Fraser River Sockeye Fisheries and Fisheries Management - Cohen ...

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IPrecision ( + % of the estimate)100%90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%0%y = 327.03x -0.567R² = 0.43690 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 700,000Total annual boat tripsFigure E-2 Relationship between precision of the GSCS estimate of sockeye catch<strong>and</strong> number of boat trips, 1986-2008.E-4
Table E-1 Number of interviews, aerial survey boat counts <strong>and</strong> total effort estimatein boat trips for the Strait of Georgia Creel Survey, 1986-2009.Year Shifts Interviews Overflights Boat Trips % Interviewed Periods Monitored1986 2,547 29,044 69 582,946 5.0% Jan to Dec1987 2,445 30,122 69 589,731 5.1% Jan to Dec1988 2,510 27,062 68 664,517 4.1% Jan to Dec1989 2,320 24,763 68 603,331 4.1% Jan to Dec1990 2,224 25,088 68 543,368 4.6% Jan to Dec1991 2,258 21,882 63 466,749 4.7% Jan to Dec1992 2,883 29,420 53 467,559 6.3% Jan to Dec1993 1,967 24,617 42 498,026 4.9% Jan to Sep1994 2,044 20,597 45 440,744 4.7% Apr to Oct1995 1,822 16,072 43 323,642 5.0% Mar to Oct1996 1,406 15,684 33 288,736 5.4% Apr to Sep1997 1,464 13,747 38 268,797 5.1% Apr to Oct1998 1,518 7,687 63 162,293 4.7% Apr to Oct1999 1,693 9,211 41 164,282 5.6% Apr to Oct2000 1,798 13,480 83 170,798 7.9% Jan to Dec2001 1,534 11,390 88 197,914 5.8% Jan to Dec2002 1,278 7,693 94 218,559 3.5% Jan to Dec2003 1,408 9,220 80 173,403 5.3% Jan to Dec2004 1,327 8,123 77 132,425 6.1% Jan to Dec2005 1,237 7,179 82 104,032 6.9% Jan to Dec2006 1,158 5,452 70 107,598 5.1% Jan, Feb, Apr to Oct2007 1,438 6,250 93 109,869 5.7% Jan to Dec2008 1,666 5,981 85 91,155 6.6% Jan to Dec2009 1,353 7,114 87 117,617 6.0% Jan to DecAverages1986-99 2,079 21,071 55 433,194 5%2000-09 1,420 8,188 84 142,337 6%E-5
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Fraser River Sockeye Fisheriesand F
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY1. Catch Monitorin
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implement harvest rate ceilings to
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Table of ContentsEXECUTIVE SUMMARY
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List of TablesTable 1 Annual estima
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List of FiguresFigure 1 Fraser sock
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Figure 21 Estimates of total catch,
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List of AppendicesAppendix A Statem
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used to (1) estimate catch for each
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FISHERIES HARVESTINGOverview of Fis
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Figure 1 Fraser sockeye marine migr
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Table 2 Summary of available inform
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Table 3 provides the annual estimat
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Table 4 Summary of available inform
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season update teleconference meetin
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Catch Estimation MethodsThe procedu
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catch estimates was detected using
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of precision. The overall rating fo
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1998-00 - No agreements with Sto:lo
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initiation of the AFS Agreements in
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Table 12 Comparison of annual socke
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Table 13 Annual estimates of the ha
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Canadian Commercial FisheriesThe pr
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logbook systems. In addition to the
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Table 15 Fraser River sockeye salmo
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Available catch estimates for the r
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Table 17 Summary of available infor
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anged from less than 100 to over 30
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Washington State Recreational Fishe
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equirements have been applied to se
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salmon were biopsied or tagged with
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Stellako-Late Stuart and 531 Adams)
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FISHERIES MANAGEMENTOverview of Pre
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parents of the recruits). Effective
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within the confidence limits. For e
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Ratio of Return to Forecast5.04.03.
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Ratio of Return to Forecast5.04.03.
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Table 20 Pre-season forecast models
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different from the straight line),
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Prediction ability of ForecastsProp
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Stock MAPEReturn Explainedby Foreca
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test fisheries are analyzed in-seas
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Inputs to the cumulative-normal mod
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eginning of the runs, but by mid-ru
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Median Absolute Percent Error (1997
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variety of hydroacoustic techniques
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enefited from improved technologies
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Post-season estimates of Escapement
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precision achieved was considerably
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m 3 /sec during the sockeye run. Fi
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Escapement TargetsOur evaluations r
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20% of the average of the 4-year se
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Table 24 Low escapement benchmarks
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Table 25 Comparison of post-season
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fisheries have been permitted to ta
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sub-dominant cycle years (e.g., 200
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SummaryLow Escapement Benchmarks (L
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Extent of OverharvestingThe estimat
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2,000,0001,800,000Early StuartCatch
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Cultus Lake Sockeye Recovery Effort
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Figure 23 Number of adult sockeye e
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Recovery ObjectivesIn anticipation
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2008 the escapement estimate was 34
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BRISTOL BAY, ALASKA SOCKEYE FISHERY
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accurate, precise, and timely, (2)
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The Bay is subjected to large tidal
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activity (Bocking and Peterman 1988
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% of total run45%40%35%30%25%20%15%
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Harvest estimation methodsTotal har
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Millions of sockeyeYearFigure 27 Hi
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management structure complements th
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1.5Togiak4.03.5NushagakMillions of
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Millions of sockeye7.06.05.04.03.02
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logical given the dynamics of the r
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1.61.4Number of fish (millions)1.21
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Pre-season forecastsAs noted above,
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8.0y = 0.79x + 1.59R² = 0.417.8Log
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12010080MAPE60402001971-1980 1981-1
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Median percent error (MPE)3020100-1
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Table 28 Average age composition of
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dampeners to reduce surface turbule
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current year’s run is accounted f
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and 1999 Revised Annexes. This inte
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Page 170 and 171: upon by managers to determine when
Page 172 and 173: STATE OF THE SCIENCECatch Monitorin
Page 174 and 175: 2006) due to concerns regarding the
Page 176 and 177: RECOMMENDATIONS1. DFO needs to ensu
Page 178 and 179: LITERATURE CITEDAdkison, M.D. and R
Page 180 and 181: Beacham, T.D., M. Lapointe, J.R. Ca
Page 182 and 183: CSAS. 2007 Pre-season run size fore
Page 184 and 185: Evans, D.G., J.B. Browning and B.G.
Page 186 and 187: Hardie, D.C., D.A. Nagtegaal, K. He
Page 188 and 189: Pacific Salmon Commission. 1998. Re
Page 190 and 191: Robichaud, D., J.J. Smith, K. K. En
Page 192 and 193: Valderrama, D. and J.L. Anderson. 2
Page 194 and 195: Appendix A Statement of Work.Cohen
Page 196 and 197: All sectors3.7 The Contractor will
Page 198 and 199: “State of the Science”. Comment
Page 200 and 201: 3.3 The Contractor will review and
Page 202 and 203: Appendix BList of requests to DFO b
Page 204 and 205: DFO Request 15: Recent CSAS documen
Page 206 and 207: Item Description DateRequestedReque
Page 208 and 209: Appendix CFirst Nation catch monito
Page 210 and 211: Table C-1 Summary of information re
Page 212 and 213: Table C-2 Weekly catch monitoring e
Page 214 and 215: Table D-1 Summary of information re
Page 216 and 217: community of Port Renfrew. The area
Page 220 and 221: Table E-2 Annual Strait of Georgia
Page 222 and 223: Table E-4 Annual Johnstone Strait e
Page 224 and 225: Table E-6 Lower Fraser River recrea
Page 226 and 227: 0 would mean that the forecast does
Page 228 and 229: the general ups and downs of the ob
Page 230 and 231: Appendix G Graphical representation
Page 232 and 233: Early Stuart Timing GroupEarly Stua
Page 234 and 235: Summer-run Timing GroupSummer run7.
Page 236 and 237: Fraser River Indicator Stocks (list
Page 254 and 255: Appendix H Pre-season forecast: sum
Page 256 and 257: ManagementGroup(IndicatorStock)MAPE
Page 258 and 259: ManagementGroup(IndicatorStock)MAPE
Page 260 and 261: Appendix I Methods of In-season Sto
Page 262 and 263: Marine Gillnet Test FisheriesThe gi
Page 264 and 265: Expansion line (x1000)9080706050403
Page 266 and 267: Table I-2 Mean values for purse sei
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Figure I-5 Map of test fishing loca
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Appendix J The Hydroacoustics progr
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An SEF project was secured in 2007
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Conservation action Comments Partne
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Table K-2 Summary of actions to rec
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Table L-1 Catch and escapement of s
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Table L-3 Performance criteria of p
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Ratio of annual return to the avera
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Appendix M Reviewer comments on the
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Request #5: Sockeye allocations by
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utility of pre-season forecasts. Pr
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3. Are there additional quantitativ
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made via tagging and experimentatio
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Page 60: The authors make extensive
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ensure the reader does not assume t
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The reported excerpts from Bradford
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(budgets, legal issues, pseudo-cons
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REVIEW 3/3Reviewer Name: Dr Sean Co
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season forecasts that eventually co
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allocation shows "No agreement", an
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size.Figures showing errors for pre
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Goals can easily generate confusion
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Total rows from all these tables be
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Exploitation Rate100%90%80%70%60%50
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Exploitation RateEarly Stuart90%80%
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