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Contents & Foreword, Characterizing And ... - IRRI books

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Seventeen different agricultural products were considered and 23 land-use typesthat are currently practiced in the province were included in this study, of which 20are rice-based (e.g., rice-maize, rice-tobacco, rice-rice). A total of 200 land units weredefined by overlaying biophysical characteristics: irrigated areas, annual rainfall anddistribution, slope and soil texture; and administrative units comprising 23 municipalities(Lansigan et al 1998). Two production technology levels were considered tochoose from: average farmers’ practice and “best farmers’ practice,” both being actualland-use systems. The data for the input-output tables were derived from 1998-99 farm surveys in the province consisting of 1,844 farms in the wet season and 2,164farms in the dry season. The values for the input-output relations for the current technologywere derived from the average values for these farms. For the best farmers’practice, data were derived by taking the mean of the values with a yield level betweenthe 90th and 95th percentile.Based on the major development goals, 11 objectives were identified in consultationwith stakeholders in the province (Francisco et al 1998). Here, we will discussresults for two major objectives.Food securityUnder the base scenario (i.e., no water-sharing with constraints on land, labor, andwater imposed), the maximum rice production that can be achieved by the province is0.53 million t, but with hardly any nonrice production. This can be realized if 95% ofthe farmers adopt the technology corresponding to “best available practice.” The resultingland-use allocation will require 8.9 million labor days and result in a totalfarmer income of US$91 million.When the irrigated area is doubled, rice production will increase by 23% asmore land will be allocated to intensive triple and double rice systems. Employmentand income will increase by about the same percentage (Fig. 2). When the irrigatedarea is further expanded (to cover approximately 90% of available agricultural land),Index1.501.25Max. riceproductionMax. agriculturalemploymentMax. farmers’income1.000.751.0 1.5 2.0 2.5Irrigated areas (index)Fig. 2. Effect of expansion of irrigated areas ongoal achievements.478 Bouman et al

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