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US Government Debt Different - Finance Department - University of ...

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62 The 2011 <strong>Debt</strong> Ceiling Impasse RevisitedThis is the approach that the Treasury <strong>Department</strong> usually (but notinvariably) suggested it was going to apply in August 2011 had acompromise not been reached, and it has the bureaucratic advantage<strong>of</strong> providing a straightforward rule that would be relatively easy toadminister. 7 Had the government been forced to follow a FIFO approachin August 2011, it would have been able to pay nearly 60 percent<strong>of</strong> its obligations over the course <strong>of</strong> the month and would havehad about $127 billlion <strong>of</strong> unpaid bills pending by month’s end, havingdeferred payment <strong>of</strong> both debt service (starting on August 2nd)and Social Security payments (starting on August 3rd).Over the years, there has been debate over whether the governmentmust adopt a FIFO payment plan in a Phase Two Crisis or whetherthe Treasury has discretion to adopt other systems <strong>of</strong> prioritization.The Executive has tended to favor the mechanical FIFO rule, bothfor its relative ease <strong>of</strong> administration and also for its political virtue<strong>of</strong> suggesting that congressional failure to raise the debt ceiling necessitatesdeferring payments across the board, including payments tokey constituencies, such as Social Security beneficiaries and members<strong>of</strong> the armed service. Congressional leaders, in contrast, prefer tocharacterize the Executive as having greater latitude in prioritizingpayment, thereby imposing on the Executive the responsibility (andpolitical costs) <strong>of</strong> choosing which payments to defer.While one could imagine other mechanical formulas for prioritizingpayments – with pro rata distributions being an alternative methodemployed in various commercial contexts – FIFO prioritization isthe dominant approach advanced in debt ceiling debates and representssomething <strong>of</strong> a presumed default position for <strong>Government</strong>payments in a Phase Two <strong>Debt</strong> Crisis.2. FIFO Informed by the Public <strong>Debt</strong> ClauseA potentially attractive variant on FIFO would be for the federalgovernment to follow the basic FIFO rule for most payments butto prioritize a subset <strong>of</strong> expenditures based on special legal standing7 One complexity <strong>of</strong> administering even a FIFO prioritization scheme is that theTreasury <strong>Department</strong> does not actually control 100 percent <strong>of</strong> federal disbursements.See Appendix A, n. 198, and accompanying text.

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