Fraser River Sockeye Fisheries and Fisheries Management - Cohen ...

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Appendix BList of requests to DFO by LGL Limited.The following requests for information were submitted to DFO on 14 September 2010.Each request was directly related to one of the tasks outlined in the Statement of Workfor the Fraser component of our review.First Nations fisheryDFO Request 1: Information on annual FSC sockeye allocations for 1980-2009 for eachFirst Nation that harvests Fraser sockeye. Note: it is expected that allocations willnot be available for all FNs and few if any prior to 1993.DFO Request 2: Sockeye harvest estimates by year for 1980-2009 for each First Nationthat harvests Fraser sockeye.DFO request 3: Copies of all communal licences issued to First Nations, First NationFishing Plans and fisheries agreements, prior to and including 2009, for FirstNations that harvest Fraser sockeye.DFO Request 3: Documents that describe the current (2005-2009) and historical (1980-2004) methods used to estimate First Nation catch of Fraser sockeye.Commercial fisheryDFO Request 4: Dataset with the annual commercial sockeye catch of Fraser sockeye bygear type by statistical area for 1980-2009.DFO Request 5: Documents that define the target Fraser sockeye commercial allocations(% by gear type) for each year in the 1980-2009 period (e.g., IFMP’s for recentyears).DFO Request 6: Documents that describe the current (2005-2009) and historical (1980-2004) methods used to estimate commercial catch, including the role of sale slips,hail data, individual log books, on-board observers and other reporting systems inthe catch estimation process.B-1
Recreational fisheryDFO Request 7: Historical record of the daily and annual catch limits for sockeye inmarine and freshwater areas for the periods when recreational fishers werepermitted to retain sockeye each year from 1980 to 2009.DFO Request 8: Annual sockeye catch estimates for marine and freshwater recreationalfisheries that harvest Fraser sockeye and documents that describe how theseestimates were derived in recent years (2005-2009) and historical years (1980-2004) for Fraser River fisheries. Note: we are familiar with the methods used toestimate sockeye catch for marine recreational fisheries from 1980-1999.All sectorsDFO Request 9: List of all fisheries (locations, gear-type, times) when sockeye nonretentionrestrictions have been implemented for fisheries where Fraser sockeyecould be harvested.Fisheries ManagementDFO Request 10: Documents that describe the pre-season forecasting methods usedduring the period 1980-1998. We have obtained the run size forecast documentsprepared for more recent years.DFO Request 11: Documents that describe the in-season and post-season run-sizeabundance estimation methods used in the 1980s, 1990s and 2000s.DFO Request 12: Documents that describe the in-season and post-season escapementenumeration methods used in the 1980s, 1990s and 2000s.DFO Request 13: Documents that provide the dates and magnitude for each in-seasonrun-size estimates and the final in-season run size estimate for each run-timinggroup for Fraser sockeye for 4 cycle years in each of the past three decades(1980s, 1990s and 2000s).DFO Request 14: The findings/recommendations from any internal or external reviews ofthe FRSSI process.B-2
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Fraser River Sockeye Fisheriesand F
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY1. Catch Monitorin
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implement harvest rate ceilings to
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Table of ContentsEXECUTIVE SUMMARY
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List of TablesTable 1 Annual estima
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List of FiguresFigure 1 Fraser sock
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Figure 21 Estimates of total catch,
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List of AppendicesAppendix A Statem
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used to (1) estimate catch for each
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FISHERIES HARVESTINGOverview of Fis
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Figure 1 Fraser sockeye marine migr
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Table 2 Summary of available inform
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Table 3 provides the annual estimat
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Table 4 Summary of available inform
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season update teleconference meetin
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Catch Estimation MethodsThe procedu
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catch estimates was detected using
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of precision. The overall rating fo
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1998-00 - No agreements with Sto:lo
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initiation of the AFS Agreements in
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Table 12 Comparison of annual socke
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Table 13 Annual estimates of the ha
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Canadian Commercial FisheriesThe pr
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logbook systems. In addition to the
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Table 15 Fraser River sockeye salmo
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Available catch estimates for the r
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Table 17 Summary of available infor
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anged from less than 100 to over 30
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Washington State Recreational Fishe
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equirements have been applied to se
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salmon were biopsied or tagged with
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Stellako-Late Stuart and 531 Adams)
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FISHERIES MANAGEMENTOverview of Pre
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parents of the recruits). Effective
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within the confidence limits. For e
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Ratio of Return to Forecast5.04.03.
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Ratio of Return to Forecast5.04.03.
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Table 20 Pre-season forecast models
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different from the straight line),
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Prediction ability of ForecastsProp
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Stock MAPEReturn Explainedby Foreca
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test fisheries are analyzed in-seas
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Inputs to the cumulative-normal mod
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eginning of the runs, but by mid-ru
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Median Absolute Percent Error (1997
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variety of hydroacoustic techniques
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enefited from improved technologies
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Post-season estimates of Escapement
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precision achieved was considerably
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m 3 /sec during the sockeye run. Fi
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Escapement TargetsOur evaluations r
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20% of the average of the 4-year se
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Table 24 Low escapement benchmarks
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Table 25 Comparison of post-season
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fisheries have been permitted to ta
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sub-dominant cycle years (e.g., 200
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SummaryLow Escapement Benchmarks (L
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Extent of OverharvestingThe estimat
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2,000,0001,800,000Early StuartCatch
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Cultus Lake Sockeye Recovery Effort
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Figure 23 Number of adult sockeye e
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Recovery ObjectivesIn anticipation
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2008 the escapement estimate was 34
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BRISTOL BAY, ALASKA SOCKEYE FISHERY
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accurate, precise, and timely, (2)
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The Bay is subjected to large tidal
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activity (Bocking and Peterman 1988
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% of total run45%40%35%30%25%20%15%
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Harvest estimation methodsTotal har
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Millions of sockeyeYearFigure 27 Hi
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management structure complements th
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1.5Togiak4.03.5NushagakMillions of
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Millions of sockeye7.06.05.04.03.02
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logical given the dynamics of the r
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1.61.4Number of fish (millions)1.21
Page 152 and 153: Pre-season forecastsAs noted above,
Page 154 and 155: 8.0y = 0.79x + 1.59R² = 0.417.8Log
Page 156 and 157: 12010080MAPE60402001971-1980 1981-1
Page 158 and 159: Median percent error (MPE)3020100-1
Page 160 and 161: Table 28 Average age composition of
Page 162 and 163: dampeners to reduce surface turbule
Page 164 and 165: current year’s run is accounted f
Page 166 and 167: and 1999 Revised Annexes. This inte
Page 168 and 169: Bristol Bay was in 1997 when there
Page 170 and 171: upon by managers to determine when
Page 172 and 173: STATE OF THE SCIENCECatch Monitorin
Page 174 and 175: 2006) due to concerns regarding the
Page 176 and 177: RECOMMENDATIONS1. DFO needs to ensu
Page 178 and 179: LITERATURE CITEDAdkison, M.D. and R
Page 180 and 181: Beacham, T.D., M. Lapointe, J.R. Ca
Page 182 and 183: CSAS. 2007 Pre-season run size fore
Page 184 and 185: Evans, D.G., J.B. Browning and B.G.
Page 186 and 187: Hardie, D.C., D.A. Nagtegaal, K. He
Page 188 and 189: Pacific Salmon Commission. 1998. Re
Page 190 and 191: Robichaud, D., J.J. Smith, K. K. En
Page 192 and 193: Valderrama, D. and J.L. Anderson. 2
Page 194 and 195: Appendix A Statement of Work.Cohen
Page 196 and 197: All sectors3.7 The Contractor will
Page 198 and 199: “State of the Science”. Comment
Page 200 and 201: 3.3 The Contractor will review and
Page 204 and 205: DFO Request 15: Recent CSAS documen
Page 206 and 207: Item Description DateRequestedReque
Page 208 and 209: Appendix CFirst Nation catch monito
Page 210 and 211: Table C-1 Summary of information re
Page 212 and 213: Table C-2 Weekly catch monitoring e
Page 214 and 215: Table D-1 Summary of information re
Page 216 and 217: community of Port Renfrew. The area
Page 218 and 219: IPrecision ( + % of the estimate)10
Page 220 and 221: Table E-2 Annual Strait of Georgia
Page 222 and 223: Table E-4 Annual Johnstone Strait e
Page 224 and 225: Table E-6 Lower Fraser River recrea
Page 226 and 227: 0 would mean that the forecast does
Page 228 and 229: the general ups and downs of the ob
Page 230 and 231: Appendix G Graphical representation
Page 232 and 233: Early Stuart Timing GroupEarly Stua
Page 234 and 235: Summer-run Timing GroupSummer run7.
Page 236 and 237: Fraser River Indicator Stocks (list
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Fraser River Indicator Stocks (list
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Appendix H Pre-season forecast: sum
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ManagementGroup(IndicatorStock)MAPE
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ManagementGroup(IndicatorStock)MAPE
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Appendix I Methods of In-season Sto
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Marine Gillnet Test FisheriesThe gi
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Expansion line (x1000)9080706050403
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Table I-2 Mean values for purse sei
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Figure I-5 Map of test fishing loca
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Appendix J The Hydroacoustics progr
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An SEF project was secured in 2007
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Conservation action Comments Partne
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Table K-2 Summary of actions to rec
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Table L-1 Catch and escapement of s
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Table L-3 Performance criteria of p
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Ratio of annual return to the avera
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Appendix M Reviewer comments on the
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Request #5: Sockeye allocations by
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utility of pre-season forecasts. Pr
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3. Are there additional quantitativ
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made via tagging and experimentatio
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Page 60: The authors make extensive
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ensure the reader does not assume t
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The reported excerpts from Bradford
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(budgets, legal issues, pseudo-cons
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REVIEW 3/3Reviewer Name: Dr Sean Co
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season forecasts that eventually co
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allocation shows "No agreement", an
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size.Figures showing errors for pre
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Goals can easily generate confusion
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Total rows from all these tables be
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Exploitation Rate100%90%80%70%60%50
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Exploitation RateEarly Stuart90%80%
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