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2007 Conference Program - Midwest Political Science Association

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Friday, April 13 – 2:35 pm – 4:10 pm<br />

1-109 ROUNDTABLE: PATHS TO POWER: ANALYZING<br />

THE CAREERS OF NANCY PELOSI AND<br />

HILLARY CLINTON (Co-sponsored with Gender and<br />

Politics, see 28-101)<br />

Room Red Lacquer, 4 th Floor, Fri at 2:35 pm<br />

Chair Michele L. Swers, Georgetown University<br />

Panelist Kathryn Pearson, University of Minnesota<br />

Debra Dodson, Eagleton Institute<br />

Cindy Simon Rosenthal, University of Oklahoma<br />

Sarah Brewer, American University<br />

Overview: Scholars on this roundtable will discuss the leadership<br />

style and challenges faced by Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi<br />

(D-CA) and potential presidential candidate Senator Hillary<br />

Clinton (D-NY).<br />

2-8 EXPLAINING COOPERATION: EMPLOYERS,<br />

SOCIAL PACTS AND CORPORATISM<br />

Room Salon 1, 3 rd Floor, Fri at 2:35 pm<br />

Chair Patrick Bernhagen, University of Aberdeen<br />

Paper Policy by Contract: Social Pacts in Australia and New Zealand<br />

John S. Ahlquist, University of Washington<br />

Overview: I propose a model of union-government "social pacts",<br />

tested via the empirical puzzle of why Australia signed a pact in<br />

the 1980s while New Zealand did not. The discussion relies on<br />

over 40 interviews with key policy makers in both countries.<br />

Paper Redefining Corporatism: Functional Corporatism in Modern<br />

Nations<br />

Gina A. Del Priore-Loera, University of Illinois, Chicago<br />

Overview: Development of corporatism is assessed using a<br />

multinomial logistic model using data from eighty countries.<br />

Probability of developing a functional corporate state is dependent<br />

on historical/cultural experience, level of modernization, and<br />

social unrest.<br />

Paper Politics of Employer Coordination<br />

Alexander G. Kuo, Stanford University<br />

Overview: What explains the political organization of employers<br />

across countries? Sector characteristics and initial linkages<br />

between certain sectors and the state can account for variation in<br />

the roles of employer organizations across states.<br />

Paper The <strong>Political</strong> Origins of Coordinated Capitalism<br />

Cathie Jo Martin, Boston University<br />

Duane H. Swank, Marquette University<br />

Overview: This paper seeks to explain the causes of employer<br />

organization during the early decades of industrial capitalism. We<br />

argue that the electoral and party system and state structures shape<br />

the choices employers make about collective organization.<br />

Paper Supporting the "Varieties of Capitalism" with Partisan<br />

Equilibrium<br />

Brandon C. Zicha, SUNY, Binghamton<br />

Steve B. Lem, SUNY, Binghamton<br />

Overview: We argue that as larger blocs of voters have a stake in<br />

pro-welfare collective bargaining agreements, vote-seeking major<br />

right parties will become less traditionally “right” on issues that<br />

are of specific importance to collective bargainers.<br />

Disc. Patrick Bernhagen, University of Aberdeen<br />

3-7 ELECTIONS IN LATIN AMERICA<br />

Room Salon 2, 3 rd Floor, Fri at 2:35 pm<br />

Chair Mona M. Lyne, University of South Carolina<br />

Paper <strong>Political</strong> Knowledge and <strong>Political</strong> Attitudes and Behavior in<br />

Mexico<br />

Maria F. Boidi, Vanderbilt University<br />

Overview: This study explores the consequences of political<br />

knowledge for citizens’ participation in politics and for attitudes<br />

toward political tolerance and preference for democracy in<br />

Mexico.<br />

Paper Judicial Independence in Venezuela<br />

Lesley M. Burns, University of British Columbia<br />

Overview: This study explores the role the Venezuelan Supreme<br />

Court has played in the increased electoral representation of Hugo<br />

Chavez since 1998.<br />

Page | 170<br />

Paper Forging a New Social Contract? Bolivia's 2006 Constituent<br />

Assembly Election<br />

Miguel Centellas, Dickinson College<br />

Overview: This paper provides an analysis of the July 2006<br />

Bolivian constituent assembly election in historical political<br />

perspective, with particular attention to the country’s recent<br />

regional polarization.<br />

Paper Income, Ideology and Ticket Splitting Voting in Brazil<br />

Eduardo L. Leoni, Harvard University<br />

Overview: We combine roll call data and aggregate level electoral<br />

data to investigate the issue of split-ticketing voting in Brazil.<br />

Disc. Mona M. Lyne, University of South Carolina<br />

3-16 POLITICAL COMPETITION AND POLICY<br />

REFORM<br />

Room Salon 4, 3 rd Floor, Fri at 2:35 pm<br />

Chair Pedro J. Sanoja, Temple University<br />

Paper Redistributive Politics and the Poor<br />

Christian Ponce de Leon, University of Chicago<br />

Overview: This paper presents a formal model of redistributive<br />

taxation to represent the causal relation between political regimes<br />

in developing countries and their political capacity to implement<br />

poverty alleviation policies. Empirical evidence is provided.<br />

Paper The <strong>Political</strong> Economy of Poverty Alleviation: The Case of<br />

PROGRESA in Mexico<br />

Yuriko Takahashi, Cornell University<br />

Overview: Focusing on Mexico’s <strong>Program</strong> for Education, Health,<br />

and Nutrition (PROGRESA), this study examines whether the<br />

distribution in 2000 was used for electoral purposes, and if it did,<br />

what form the manipulation took under the neoliberal policy<br />

constraint.<br />

Paper The Politics of Dollar Scarcity in Latin America<br />

Daniela Campello, University of California, Los Angeles<br />

Overview: I analyze a sample of 89 elections during 25 years in<br />

order to check whether the need to attract foreign investment in<br />

periods of dollar scarcity contributes to explain a post electoral<br />

"move to the right" by progressive candidates in Latin America.<br />

Disc. Guillelrmo Trejo, Duke University<br />

Pedro J. Sanoja, Temple University<br />

4-8 NEW THEORETICAL AND EMPIRICAL<br />

APPROACHES TO TRANSITIONS TO<br />

DEMOCRACY<br />

Room PDR 4, 3 rd Floor, Fri at 2:35 pm<br />

Chair Hiroki Takeuchi, University of California, Los Angeles<br />

Paper Authoritarian Reversals and Democratic Consolidation<br />

Milan Svolik, University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign<br />

Overview: I investigate the determinants and the dynamics of<br />

authoritarian reversals and democratic consolidation. A novel<br />

estimation technique, a split-population model, is applied to data<br />

on authoritarian reversals.<br />

Paper Presidentialism, Parliamentarism, and the Stability of<br />

Democracy<br />

Taeko Hiroi, University of Texas, El Paso<br />

Sawa Omori, University of Tokyo<br />

Overview: Contrary to the conventional wisdom, we show that<br />

presidential regimes are not more susceptible to democratic<br />

breakdowns than parliamentary regimes.<br />

Paper Gambling on Reform<br />

Jay Ulfelder, <strong>Science</strong> Applications International Corp. (SAIC)<br />

Overview: Focused on the tensions between transaction costs,<br />

economic performance, and opportunity for political mobilization,<br />

this paper uses game theory to generate an alternative explanation<br />

for some expansions of civil liberties under authoritarian rule.<br />

Paper Power and Politics: Exit, Voice, and Loyalty Revisited<br />

Matthew R. Golder, Florida State University<br />

Sona N. Golder, Florida State University<br />

William R. Clark, University of Michigan<br />

Overview: We present a game-theoretic model in which we<br />

reformulate and extend Albert Hirschman's Exit, Voice, and<br />

Loyalty (EVL) argument to examine the role of power in the

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