Technical Report No. 8 PORT AND SHIPPING

5 PROPOSED PORT DEVELOPMENT (2001-2010)
5.1 Port Traffic in 2010
II-5-1
Vietnam National Transport Strategy Study (VITRANSS)
Technical Report No. 8
Shipping and Ports
High case and low case are analyzed as an economic model for future port traffic.
The ratio of total cargo volume of foreign trade in the low case is 0.94 of the high
case. Although the difference is not large, only the high case is adopted for the
master plan.
Case Cargo Volume
(000,000 ton)
Table 5.1.1
High Case and Low Case, 2010
Foreign Trade Domestic Trade
Comparison
Cargo Volume
(000,000 ton)
High 58.6 1.00 40.1
Low 55.0 0.94
1) International Trade Volume
International trade cargo is projected by commodity in 2010 in the following table:
Table 5.1.2
Foreign Trade Cargo, 2010 (High Case)
(000 tons)
Total North Central South
Rice and Other Food Crops 5,000 300 0 4,700
Sugarcane 0 0 0 0
Sugar 0 0 0 0
Forestry goods 0 0 0 0
Steel -1,751 -851 0 -900
Construction Material 0 0 0 0
Asphalt 0 0 0 0
Cement 3,139 2,100 1,039 0
Clinker 0 0 0 0
Fertilizer -4,655 -230 -1,630 -2,795
Coal 4,500 4,500 0 0
Other Mining 500 500 0 0
Crude Oil 3,470 0 0 3,470
Petroleum -2,951 0 0 -2,951
Industrial Crops 2,130 0 1,070 1,060
Manufacturing Good 1 8,157 2,451 1,220 4,486
Manufacturing Good 2 -8,489 -2,971 -1,273 -4,245
Fishery products 860 0 172 688
Animal Meat and Others 62 62 0 0
Other Miscellaneous Export 2,782 974 417 1,391
Other Miscellaneous Import -4,462 -1,115 -669 -2,677
Transit/Transshipment 5,767 16,972 1,100 3,749
Export 30,600 10,887 3,918 15,795
Total Import 22,308 5,167 3,572 13,568
Total 58,674 16,972 8,590 33,112
Note: Negative figures indicate imports. Transit/Transshipment is divided into export and import on a 50/50 basis.