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US Government Debt Different - Finance Department - University of ...

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Richard J. Herring 213Default and the InternationalRole <strong>of</strong> the DollarRichard J. Herring 1The dollar plays a special role in world financial markets, the financing<strong>of</strong> world trade, and the provision <strong>of</strong> international foreign exchangereserves. For the moment, this role is unique and requiresspecial consideration in analyzing motivations for and the consequences<strong>of</strong> any default on <strong>of</strong>ficial dollar debt. I will begin with somegeneral observations about the kinds <strong>of</strong> default and the differencesbetween countries that are able to issue foreign debt denominated intheir own currencies and those that cannot.It is useful to distinguish between two kinds <strong>of</strong> default: a “hard default”and a “s<strong>of</strong>t default.” A hard default means that a country hasmissed or delayed the disbursement <strong>of</strong> a contractual interest or principaldue past the contractual grace period (if any). Alternatively, itmay have negotiated a distressed exchange in which the government<strong>of</strong>fers creditors new or restructured debt that amounts to a lowerpresent value than the original contractual payment or the creditormay have changed laws to reduce the value <strong>of</strong> debt to foreigners.Often, to obscure the accounting consequences for creditors, negotiatedexchanges are designed to keep the nominal principal value con-1 I am grateful to Tina Horowitz for pro<strong>of</strong>reading, Christopher Trollen for graphicdesign and Dominic Waltz for research assistance. None, <strong>of</strong> course, should be implicatedin the errors that remain.

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