347 In the QIS4 Technical Specifications simplifications were described <strong>for</strong> all<br />

sub-modules regarding life underwriting risk (life mortality risk, life longevity<br />

risk, life disability risk etc.).<br />

3.348 With respect to the capital charges <strong>for</strong> mortality, longevity and disability<br />

risk the simplifications allowed <strong>for</strong> in QIS4 concerned the following aspects<br />

(of the assumptions <strong>for</strong> the calculations):<br />

• the permanent increase/decrease (“the shock”) of the “baseline” mortality<br />

and “baseline” disability, respectively,<br />

• the expected average death rate / disability inception rate over the<br />

next year,<br />

• the projected mortality/disability increase and<br />

• the modified duration of the liability cash flows.<br />

3.349 With respect to the other sub-modules the simplified calculations allowed<br />

<strong>for</strong> in QIS4 may be summarised as follows:<br />

(a) Lapse risk: A simple factor-based (multiplicative) method taking into<br />

account an increase (decrease) in the assumed lapsation rates <strong>for</strong><br />

policies with expected positive (negative) surrender strains.<br />

(b) Expenses risk: A fixed (initial) shock of the renewal expenses combined<br />

with the impact of changes in the future expected expense<br />

inflation.<br />

(c) Revision risk and life catastrophe risk: A fixed percentage applied to<br />

suitable bases of calculation (the net technical provisions <strong>for</strong> annuities<br />

(exposed to revision risk) and the capital at risk, respectively).<br />

3.350 The simplifications given by the QIS4 Technical Specifications are assessed<br />

in CP on simplified calculations in the standard <strong>for</strong>mula <strong>for</strong> SCR. With<br />

respect to mortality, longevity and disability risk the conclusion is that the<br />

main structure of the simplified calculation of capital charges <strong>for</strong> these<br />

risks should be kept. However, the shock applied to the “baseline” mortality<br />

is increased <strong>for</strong> mortality risk. Moreover, with respect to disability a<br />

distinction has been introduced between the first and the subsequent runoff<br />

years regarding the expected movement from healthy to sick. See the<br />

summary description in annex C.<br />

Health Underwriting Risk<br />

72/112<br />

© CEIOPS 2010

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