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2007 Conference Program - Midwest Political Science Association

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country’s history of past successful and failed coups, drawn from<br />

an original dataset of 500 post-WWII coup attempts worldwide.<br />

Paper State Capacity, Taxation and Civil Wars<br />

Zeynep Taydas, Clemson University<br />

Dursun Peksen, University of Missouri<br />

Overview: State capacity is an important determinant of civil<br />

wars. Our paper shows that weaker states are more likely to<br />

experience civil wars.<br />

Disc. Jessica A. Stanton, Columbia University<br />

18-5 PUBLIC OPINION, CONGRESS, AND FOREIGN<br />

POLICY<br />

Room Salon 7, 3 rd Floor, Fri at 12:45 pm<br />

Chair James M. McCormick, Iowa State University<br />

Paper Ideology, Economy, Policy Opposition, and the Strategic<br />

Targeting of the U.S.<br />

Dennis M. Foster, Virginia Military Institute<br />

Overview: Explores the intervening role of partisan ideology on<br />

the relationships amongst diversionary incentives, congressional<br />

foreign policy opposition, and the strategic targeting/avoidance of<br />

the United States.<br />

Paper Playing with AIPAC: The Growing Arab Lobby's Strength<br />

Khalil M. Marrar, DePaul University<br />

Overview: Scholarship on domestic actors shaping American<br />

policy toward the Israeli-Palestinian conflict has always<br />

concentrated on pro-Israel lobbying groups while ignoring the<br />

growing effectiveness of the pro-Arab lobby. This paper attempts<br />

to remedy that.<br />

Disc. Elizabeth A. Bloodgood, Concordia University<br />

19-6 INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATION AND<br />

VIOLENCE<br />

Room Clark 10, 7 th Floor, Fri at 12:45 pm<br />

Chair Alexander Thompson, Ohio State University<br />

Paper Does Hierarchy Matter? International Hierarchy and the<br />

Final Solution<br />

Ethan J. Hollander, University of California, San Diego<br />

Overview: This paper demonstrates that the efficient<br />

implementation of the Final Solution depended upon the level of<br />

hierarchy between Germany and each occupied country. It thus<br />

elucidates the factors that contribute to the success of policy<br />

implementation.<br />

Paper Accounting for Endogeneity in the Success of UN<br />

Peacekeeping Missions<br />

Andrew G. Long, University of Mississippi<br />

Greg Day, University of Mississippi<br />

Harvey D. Palmer, University of Mississippi<br />

Overview: We evaluate a bivariate probit model that accounts for<br />

endogeneity in the decision-making calculus determining where<br />

the UN intervenes and the impact of UN intervention, as well as<br />

other factors, on the likelihood of conflict reoccurrence.<br />

Paper Time Out: Examining the Duration of Interventions<br />

Susan Hannah Allen, Texas Tech University<br />

Shelli Keck, Texas Tech University<br />

Overview: What determines when an international intervention<br />

effort will end? Higher casualties increase the likelihood of<br />

intervention (Gilligan and Stedman 2003), but do more intense<br />

conflicts lead to longer or shorter intervention efforts?<br />

Disc. Alexander Thompson, Ohio State University<br />

21-3 VOTER RESPONSE TO CANDIDATE STRATEGY<br />

AND INFORMATION (Co-sponsored with Voting<br />

Behavior, see 22-18)<br />

Room Salon 12, 3 rd Floor, Fri at 12:45 pm<br />

Chair Dan Cassino, Fairleigh Dickinson University<br />

Paper Do Citizens Follow the Crowd at Election Time? How Polls<br />

Affect Decisions<br />

Cheryl Boudreau, University of California, San Diego<br />

Mathew D. McCubbins, University of California, San Diego<br />

Overview: We use experiments to assess whether and when polls<br />

help citizens to improve their decisions. Specifically, we examine<br />

whether polls help even unsophisticated citizens and whether<br />

opportunity costs prevent citizens from seeking polling<br />

information.<br />

Paper What to Attack? Candidate Strategy and Voter Response<br />

David A. M. Peterson, Texas A&M University<br />

Overview: This paper focuses on the content of attacks by<br />

candidates. I ask two questions: 1) do candidate chose to attack<br />

their opponents' perceived strengths or weaknesses? and 2) which<br />

attack is more effective at persuading voters?<br />

Paper Like leader, Like Party: Leadership Assessments and Party<br />

Images in NL<br />

Tereza Capelos, Leiden University<br />

Sabine van der Eijk, Leiden University<br />

Ron van den Akker, Leiden University<br />

Overview: This paper examines how trait perceptions of political<br />

leaders determine the image of political parties. This question is<br />

particularly timely in the context of more personalized and<br />

candidate centered politics in parliamentary European<br />

democracies.<br />

Paper Candidate Ambiguity and <strong>Political</strong> Competition<br />

Robert P. Van Houweling, University of California, Berkeley<br />

Michael Tomz, Stanford University<br />

Paul Sniderman, Stanford University<br />

Overview: We use survey experiments to assess the effects of<br />

candidate ambiguity on voter perceptions and choice. Our<br />

findings have important implications for politics, because they<br />

demonstrate a partisan bias citizens responses to ambiguous<br />

platforms.<br />

Disc. Cindy D. Kam, University of California, Davis<br />

21-101 ROUNDTABLE: 25 YEARS OF POLITICAL<br />

TOLERANCE<br />

Room Red Lacquer, 4 th Floor, Fri at 12:45 pm<br />

Chair Stanley Feldman, Stony Brook University<br />

Panelist George Marcus, Williams College<br />

Dennis Chong, Northwestern University<br />

Darren Davis, Michigan State University<br />

James Gibson, Washington University, St. Louis<br />

Overview: Reflections on the past, present, and future of tolerance<br />

research.<br />

22-6 THE POLITICAL IMPLICATIONS OF<br />

GEOGRAPHY<br />

Room Salon 8, 3 rd Floor, Fri at 12:45 pm<br />

Chair Scott McClurg, Southern Illinois University<br />

Paper The <strong>Political</strong> Geography of the 2006 Election<br />

David A. Hopkins, University of California, Berkeley<br />

Overview: Voting patterns have become more geographically<br />

distinct in recent U.S. elections. This paper investigates the extent<br />

to which this trend continued in 2006.<br />

Paper The Effects of Racial Segregation on <strong>Political</strong> Participation<br />

Ryan D. Enos, University of California, Los Angeles<br />

Overview: This paper shows that racial homogeneity at the<br />

neighborhood level increases individual political participation<br />

among African Americans; while segregating these neighborhoods<br />

within cities also increases participation.<br />

Paper There Goes the Neighborhood: The Impact of Population<br />

Growth on Turnout<br />

Joseph D. Giammo, University of Arkansas, Little Rock<br />

Overview: In this paper I examine the impact of population<br />

growth on the rate of turnout in a community, focusing on a<br />

random sample of counties across the country over the past eight<br />

presidential elections.<br />

Paper Voters Like Me: Domestic Migration and Proximity to Shared<br />

Ideology<br />

Ian R. McDonald, Duke University<br />

Overview: Does migration within the United States lead to<br />

geographic sorting of political preferences? This paper considers<br />

the claim that individuals tend to migrate towards other residents<br />

who share their political ideology.<br />

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