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PROCEEDINGS May 15, 16, 17, 18, 2005 - Casualty Actuarial Society

PROCEEDINGS May 15, 16, 17, 18, 2005 - Casualty Actuarial Society

PROCEEDINGS May 15, 16, 17, 18, 2005 - Casualty Actuarial Society

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72 RISKINESS LEVERAGE MODELSMango notes that every insurance contract receives a parentalguarantee: should it be unable to pay for its own claims, thecontract can draw upon the available funds of the company. Hestates that the cost of this guarantee has two pieces:1. A Capacity-Occupation Cost, similar to the LOC accessfee.2. A Capital-Call Cost, similar to the payback costs of accessingan LOC, but adjusted for the facts that the callis not for a loan but for a permanet transfer and that thecall destroys future underwriting capacity.Mango states that there is an opportunity cost to capacity occupation,and thinks of it as a minimum risk-adjusted hurdlerate. He computes it as the product of an opportunity cost rateand the amount of required rating agency capital generated overthe active life of the contract. Mango also develops a formulafor computing capital-call costs, which are his true risk loads,and defines the expected capital-usage cost to be the sum of thecapacity-occupation cost and the expected capital-call cost. Hedefines his key decision metric Economic Value Added (EVA)to be the NPV Return minus the expected capital usage cost:EVA = NPV Return ¡ Capacity-Occupation Cost¡ Capital-Call Cost.Mango’s shared-asset view eliminates the need for allocatingcapital in evaluating whether the expected profit for a contractis sufficient to compensate for the risks assumed. He also showshow this approach can be used to evaluate portfolio mixes. Hisapproach permits stakeholders great flexibility in expressing riskreward preferences. As Mango, Kreps, and David Ruhm jointlycontributed to the development of the RMK (Rhum, Mango, andKreps) algorithm, which is a conditional risk allocation method[4], it is no surprise that the Capital-Call Costs satisfy the keyproperties of a riskiness-leverage model (additivity, allocabledown to any desired level).

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