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AFRICA AGRICULTURE STATUS REPORT 2016

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Introduction<br />

Africa’s economic and demographic landscape is changing<br />

profoundly. Over the past 30 years, the population of SSA<br />

has doubled, and in urban areas it has tripled (NEPAD,<br />

2013). Rapidly rising urban populations, changing<br />

consumption patterns and growth in per capita incomes in<br />

SSA are creating major opportunities for local farmers by<br />

driving vigorous growth in domestic and regional market<br />

demand for food and rapid changes in food systems<br />

(Pingali, 2006; Reardon, et al., 2013; Tschirley, Haggblade,<br />

& Reardon, 2013). Urban diets are diversifying, with<br />

more animal products being consumed. The change in<br />

consumption demand is creating new marketing options as<br />

witnessed by the growth in the number of supermarkets in<br />

Africa (Beyene, 2014; NEPAD, 2013)<br />

Most farms in Africa are smaller than two hectares, and<br />

with rising population, they are likely to get even smaller.<br />

This implies that the number of smallholder farmers in<br />

Africa will continue to grow and hence should be part of<br />

the solution to meeting the food demand of the growing<br />

urban population and changing consumption patterns<br />

(Fan, Brzeska, & Halsema, 2013). At the same time, the<br />

number of indigenous medium- and large-scale farmers<br />

has increased in the past decade, a situation that will help<br />

fill the emerging demand as most of these farmers are<br />

commercially oriented (Jayne et al., 2015).<br />

Africa has also seen a rise in more sophisticated retail<br />

outlets and supermarkets providing additional marketing<br />

channels for commercial farmers. However, most<br />

smallholder farmers are currently unable to keep up with<br />

the demands of rapidly rising urban populations (Shepherd,<br />

2007). The continent has witnessed a surge in imported<br />

cereals such as rice and wheat and processed products<br />

with the annual food import bill in excess of US$40 billion<br />

(Beyene, 2014). The food import shares of most African<br />

countries still remain moderately low, between 5 percent<br />

and 25 percent of total food expenditures, but these import<br />

shares are rising (Rakotoarisoa et al., 2012). Per capita<br />

food consumption in Africa has been rising 10 times faster<br />

than per capita food production, leading to an increase in<br />

food imports (Rakotoarisoa et al., 2012). However, despite<br />

the increase in imported food products, most domestic food<br />

needs are still supplied by local producers (NEPAD, 2013).<br />

These trends indicate that there are major opportunities for<br />

African farmers to meet the demands of the rapidly growing<br />

urban population. However, most smallholder farmers in<br />

SSA face major constraints and challenges in responding<br />

to these opportunities, such as: (1) limited access to land<br />

and tenure insecurity; (2) weak public agricultural research<br />

and extension programs, contributing to low productivity;<br />

(3) high post-harvest losses; (4) weak and uncertain input<br />

and output markets; (5) unpredictable weather; (6) liquidity<br />

constraints; (7) high transport costs; and (8) questionable<br />

agricultural policies, to mention a few.<br />

The main premise throughout this chapter is that raising<br />

farm incomes is key for improved well-being of smallholder<br />

farmers and to attract investors (emerging and commercial<br />

farmers and youth). To be successful, most countries in SSA<br />

will need to develop efficient and transparent marketing<br />

systems to raise the returns to labor in farming. Against this<br />

backdrop, this chapter summarizes the progress made in<br />

transforming Africa’s agriculture in terms of reducing postharvest<br />

losses and improving market linkages. In addition,<br />

the chapter outlines the underlying causes of inefficiencies<br />

and uncertainty in food markets, drawing from experiences<br />

in East and Southern Africa, and then identifies strategies<br />

that African governments may consider to address these<br />

challenges.<br />

The main conclusion is that if these inefficiencies and<br />

uncertainties are not creatively addressed, then most<br />

smallholder farmers will continue to lag behind and<br />

will remain poor as the opportunities generated by the<br />

region’s rapidly rising demand for food are filled by<br />

imports. Fortunately, we believe that a solid policy enabling<br />

environment coupled with well targeted public expenditures<br />

to promote the performance of local food markets can turn<br />

these trends around and contribute greatly to agricultural<br />

transformation in Africa. Ensuring that African farmers get<br />

more from post-harvest to markets requires at least three<br />

interrelated solutions, namely: 1) improved farm productivity<br />

to close the huge yield gap across all commodities and<br />

across African countries (with a focus on more effective<br />

agricultural research and extension programs); 2) raising<br />

smallholders’ ability to generate marketable agricultural<br />

surplus production, especially for food crops—including<br />

through reducing harvest and post-harvest losses; and 3)<br />

investing in physical infrastructure to improve smallholders’<br />

market access conditions. The chapter ends with some<br />

policy options and recommendations.<br />

Progress towards agricultural<br />

transformation in reduction of postharvest<br />

loss and market linkage<br />

systems<br />

Recognizing the importance of attaining food security for<br />

long-term sustainable development to take root, African<br />

Heads of State and Government ratified the CAADP<br />

initiative, as part of NEPAD at the AU’s Second Ordinary<br />

Assembly held in July 2003 in Maputo, Mozambique.<br />

The explicit goal of CAADP is to “eliminate hunger and<br />

reduce poverty through agriculture”. Four pillars for<br />

priority investment were identified to drive agricultural<br />

<strong>AFRICA</strong> <strong>AGRICULTURE</strong> <strong>STATUS</strong> <strong>REPORT</strong> <strong>2016</strong><br />

127

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