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Contents & Foreword, Characterizing And ... - IRRI books

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estimation of drought were determined from the daily rainfall data from these 75years.The detailed analysis of drought was done for a 25-y period by following theUniversal Hydrologic Equation to arrive at the weekly water balance (rainfall-potentialevapotranspiration). Because of the lack of data, however, the analysis did nottake into account the field-stored moisture. The drought analysis was done for theperiod between the 22nd and 43rd wk of the year (28 May to 28 Oct, 154 d duration),as upland rice crop cultivation and the monsoon in this region are confined to thisperiod. During the rice cultivation period, the duration and probability of droughtoccurrence were analyzed separately for three groups of 7 wk each: 22nd-28th wk,29th-35th wk, and 36th-42nd wk, termed as initial, intermediate, and terminal stagesof rice growth. Based on drought occurrence and severity analysis, on-station and onfarmexperiments were conducted on adjusting seeding dates to avoid drought in thelatter part of the growing season, selection of short-duration rice cultivars (similar totraditional ones) suitable for drought situations, and weed management and sowingmethods.Table 1 presents the results of the analyses, which indicate a higher probabilityof drought occurrence at the initial and terminal stages than at the intermediate stageof the crop. Drought affecting the crop at the initial and terminal stages of growth,Table 1. Selected monsoon and drought characteristics at Hazaribagh,Bihar, India.Monsoon characteristics aAmount or timeNormal annual rainfall (mm) 1,299Normal seasonal rainfall (mm) 1,169Probable annual rainfall (mm)At 99% probability 759At 20% probability 1,385Probable seasonal rainfall (mm)At 99% probability 666At 20% probability 1,385Monsoon onset (date)18 June (earliest 2 June,latest 6 July)Monsoon termination (date) 11 Oct (earliest 9 Sept,latest 28 Oct)Monsoon duration (d) 117 (shortest 77, longest 137)Seasonal drought duration b (wk)Initial stage (28 May to 3.7515 July)Intermediate stage (16 July 2.00to 17 Sept)Terminal stage (18 Sept 4.55to 28 Oct)a Period of analysis from 1913 to 1987 using rainfall data. b Period of analysisfrom 1972 to 1991 using rainfall and evapotranspiration data.Planning and managing rice farming through environmental analysis 197

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