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Contents & Foreword, Characterizing And ... - IRRI books

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Table 3. Summary of estimates of land use using the random effects probit estimator.Cultivates Cultivates Farm cultivatesLeft-hand-side dependent variable more than nonrice fruit or otherone crop y –1 crop(s) treesEstimation coefficient 1994-97 a 1994-97 1994-97(estimated standard error) (n = 436) (n = 436) (n = 436)Land-labor ratio on farm 1.204** –1.058* 0.056(ha per household laborer) (0.559) (0.578) (0.591)Age of head of household 0.009* –0.050*** 0.014**(0.005) (0.014) (0.007)Farm used short-duration 1.438*** –0.131 –0.018modern variety seed(s) (0.343) (0.670) (0.452)Farm used medium- or long-duration –0.218 –2.221*** –0.334modern varieties (0.317)*** (0.775) (0.364)Farm invested in land leveling 0.664 –0.116 –0.902**or other soil improvement (0.462) (0.467) (0.450)Farm invested in construction 0.031 0.646* –0.769*of dikes or irrigation (0.297) (0.381) (0.449)Rho 0.703*** 0.787*** 0.970(0.153) (0.225) (0.081)Goodness of fit diagnostics:Pseudo R 2 : Cragg-Uhler 0.085 0.130 0.447Maddela 0.046 0.064 0.317McFadden 0.060 0.098 0.309Likelihood ratio (X 2 ) test 20.653*** 28.693*** 166.549***[degrees of freedom] [1] [1] [1]Percentage correctly predicted 0.812 0.842 0.672Actual/predicted 0 1 total 0 1 total 0 1 total0 0 82 82 342 17 359 107 126 2331 0 354 354 52 25 77 66 137 203total 0 436 436 394 42 436 173 263 436a *** = estimated coefficient is statistically significant at 99% confidence level, ** = estimated coefficient isstatistically significant at 95% confidence level, * = estimated coefficient is statistically significant at 90%confidence level.The variables considered are the land-labor ratio on the farm (area per full-timeequivalent family worker), the age of the head of household, a series of dummy variablesindicating the main rice variety cultivated (the omitted variety classes are glutinousand traditional nonglutinous rice varieties), and dummy variables indicatingfarm investment in dikes or land leveling. It is expected that households with lowerland-labor ratios will adopt more labor-intensive land use. It is argued that older farmoperators are more traditional and hesitant to adopt new technologies and changetheir agricultural practices. Their reluctance may also reflect their lower levels ofeducation.Integration of biophysical and socioeconomic constraints . . . 461

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