Decision-makingLow- <strong>and</strong> middle-income countriesHigh-income countriesCause DALYs Cause DALYs(millions) (millions)of yearsof years1 Perinatal conditions 89.07 6.4% 1 Ischaemic heart disease 12.39 8.3%2 Lower respira<strong>to</strong>ry infections 83.61 6.0% 2 Cerebrovascular disease 9.35 6.3%3 Ischaemic heart disease 71.88 5.2% 3 Unipolar depressive disorders 8.41 5.6%4 HIV/AIDS 70.80 5.1% 4 Alzheimer <strong>and</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r dementias* 7.47 5.0%5 Cerebrovascular disease 62.67 4.5% 5 Trachea, bronchus, lung cancers 5.40 3.6%6 Diarrhoeal diseases 58.70 4.2% 6 Hearing loss, adult onset 5.39 3.6%7 Unipolar depressive disorders 43.43 3.1% 7 Chronic obstructivepulmonary disease 5.28 3.5%8 Malaria 39.96 2.9% 8 Diabetes mellitus 4.19 2.8%9 Tuberculosis 35.87 2.6% 9 Alcohol use disorders 4.17 2.8%10 Chronic obstructivepulmonary disease 33.45 2.4% 10 Osteoarthritis 3.79 2.5%Table 8: The 10 leading causes of burden of disease, DALYs, by broad income group, 2001<strong>to</strong>tal burden of disease borne by adults age 15 <strong>to</strong> 59 was <strong>the</strong>same in both groups of countries, adults older than 60accounted for a significantly larger share of <strong>the</strong> diseaseburden in high-income countries.Although injuries become more important for boys beyondinfancy, <strong>the</strong> causes of <strong>the</strong> burden of disease are broadlysimilar for boys <strong>and</strong> girls. However, striking genderdifferences emerge in adulthood. In low- <strong>and</strong> middle-incomecountries, 5 of <strong>the</strong> 10 leading causes of DALYs for men age15 <strong>to</strong> 44 are injuries. Indeed, after HIV/AIDS, road trafficaccidents were <strong>the</strong> second leading cause of <strong>the</strong> burden ofdisease for men in this age group. O<strong>the</strong>r unintentionalinjuries <strong>and</strong> violence were <strong>the</strong> third <strong>and</strong> fourth leadingcauses, with self-inflicted injuries <strong>and</strong> war also appearing in<strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>p 10 causes. Injuries were also important for womenage 15 <strong>to</strong> 44, although road traffic accidents were <strong>the</strong> tenthleading cause, preceded by o<strong>the</strong>r unintentional injuries infourth place <strong>and</strong> self-inflicted injuries in sixth place. Unipolardepressive disorders were <strong>the</strong> second leading cause of <strong>the</strong>burden for women in this age group, after HIV/AIDS.The growing burden of noncommunicablediseasesThe burden of noncommunicable diseases is increasing,accounting for nearly half <strong>the</strong> global burden of disease for allages, a 10% increase from estimated levels in 1990. While<strong>the</strong> proportion of <strong>the</strong> burden from noncommunicable diseasein high-income countries has remained stable at around85% in adults age 15 <strong>and</strong> older, <strong>the</strong> proportion in middleincomecountries has already exceeded 70%. Surprisingly,almost 50% of <strong>the</strong> adult disease burden in low- <strong>and</strong> middleincomecountries is now attributable <strong>to</strong> noncommunicabledisease. Population ageing <strong>and</strong> changes in <strong>the</strong> distribution ofrisk fac<strong>to</strong>rs have accelerated <strong>the</strong> epidemic ofnoncommunicable disease in many developing countries.CVD accounted for 13% of <strong>the</strong> disease burden amongadults age 15 <strong>and</strong> older in 2001. IHD <strong>and</strong> cerebrovasculardisease (stroke) were <strong>the</strong> two leading causes of mortality <strong>and</strong>disease burden among adults age 60 <strong>and</strong> older <strong>and</strong> werealso among <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>p 10 causes of disease burden in adultsage 15 <strong>to</strong> 59. In low- <strong>and</strong> middle-income countries, IHD <strong>and</strong>cerebrovascular disease (stroke) were <strong>to</strong>ge<strong>the</strong>r responsiblefor 15% of disease burden in those aged 15 <strong>and</strong> older, <strong>and</strong>DALYs rates were higher for men than for women.The proportion of <strong>the</strong> burden among adults age 15 <strong>and</strong>older attributable <strong>to</strong> cancer was 6% in low- <strong>and</strong> middleincomecountries <strong>and</strong> 14% in high-income countries in2001. Of <strong>the</strong> 7.1 million cancer deaths estimated <strong>to</strong> haveoccurred in that year, 17%, or 1.2 million, were attributable<strong>to</strong> lung cancer alone, <strong>and</strong> of <strong>the</strong>se, three quarters occurred5%2%21%31%0-45-1415-5960+51%42%0-45-1415-5960+42%6%Low- <strong>and</strong> middle-income countriesHigh-income countriesFigure 3: Age distribution of disease burden (DALYs), by income group, 2001 Source: Ma<strong>the</strong>rs et al. 2006172 ✜ Global Forum Update on Research for Health Volume 4
Decision-makingEurope <strong>and</strong> Central AsiaLatin America <strong>and</strong> Caribbean1 Ischaemic heart disease 15.9% 1 Perinatal conditions 6.0%2 Cerebrovascular disease 10.8% 2 Unipolar depressive disorders 5.0%3 Unipolar depressive disorders 3.7% 3 Violence 4.9%4 Self-inflicted injuries 2.3% 4 Ischaemic heart disease 4.2%5 Hearing loss, adult onset 2.2% 5 Cerebrovascular disease 3.8%6 Chronic obstructivepulmonary disease 2.0% 6 Endocrine disorders 3.0%7 Trachea, bronchus, lung cancers 2.0% 7 Lower respira<strong>to</strong>ry infections 2.9%8 Osteoarthritis 2.0% 8 Alcohol use disorders 2.8%9 Road traffic accidents 1.9% 9 Diabetes mellitus 2.7%10 Poisonings 1.9% 10 Road traffic accidents 2.6%Sub-Saharan AfricaMiddle East <strong>and</strong> North Africa1 HIV/AIDS 16.5% 1 Ischaemic heart disease 6.6%2 Malaria 10.3% 2 Perinatal conditions 6.3%3 Lower respira<strong>to</strong>ry infections 8.8% 3 Road traffic accidents 4.6%4 Diarrhoeal diseases 6.4% 4 Lower respira<strong>to</strong>ry infections 4.5%5 Perinatal conditions 5.8% 5 Diarrhoeal diseases 3.9%6 Measles 3.9% 6 Unipolar depressive disorders 3.1%7 Tuberculosis 2.3% 7 Congenital anomalies 3.1%8 Road traffic accidents 1.8% 8 Cerebrovascular disease 3.0%9 Whooping cough 1.8% 9 Vision disorders, age-related 2.7%10 Protein-energy malnutrition 1.5% 10 Cataracts 2.3%South AsiaEast Asia <strong>and</strong> Pacific1 Perinatal conditions 9.2% 1 Cerebrovascular disease 7.5%2 Lower respira<strong>to</strong>ry infections 8.4% 2 Perinatal conditions 5.4%3 Ischaemic heart disease 6.3% 3 Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease 5.0%4 Diarrhoeal diseases 5.4% 4 Ischaemic heart disease 4.1%5 Unipolar depressive disorders 3.6% 5 Unipolar depressive disorders 4.1%6 Tuberculosis 3.4% 6 Tuberculosis 3.1%7 Cerebrovascular disease 3.2% 7 Lower respira<strong>to</strong>ry infections 3.1%8 Cataracts 2.3% 8 Road traffic accidents 3.0%9 Chronic obstructivepulmonary disease 2.3% 9 Cataracts 2.8%10 Hearing loss, adult onset 2.0% 10 Diarrhoeal diseases 2.5%Table 9: Leading causes of burden of disease in low- <strong>and</strong> middle-income countries, by region, 2001among men. The number of cases of lung cancer increasednearly 30% since 1990, largely reflecting <strong>the</strong> emergence of<strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>bacco epidemic in low- <strong>and</strong> middle-income countries.S<strong>to</strong>mach cancer, which until recently was <strong>the</strong> leading siteof cancer mortality worldwide, has been declining in all partsof <strong>the</strong> world where trends can be reliably assessed, <strong>and</strong> in2001 caused 842 000 deaths, or about two thirds as manyas lung cancer. Liver cancer was <strong>the</strong> third leading site, with607 000 deaths in 2001, more than 60% of <strong>the</strong>m in <strong>the</strong>East Asia <strong>and</strong> Pacific region. Among women, <strong>the</strong> leadingcause of cancer deaths was breast cancer. Breast cancersurvival rates have been improving during <strong>the</strong> past decade,but <strong>the</strong> chance of survival varies according <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> coverage of<strong>and</strong> access <strong>to</strong> secondary prevention. Globally, neuropsychiatricconditions accounted for 19% of <strong>the</strong> disease burden amongadults, primarily from nonfatal <strong>health</strong> outcomes.Injuries: <strong>the</strong> hidden epidemicInjuries, both unintentional <strong>and</strong> intentional, primarily affectyoung adults, <strong>and</strong> often result in severe, disabling sequelae.In 2001, injuries accounted for 16% of <strong>the</strong> adult burden ofill-<strong>health</strong> <strong>and</strong> premature death worldwide. In parts of LatinAmerica <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> Caribbean, Europe <strong>and</strong> Central Asia, <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>Middle East <strong>and</strong> North Africa more than 30% of <strong>the</strong> entiredisease <strong>and</strong> injury burden among male adults age 15 <strong>to</strong> 44was attributable <strong>to</strong> injuries, <strong>and</strong> road traffic accidents,violence, <strong>and</strong> self-inflicted injuries were all among <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>p 10leading causes of <strong>the</strong> burden of disease. Globally, road trafficaccidents were <strong>the</strong> third leading cause of burden in <strong>the</strong> sameage <strong>and</strong> sex group, preceded only by HIV/AIDS <strong>and</strong> unipolardepression. The burden of road traffic accidents has beenincreasing, especially in <strong>the</strong> developing countries of sub-Saharan Africa <strong>and</strong> South <strong>and</strong> Sou<strong>the</strong>ast Asia, <strong>and</strong>particularly affects males.Intentional injuries, which include self-inflicted injuries <strong>and</strong>suicide, violence, <strong>and</strong> war, accounted for an increasing shareof <strong>the</strong> burden, especially among economically productiveyoung adults. In developed countries, suicides accounted for<strong>the</strong> largest share of <strong>the</strong> intentional injury burden, whereas indeveloping regions, violence <strong>and</strong> war were <strong>the</strong> major sources.The former Soviet Union <strong>and</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r high-mortality countries ofEastern Europe have rates of death <strong>and</strong> disability resultingfrom injury among males that are similar <strong>to</strong> those in sub-Saharan Africa.Regional variations in <strong>the</strong> burden of diseaseTable 9 summarizes <strong>the</strong> 10 leading causes of burden for eachof <strong>the</strong> low- <strong>and</strong> middle-income regions.In 2001, IHD <strong>and</strong> stroke dominated <strong>the</strong> burden of diseasein Europe <strong>and</strong> Central Asia, <strong>and</strong> <strong>to</strong>ge<strong>the</strong>r accounted for moreGlobal Forum Update on Research for Health Volume 4 ✜ 173