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PROCEEDINGS May 15, 16, 17, 18, 2005 - Casualty Actuarial Society

PROCEEDINGS May 15, 16, 17, 18, 2005 - Casualty Actuarial Society

PROCEEDINGS May 15, 16, 17, 18, 2005 - Casualty Actuarial Society

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660 ESTIMATING THE WORKERS COMPENSATION TAILTABLE C.2.1Number of Living Male Claimants for Accident Year2002 at Successive Year-Ends Assuming a 2000Mortality TableAge-at-Beginning of Development YearInjury 1 2 3 4 5 10 2040 12.99 12.96 12.92 12.88 12.83 12.56 11.5041 14.71 14.66 14.62 14.57 14.51 14.19 12.8942 <strong>16</strong>.09 <strong>16</strong>.04 <strong>15</strong>.99 <strong>15</strong>.93 <strong>15</strong>.87 <strong>15</strong>.48 13.9443 <strong>16</strong>.03 <strong>15</strong>.97 <strong>15</strong>.91 <strong>15</strong>.85 <strong>15</strong>.78 <strong>15</strong>.38 13.7144 <strong>17</strong>.48 <strong>17</strong>.41 <strong>17</strong>.34 <strong>17</strong>.27 <strong>17</strong>.19 <strong>16</strong>.72 14.7445 <strong>18</strong>.86 <strong>18</strong>.79 <strong>18</strong>.71 <strong>18</strong>.62 <strong>18</strong>.53 <strong>17</strong>.98 <strong>15</strong>.6646 20.12 20.03 19.94 19.84 19.74 19.10 <strong>16</strong>.4147 21.43 21.34 21.23 21.12 21.01 20.27 <strong>17</strong>.1448 22.69 22.58 22.46 22.34 22.20 21.36 <strong>17</strong>.7549 23.02 22.90 22.77 22.63 22.49 21.56 <strong>17</strong>.5940—49 <strong>18</strong>3.41 <strong>18</strong>2.68 <strong>18</strong>1.89 <strong>18</strong>1.06 <strong>18</strong>0.<strong>16</strong> <strong>17</strong>4.61 <strong>15</strong>4.38dimensional array was created, with the age-at-injury down theleftmost column and the development years as column headings.Table C.2.1 presents a small portion of the array, includingonly ages-at-injury from 40 through 49 shown at the beginningof the first five development years and at the beginning of the10th and 20th development years.Appendix D provides a more detailed description of the arraystructure. The arrays described in these two appendices differonly in the applicable mortality tables. For the static method,the 2000 mortality table is assumed for all future years. In thetrended method (Appendix D), projections of future mortalitytables are used.Table C.2.1 is a segment of the male lives array. We assumedthat the initial PD claimant population consisted of 750 malesand 250 females. A corresponding array was used for the femaleclaimants.

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