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French orders to foreign shipyards

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the previous year. Deliveries for this year are expected<br />

<strong>to</strong> surpass those for last year, with 130 vessels displacing<br />

2.4 million dwt. At the beginning of November 1998,<br />

only 83 new vessels (1.6 million dwt) had joined the<br />

fleet. Even with possible order cancellations, it is obvious<br />

that the current over-capacity in the supply of available vessels<br />

could become even more severe in the last quarter of 1999.<br />

There are, however, several indications that the pressure<br />

on freight markets caused by the delivery of newbuildings<br />

may abate after early next year. The backlog of chemical<br />

40<br />

35<br />

30<br />

25<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

0<br />

Number of ships<br />

carriers has continued <strong>to</strong> fall at the same rate as the drop<br />

in <strong>orders</strong>, which was 120 vessels, accounting for 2.5<br />

million dwt at the beginning of November, or 10.5% of<br />

the volume of the fleet in terms of <strong>to</strong>nnage. Deliveries<br />

slated for the year 2000 amount <strong>to</strong> 50 ships, displacing<br />

less than 1 million dwt. Shipyard activity is expected <strong>to</strong><br />

diminish by two thirds next year, a situation that should<br />

greatly hearten shipowners.<br />

The decline in backlog is mainly a result of a decrease in<br />

<strong>orders</strong> for new vessels over the last twelve months.<br />

Chemical carriers on order as at January 1, 2000<br />

(in number of ships)<br />

4-6,000 dwt<br />

6-10,000 dwt<br />

10-20,000 dwt<br />

over 20,000 dwt<br />

delivered in 1999 2000 2001 2002<br />

North Challenge,<br />

12,000 dwt,<br />

blt 1998<br />

by Watanabe<br />

owned by<br />

Tachibanaya,<br />

long t/c<br />

<strong>to</strong> Hous<strong>to</strong>n<br />

Shipping (USA)<br />

T h e c h e m i c a l c a r r i e r m a r k e t<br />

S H I P P I N G A N D S H I P B U I L D I N G M A R K E T S 2 0 0 0<br />

61

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