Fraser River Sockeye Fisheries and Fisheries Management - Cohen ...

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season update teleconference meetings held by DFO and the Pacific Salmon Commissionthroughout the season.First Nations harvest Fraser sockeye for FSC purposes at numerous points along themigration path for returning adults. These include the follow major areas of fisheries:1. Marine fisheries;2. Fraser River fisheries below Sawmill; and3. Fraser River fisheries above Sawmill.The following sections describe the methods used to derive catch estimates for FirstNation fisheries in each of these areas.27
Table 5 AFS agreements, communal licence holders, and sockeye allocations for theB.C. South Coast and Fraser First Nations in 2009.Area Sub Area AFS AgreementCommunalSockeyeLicence HolderLicenceAllocationBC Interior Fraser River - Above Sawmill CFA2009-1902 XFSC 65 2010 Carrier Sekani Tribal Council 17,500BC Interior Fraser River - Above Sawmill CFA2009-1911 XFSC 66 2010 Esketemc Northern Shuswap And 75,000BC Interior Fraser River - Above Sawmill XFSC 67 2010 Kluskus First Nation 1,500BC Interior Fraser River - Above Sawmill CFA2009-1934 XFSC 68 2010 Lheidli T'Enneh Indian Band 7,000BC Interior Fraser River - Above Sawmill XFSC 69 2010 Nadleh Whut'En Band 5,000BC Interior Fraser River - Above Sawmill XFSC 70 2010 Nazko Indian Band 1,500BC Interior Fraser River - Above Sawmill CFA2009-1960 XFSC 71 2010 Lhtako Dene Nation 1,500BC Interior Fraser River - Above Sawmill XFSC 72 2010 Stellat'En First Nation 2,500BC Interior Fraser River - Above Sawmill CFA2009-1976 XFSC 73 2010 Tl'Azt'En Nation 10,000BC Interior Fraser River - Above Sawmill XFSC 74 2010 Toosey Indian Band 5,000BC Interior Fraser River - Above Sawmill XFSC 75 2010 High Bar First Nation 8,000BC Interior Fraser River - Above Sawmill XFSC 76 2010 Lower Nicola Indian Band 130,000BC Interior Fraser River - Above Sawmill XFSC 77 2010 Nicomen Indian BandBC Interior Fraser River - Above Sawmill XFSC 78 2010 Nlaka'Pamux First NationBC Interior Fraser River - Above Sawmill CFA2009-1945 XFSC 79 2010 Nicola Tribal AssociationBC Interior Fraser River - Above Sawmill XFSC 80 2010 St'At'Imc Nation 65,000BC Interior Fraser River - Above Sawmill XFSC 81 2010 Whispering Pines Band 2,000BC Interior Fraser River - Above Sawmill CFA2009-1987 XFSC 82 2010 Xaxli'P BandBC Interior Fraser River - Above Sawmill CFA2009-1948 Northern Shuswap TCBC Interior Fraser River - Above Sawmill CFA2009-1963 Secwepemc Nation Fisheries CommissionBC Interior Fraser River - Above Sawmill Adams Lake Band 170BC Interior Fraser River - Above Sawmill Bonaparte Band 115BC Interior Fraser River - Above Sawmill Kamloops Band 100BC Interior Fraser River - Above Sawmill Little Shuswap Band 75BC Interior Fraser River - Above Sawmill Neskonnlith Band 40BC Interior Fraser River - Above Sawmill Simpcw FN 230BC Interior Fraser River - Above Sawmill Skeetestchen Band 330BC Interior Fraser River - Above Sawmill Splatsin FN 40Lower Fraser Fraser River - Port Mann and Sawmill XFSC 87 2010 Kwikwetlem First Nation 3,500Lower Fraser Fraser River - Port Mann and Sawmill XFSC 92 2010 Lower Fraser River First Nation Group 300,000Lower Fraser Fraser River - Port Mann and Sawmill CFA2009-1912 St:olo NationsLower Fraser Fraser River - Port Mann and Sawmill Mount Currie 10,000Lower Fraser Fraser River - Port Mann and Sawmill CFA2009-1988 Yale BandLower Fraser Fraser River - Below Port Mann XFSC 83 2010 Tsawwassen First Nation 13,000Lower Fraser Fraser River - Below Port Mann CFA2009-1978 XFSC 86 2010 Musqueam First Nation 75,000Lower Fraser Fraser Mouth CFA2009-1966 Squamish 20,000Lower Fraser Fraser Mouth CFA2009-1982 Tsleil-Waututh 7,000Lower Fraser Fraser Mouth Hwlitsum 5,000Lower Fraser Fraser Mouth Semiahmoo 3,500South Coast Georgia Strait Mainland CFA2009-1930 XFSC 11 2010 Klahoose First Nation 4,000South Coast Georgia Strait Mainland CFA2009-1962 XFSC 32 2010 Sechelt Indian Band 15,000South Coast Georgia Strait Mainland CFA2009-1964 XFSC 33 2010 Sliammon First Nation 10,000South Coast Johnstone Strait XFSC 12 2010 Johnstone Strait First Nations 80,000South Coast Johnstone Strait CFA2009-1942 XFSC 14 2010 Namgis First NationSouth Coast Johnstone Strait CFA2009-1959 XFSC 9 2010 Quatsino Indian Band 4,000South Coast Johnstone Strait CFA2009-1900 A'TlegaySouth Coast Johnstone Strait CFA2009-1909 DMTSouth Coast Johnstone Strait CFA2009-1917 Gwa' Sala 'Nakwaxda'xwSouth Coast Johnstone Strait CFA2009-1931 Kwakiutl First NationSouth Coast Johnstone Strait CFA2009-1940 Musgamagwa Territorial MarineSouth Coast South Vancouver Island CFA2009-1921 XFSC 13 2010 Homalco Indian Band 4,000South Coast South Vancouver Island CFA2009-1955 XFSC 16 2010 Pacheedaht First Nation 6,500South Coast South Vancouver Island CFA2009-1972 XFSC 17 2010 T'Souke Indian Band 3,000South Coast South Vancouver Island XFSC 18 2010 Beecher Bay 1,050South Coast South Vancouver Island XFSC 19 2010 Esquimalt Nation 1,000South Coast South Vancouver Island XFSC 20 2010 Songhees First Nation 2,100South Coast South Vancouver Island CFA2009-1980 XFSC 21 2010 Tseycum First Nation 1,050South Coast South Vancouver Island CFA2009-1937 XFSC 22 2010 Malahat First Nation 1,200South Coast South Vancouver Island CFA2009-1908 XFSC 23 2010 Cowichan Tribes 30,000South Coast South Vancouver Island CFA2009-1918 XFSC 25 2010 Halalt First Nation 3,500South Coast South Vancouver Island CFA2009-1906 XFSC 26 2010 Chemainus First Nation 15,000South Coast South Vancouver Island CFA2009-1957 XFSC 27 2010 Penelakut First Nation 12,000South Coast South Vancouver Island CFA2009-1936 XFSC 28 2010 Lyackson First Nation 4,000South Coast South Vancouver Island CFA2009-1965 XFSC 29 2010 Snuneymuxw First Nation 17,000South Coast South Vancouver Island CFA2009-1943 XFSC 30 2010 Nanoose First Nation 4,500South Coast South Vancouver Island CFA2009-1958 XFSC 31 2010 Qualicum First Nation 1,000South Coast South Vancouver Island CFA2009-1933 XFSC 34 2010 Lake Cowichan First Nation 250South Coast South Vancouver Island CFA2009-1977 XFSC 35 2010 Tsawout First Nation 4,000South Coast South Vancouver Island XFSC 36 2010 Tsartlip First Nation 7,500South Coast South Vancouver Island XFSC 37 2010 Pauquachin First Nation 2,000South Coast South Vancouver Island XFSC 40 2010 Nuchatlaht Indian BandSouth Coast West Coast Vancouver Island-A Nuu-chah-nulth TC 26,400Total 1,029,65028
Page 2 and 3: Fraser River Sockeye Fisheriesand F
Page 4 and 5: EXECUTIVE SUMMARY1. Catch Monitorin
Page 6 and 7: implement harvest rate ceilings to
Page 8 and 9: Table of ContentsEXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Page 10 and 11: List of TablesTable 1 Annual estima
Page 12 and 13: List of FiguresFigure 1 Fraser sock
Page 14 and 15: Figure 21 Estimates of total catch,
Page 16 and 17: List of AppendicesAppendix A Statem
Page 18 and 19: used to (1) estimate catch for each
Page 20 and 21: FISHERIES HARVESTINGOverview of Fis
Page 22 and 23: Figure 1 Fraser sockeye marine migr
Page 24 and 25: Table 2 Summary of available inform
Page 26 and 27: Table 3 provides the annual estimat
Page 28 and 29: Table 4 Summary of available inform
Page 32 and 33: Catch Estimation MethodsThe procedu
Page 34 and 35: catch estimates was detected using
Page 36 and 37: of precision. The overall rating fo
Page 38 and 39: 1998-00 - No agreements with Sto:lo
Page 40 and 41: initiation of the AFS Agreements in
Page 42 and 43: Table 12 Comparison of annual socke
Page 44 and 45: Table 13 Annual estimates of the ha
Page 46 and 47: Canadian Commercial FisheriesThe pr
Page 48 and 49: logbook systems. In addition to the
Page 50 and 51: Table 15 Fraser River sockeye salmo
Page 52 and 53: Available catch estimates for the r
Page 54 and 55: Table 17 Summary of available infor
Page 56 and 57: anged from less than 100 to over 30
Page 58 and 59: Washington State Recreational Fishe
Page 60 and 61: equirements have been applied to se
Page 62 and 63: salmon were biopsied or tagged with
Page 64 and 65: Stellako-Late Stuart and 531 Adams)
Page 66 and 67: FISHERIES MANAGEMENTOverview of Pre
Page 68 and 69: parents of the recruits). Effective
Page 70 and 71: within the confidence limits. For e
Page 72 and 73: Ratio of Return to Forecast5.04.03.
Page 74 and 75: Ratio of Return to Forecast5.04.03.
Page 76 and 77: Table 20 Pre-season forecast models
Page 78 and 79: different from the straight line),
Page 80 and 81:
Prediction ability of ForecastsProp
Page 82 and 83:
Stock MAPEReturn Explainedby Foreca
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test fisheries are analyzed in-seas
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Inputs to the cumulative-normal mod
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eginning of the runs, but by mid-ru
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Median Absolute Percent Error (1997
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variety of hydroacoustic techniques
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enefited from improved technologies
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Post-season estimates of Escapement
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precision achieved was considerably
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m 3 /sec during the sockeye run. Fi
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Escapement TargetsOur evaluations r
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20% of the average of the 4-year se
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Table 24 Low escapement benchmarks
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Table 25 Comparison of post-season
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fisheries have been permitted to ta
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sub-dominant cycle years (e.g., 200
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SummaryLow Escapement Benchmarks (L
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Extent of OverharvestingThe estimat
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2,000,0001,800,000Early StuartCatch
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Cultus Lake Sockeye Recovery Effort
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Figure 23 Number of adult sockeye e
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Recovery ObjectivesIn anticipation
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2008 the escapement estimate was 34
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BRISTOL BAY, ALASKA SOCKEYE FISHERY
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accurate, precise, and timely, (2)
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The Bay is subjected to large tidal
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activity (Bocking and Peterman 1988
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% of total run45%40%35%30%25%20%15%
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Harvest estimation methodsTotal har
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Millions of sockeyeYearFigure 27 Hi
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management structure complements th
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1.5Togiak4.03.5NushagakMillions of
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Millions of sockeye7.06.05.04.03.02
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logical given the dynamics of the r
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1.61.4Number of fish (millions)1.21
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Pre-season forecastsAs noted above,
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8.0y = 0.79x + 1.59R² = 0.417.8Log
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12010080MAPE60402001971-1980 1981-1
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Median percent error (MPE)3020100-1
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Table 28 Average age composition of
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dampeners to reduce surface turbule
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current year’s run is accounted f
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and 1999 Revised Annexes. This inte
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Bristol Bay was in 1997 when there
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upon by managers to determine when
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STATE OF THE SCIENCECatch Monitorin
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2006) due to concerns regarding the
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RECOMMENDATIONS1. DFO needs to ensu
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LITERATURE CITEDAdkison, M.D. and R
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Beacham, T.D., M. Lapointe, J.R. Ca
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CSAS. 2007 Pre-season run size fore
Page 184 and 185:
Evans, D.G., J.B. Browning and B.G.
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Hardie, D.C., D.A. Nagtegaal, K. He
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Pacific Salmon Commission. 1998. Re
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Robichaud, D., J.J. Smith, K. K. En
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Valderrama, D. and J.L. Anderson. 2
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Appendix A Statement of Work.Cohen
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All sectors3.7 The Contractor will
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“State of the Science”. Comment
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3.3 The Contractor will review and
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Appendix BList of requests to DFO b
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DFO Request 15: Recent CSAS documen
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Item Description DateRequestedReque
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Appendix CFirst Nation catch monito
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Table C-1 Summary of information re
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Table C-2 Weekly catch monitoring e
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Table D-1 Summary of information re
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community of Port Renfrew. The area
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IPrecision ( + % of the estimate)10
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Table E-2 Annual Strait of Georgia
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Table E-4 Annual Johnstone Strait e
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Table E-6 Lower Fraser River recrea
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0 would mean that the forecast does
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the general ups and downs of the ob
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Appendix G Graphical representation
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Early Stuart Timing GroupEarly Stua
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Summer-run Timing GroupSummer run7.
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Fraser River Indicator Stocks (list
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Page 240 and 241:
Page 242 and 243:
Page 244 and 245:
Page 246 and 247:
Page 248 and 249:
Page 250 and 251:
Page 252 and 253:
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Appendix H Pre-season forecast: sum
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ManagementGroup(IndicatorStock)MAPE
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ManagementGroup(IndicatorStock)MAPE
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Appendix I Methods of In-season Sto
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Marine Gillnet Test FisheriesThe gi
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Expansion line (x1000)9080706050403
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Table I-2 Mean values for purse sei
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Figure I-5 Map of test fishing loca
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Appendix J The Hydroacoustics progr
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An SEF project was secured in 2007
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Conservation action Comments Partne
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Table K-2 Summary of actions to rec
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Table L-1 Catch and escapement of s
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Table L-3 Performance criteria of p
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Ratio of annual return to the avera
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Appendix M Reviewer comments on the
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Request #5: Sockeye allocations by
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utility of pre-season forecasts. Pr
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3. Are there additional quantitativ
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made via tagging and experimentatio
Page 294 and 295:
Page 60: The authors make extensive
Page 296 and 297:
ensure the reader does not assume t
Page 298 and 299:
The reported excerpts from Bradford
Page 300 and 301:
(budgets, legal issues, pseudo-cons
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REVIEW 3/3Reviewer Name: Dr Sean Co
Page 304 and 305:
season forecasts that eventually co
Page 306 and 307:
allocation shows "No agreement", an
Page 308 and 309:
size.Figures showing errors for pre
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Goals can easily generate confusion
Page 312 and 313:
Total rows from all these tables be
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Exploitation Rate100%90%80%70%60%50
Page 316 and 317:
Exploitation RateEarly Stuart90%80%
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