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PROCEEDINGS May 15, 16, 17, 18, 2005 - Casualty Actuarial Society

PROCEEDINGS May 15, 16, 17, 18, 2005 - Casualty Actuarial Society

PROCEEDINGS May 15, 16, 17, 18, 2005 - Casualty Actuarial Society

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THE APPLICATION OF FUNDAMENTAL VALUATION PRINCIPLES 413EXHIBIT 19Sheet 5Financial Modeling AssumptionsAuto LiabilityLoss Payment and DiscountingPayment Patterns for Loss and LAEInterest Rate forDiscounted Tax ReservesAccidentAccidentYear + Gross Ceded IRS Year Rate0 26.00% 22.00% 30.00% 1982 7.20%1 26.00% 23.00% 29.00% 1983 7.20%2 <strong>18</strong>.00% <strong>16</strong>.00% 19.00% 1984 7.20%3 13.00% <strong>18</strong>.00% 10.00% 1985 7.20%4 8.00% 10.00% 6.00% 1986 7.20%5 4.00% 4.00% 3.00% 1987 7.20%6 2.00% 3.00% 1.00% 1988 7.77%7 1.00% 2.00% 1.00% 1989 8.<strong>16</strong>%8 1.00% 1.00% 0.50% 1990 8.37%9 1.00% 1.00% 0.50% 1991 7.00%10 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 1992 7.00%11 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 1993 7.00%12 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 1994 7.00%13 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 1995 7.00%14 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 1996 7.00%<strong>15</strong> 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 1997 7.00%<strong>16</strong> 0.00% 0.00% 1998 7.00%<strong>17</strong> 0.00% 0.00% 1999 7.00%<strong>18</strong> 0.00% 0.00% 2000 7.00%19 0.00% 0.00% 2001 7.00%20 0.00% 0.00% 2002 7.00%21 0.00% 0.00% 2003 7.00%22 0.00% 0.00% 2004 7.00%23 0.00% 0.00% <strong>2005</strong> 7.00%24 0.00% 0.00% 2006 7.00%25 0.00% 0.00% 2007 7.00%26 0.00% 0.00% 2008 7.00%27 0.00% 0.00% 2009 7.00%28 0.00% 0.00% 2010 7.00%29 0.00% 0.00% 2011 7.00%30 0.00% 0.00%Total 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%

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