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The<br />
chemical<br />
carrier market<br />
in 1999<br />
Both coastal and deep-sea transport of chemicals were<br />
severely affected by the Asian crisis of the final quarter<br />
of 1997. The negative effects of the crisis and the influx<br />
of newbuilding ships, whose construction had been spurred<br />
by Asian market optimism in 1995-1996, combined <strong>to</strong><br />
continue <strong>to</strong> drag down the world market for chemical<br />
transport even in<strong>to</strong> this year.<br />
Although freight rates were generally low over the first<br />
six months of the year, and even dipped <strong>to</strong> record levels<br />
in the beginning of 1999, since September, an increase<br />
in demand within several markets has resulted in a slight<br />
improvement of rates. Nonetheless, there are still many<br />
vessels available on the market and new <strong>orders</strong> will be at<br />
high levels through mid-2000.<br />
Over the last six months, transport volumes have improved,<br />
and this trend should be confirmed in the final quarter.<br />
In the medium term, tangible signs of improvement in<br />
the Asian and pacific nations’ economies should solidify<br />
this recent upward tendency in volumes. An increase<br />
in volumes should appear in the last months of the year<br />
with the seasonal res<strong>to</strong>cking periods and the onset of winter.<br />
Newly built ships entering the market in1999 nevertheless<br />
slowed this firming up of the markets. It may be expected<br />
that the large pool of available ships will act as a deterrent<br />
<strong>to</strong> rising freight rates in the coming months.<br />
Volumes in the northern Europe market picked up slightly over<br />
the last two months of this year, following a period of decline<br />
at the beginning of the year. Although some shipowners’<br />
vessels were idle at times, on the whole ships were kept<br />
busy during this period. Competition for spot cargo fell compared<br />
with the first six months of the year, resulting in a<br />
slight improvement of the freight rate. Very broadly, the freight<br />
rates for 3,000 <strong>to</strong>nne cargoes of easy chemicals on<br />
Rotterdam/ East Coast UK route rose from 5 <strong>to</strong> 10% compared<br />
with $11-12/<strong>to</strong>nne levels prevalent in March of this year.<br />
With regard <strong>to</strong> volumes, the trades from northern Europe<br />
<strong>to</strong> the Mediterranean were slightly improved, generating<br />
modest increases in freight rates.<br />
In the northern Europe/Mediterranean direction, freight<br />
rates for 3,000 <strong>to</strong>nne cargoes of easy chemicals rose<br />
from $25-26/<strong>to</strong>nne at the beginning of the year <strong>to</strong><br />
$26-27/<strong>to</strong>nne at the end of September.<br />
S H I P P I N G A N D S H I P B U I L D I N G M A R K E T S 2 0 0 0<br />
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