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Combining health and social protection measures to reach the ultra ...

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Decision-makingLow- <strong>and</strong> middle-income countriesHigh-income countriesCause Deaths Cause Deaths(millions)(millions)1 Ischaemic heart disease 5.70 11.8% 1 Ischaemic heart disease 1.36 17.3%2 Cerebrovascular disease 4.61 9.5% 2 Cerebrovascular disease 0.78 9.9%3 Lower respira<strong>to</strong>ry infections 3.41 7.0% 3 Trachea, bronchus, lung cancers 0.46 5.8%4 HIV/AIDS 2.55 5.3% 4 Lower respira<strong>to</strong>ry infections 0.34 4.4%5 Perinatal conditions 2.49 5.1% 5 Chronic obstructive pulmonarydisease 0.30 3.8%6 Chronic obstructivepulmonary disease 2.38 4.9% 6 Colon <strong>and</strong> rectum cancers 0.26 3.3%7 Diarrhoeal diseases 1.78 3.7% 7 Alzheimer <strong>and</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r dementias 0.21 2.6%8 Tuberculosis 1.59 3.3% 8 Diabetes mellitus 0.20 2.6%9 Malaria 1.21 2.5% 9 Breast cancer 0.16 2.0%10 Road traffic accidents 1.07 2.2% 10 S<strong>to</strong>mach cancer 0.15 1.9%Table 2: The ten leading causes of death, by broad income group, 2001responsible for 21 <strong>to</strong> 36% of deaths. Such a shift in <strong>the</strong>cause of death pattern has not occurred in sub-SaharanAfrica, where perinatal conditions rank in fourth place <strong>and</strong>malaria, lower respira<strong>to</strong>ry infections, <strong>and</strong> diarrhoeal diseasescontinue <strong>to</strong> be <strong>the</strong> leading causes of death in children,accounting for 53% of all deaths.About 90% of all HIV/AIDS <strong>and</strong> malaria deaths in childrenin developing countries occur in sub-Saharan Africa, whichaccounts for 23% of <strong>the</strong> world’s births <strong>and</strong> 42% of <strong>the</strong> world’schild deaths. The immense surge of HIV/AIDS mortality inchildren in recent years means that HIV/AIDS is nowresponsible for 332 000 child deaths annually in sub-SaharanAfrica <strong>and</strong> nearly 8% of all child deaths in <strong>the</strong> region.Some progress has been made against diarrhoeal diseases<strong>and</strong> measles. While <strong>the</strong> incidence of diarrhoeal diseases isthought <strong>to</strong> have remained stable, mortality from diarrhoealdiseases has fallen from 2.5 million deaths in 1990 <strong>to</strong> about1.6 million deaths in 2001, <strong>and</strong> now accounts for 13% of alldeaths of children under age 15. Deaths from measles havedeclined modestly, although more than 0.5 million childrenunder five still died from this disease in 2001. Malaria causesmore than a million child deaths per year or nearly 11% of alldeaths of children under five.Leading causes of death in adultsTable 5 shows <strong>the</strong> leading causes of deaths among adults age15 <strong>to</strong> 59 worldwide in 2001. Despite a global trend ofdeclining communicable disease burden in adults, HIV/AIDShas become <strong>the</strong> leading cause of mortality <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> singlemost important contribu<strong>to</strong>r <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> burden of disease amongadults in this age group.Nearly 80% of <strong>the</strong> 2.1 million adult deaths from HIV/AIDSin 2001 occurred in sub-Saharan Africa. In this region,HIV/AIDS is <strong>the</strong> leading cause of death, resulting in more than6000 deaths every day <strong>and</strong> accounting for almost 1 in 5deaths for all ages <strong>and</strong> 1 in 2 deaths of adults age 15 <strong>to</strong> 59.HIV/AIDS has reversed mortality trends among adults in <strong>the</strong>region, <strong>and</strong> in many countries, life expectancies havedeclined since 1990.The 4.5 million adult injury deaths in 2001 were heavilyconcentrated among young adults, particularly men. In <strong>the</strong>15 <strong>to</strong> 59 age group, road traffic accidents <strong>and</strong> suicide wereamong <strong>the</strong> 10 leading causes of death in high-income <strong>and</strong>low- <strong>and</strong> middle-income countries, <strong>and</strong> violence (homicide)was also among <strong>the</strong> 10 leading causes in low- <strong>and</strong> middleincomecountries. Among adults age 15 <strong>to</strong> 44 worldwide,road traffic accidents were <strong>the</strong> leading cause of death for menafter HIV/AIDS, followed by TB <strong>and</strong> violence. Suicide was <strong>the</strong>third leading cause of death for women in this age group,after HIV/AIDS <strong>and</strong> TB, with road traffic accidents in fifthplace.The risk of death rises rapidly with age among adults agedMalesFemalesCause Deaths Cause Deaths(millions)(millions)1 Ischaemic heart disease 3.01 11.8% 1 Ischaemic heart disease 2.69 11.8%2 Cerebrovascular disease 2.17 8.5% 2 Cerebrovascular disease 2.44 10.7%3 Lower respira<strong>to</strong>ry infections 1.72 6.7% 3 Lower respira<strong>to</strong>ry infections 1.68 7.4%4 Perinatal conditions 1.38 5.4% 4 HIV/AIDS 1.18 5.2%5 HIV/AIDS 1.38 5.4% 5 Chronic obstructivepulmonary disease 1.17 5.1%6 Chronic obstructivepulmonary disease 1.21 4.7% 6 Perinatal conditions 1.11 4.9%7 Tuberculosis 1.04 4.1% 7 Diarrhoeal diseases 0.85 3.7%8 Diarrhoeal diseases 0.93 3.6% 8 Malaria 0.63 2.8%9 Road traffic accidents 0.78 3.1% 9 Tuberculosis 0.55 2.4%10 Malaria 0.58 2.3% 10 Diabetes mellitus 0.42 1.8%Table 3: The 10 leading causes of death, by sex, low- <strong>and</strong> middle-income countries, 2001Global Forum Update on Research for Health Volume 4 ✜ 169

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