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The<br />

liquefied<br />

natural gas<br />

shipping<br />

market in 1999<br />

LNG market development<br />

1999 may well be considered as the final year of the<br />

second millennium but it could also be viewed as the last<br />

year of the “old way” of LNG contracting. There has been<br />

a remarkable amount of change in the industry this year<br />

and we believe that it will continue at an even greater<br />

pace in the next two <strong>to</strong> three years.<br />

The need for LNG will continue <strong>to</strong> grow, especially in the<br />

power sec<strong>to</strong>r where we are seeing more IPP (Independent<br />

Power Project) development. This growth will be concentrated<br />

away from the traditional Asian market that has<br />

up <strong>to</strong> now accounted for about 75% of LNG consumption.<br />

The Atlantic Basin would now appear <strong>to</strong> be the market<br />

area where the producers are focusing their attention.<br />

1999 saw two new projects come on stream: Atlantic<br />

LNG in April and Nigeria LNG in September. RasGas also<br />

started production this year with their first cargo being<br />

sold <strong>to</strong> the USA. Whilst the traditional LNG plants have<br />

sought the Asian buyers we now have three Middle East<br />

producers (RasGas, Qatargas and Abu Dhabi) with a<br />

fourth (Oman LNG) due in April 2000. What with these<br />

four plants and the two new ones of Atlantic and Nigeria,<br />

the Atlantic Basin can easily be supplied with LNG from<br />

numerous sources. The Iberian Peninsula has a market<br />

growth of at least 7% and that figure is before we take<br />

in<strong>to</strong> consideration the number of IPPs that are planned.<br />

These IPPs will also see some new players entering the<br />

industry and these buyers are not your typical LNG<br />

players. For instance the arrival of RWE as an energy trader<br />

will certainly have an impact.<br />

The USA looks as if it <strong>to</strong>o will become a significant market<br />

for LNG. There at present two operating terminals on the<br />

East Coast of the USA: Lake Charles in Louisiana and Everett<br />

in Bos<strong>to</strong>n. However, there are two more terminals that,<br />

whilst they are currently mothballed, there are encouraging<br />

signs that both of these could be re-opened and operational<br />

by 2003. One is at Elba Island, Savannah, and the other<br />

at Cove Point, Columbia. Both of these terminals will have<br />

filed for FERC (Federal Energy Regula<strong>to</strong>ry Commission)<br />

approval by February 2000 with their planned operations<br />

scheduled for June <strong>to</strong> December 2002. The US market is<br />

interesting from a LNG perspective as it is this market<br />

which should generate most of the initial spot trading.<br />

Whilst there is much activity in the Atlantic Basin there<br />

S H I P P I N G A N D S H I P B U I L D I N G M A R K E T S 2 0 0 0<br />

73

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