2007 Conference Program - Midwest Political Science Association

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Presenter The Airbus-Boeing Dispute: Political and Theoretical Implications Vicki L. Birchfield, Georgia Institute of Technology Timothy P. Gallagher, Georgia Institute of Technology Overview: The Boeing-Airbus rift has deep implications for the aerospace industry, domestic politics and US-EU relations. This paper argues that current theoretical frameworks do not capture the complexities of the dispute and offers new analytical frameworks. 14-204 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: ECONOMIC NATIONALISM Room State, 4 th Floor, Table 4, Fri at 12:45 pm Presenter Economic Sociological Sources of Economic Nationalism Valerie S. K. Teo, Southern Illinois University, Carbondale Overview: Part I surveys the emergent fields of economic nationalism and economic sociology. Part II explores economic sociological explanations of economic nationalism in relation to comparative and international political economy literature. 15-7 INTERNATIONAL CAUSES AND CONSEQUENCES OF DEMOCRATIZATION Room Salon 5, 3 rd Floor, Fri at 12:45 pm Chair Desha M. Girod, Stanford University Paper Signaling Credible Commitment: Transitions and Conflict Reciprocation Aparna Kher, SUNY, Binghamton Overview: The paper empirically tests the effect of transitions on the quality and quantity of commitment signals. Transitioning institutions provide inadequate or incoherent information, increasing uncertainty and the probability of conflict reciprocation. Paper Dependence Networks and the Diffusion of Democracy Darren Hawkins, Brigham Young University Jay Goodliffe, Brigham Young University Overview: We introduce a novel theoretical explanation for the international diffusion of democracy by focusing on the set of network partners on whom a state is dependent for trade, investment, security, and international cooperation. Paper Denouncing Frauds: Transnational Coalitions and Post- Electoral Crises Enrique Bravo-Escobar, Georgetown University Overview: The role of coalitions between domestic opposition and international actors has been crucial to prevent further postelectoral conflicts. Structured, focused comparisons of recent cases in the post-Communist world and Latin America are used. Disc. Desha M. Girod, Stanford University 15-203 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: DOMESTIC POLITICS AND INTERNATIONAL NEGOTIATIONS Room State, 4 th Floor, Table 5, Fri at 12:45 pm Presenter International Negotiation Returns for Ministries. A Multilevel Analysis Paul W. Thurner, University Mannheim Martin Binder, University Mannheim Overview: Using multi-level analysis we estimate the impact of formal and informal (network), domestic, transgovernmental and intergovernmental determinants on ministries’ returns from international negotiations. Presenter National Position Taking in International Negotiations Martin Binder, University Mannheim Overview: The paper develops a formal model of national position taking prior to international negotiations. Looking at a case study, the question is raised, how influential the national ministries were in determining the national bargaining positions. Page | 160 15-204 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: NEW METHODOLOGIES IN INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Room State, 4 th Floor, Table 6, Fri at 12:45 pm Presenter An Experimental Assessment of the Bargaining Model of War Katri K. Sieberg, Binghamton University David Clark, Binghamton University Charles Holt, University of Virginia Timothy Nordstrom, University of Mississippi William Reed, Rice University Overview: This paper uses an experiment to test a novel claim derived from an international relations bargaining model: that the chances of war are determined by the disparity between the ex ante distributions of power and benefits. 16-9 SECURITY PROBLEMS AND PROSPECTS IN ASIA Room Salon 6, 3 rd Floor, Fri at 12:45 pm Chair Bridget L. Coggins, Dartmouth College Paper A More Dangerous Dragon: China’s Diminishing Growth and the Adoption of an Aggressive Foreign Policy Agenda Brock F. Tessman, University of Georgia Overview: The growing economic, military, and political strength of the People’s Republic of China (PRC) has been a matter of considerable recent debate among international relations scholars. How will the strategic objectives of an increasingly powerful China evolve? Paper Security Implications of the Taiwanese Chip Industry Migration to China Ming-chin Monique Chu, University of Cambridge Overview: The migration of the Taiwanese chip industry to China is found to be extensive, thus triggering complex security risks for Taiwan, the USA and China including industrial-base concerns, technological risks and the PLA-microelectronics links. Paper Origin of U.S. Alliances in the Asia-Pacific in A Comparative Perspective Tatsuya Nishida, Harvard University Overview: This paper examines why the U.S. built multiple bilateral alliances in the Asia-Pacific while constructing a multilateral alliance, the NATO in Europe, and argues that the degree of security interdependence among allies is a key for a state’s choice. Paper Russian and American Approaches to Central Asian Security Bek-Myrza Tokotegin, Bosphorus University, Turkey Overview: This research paper aims to scholarly examine and analyze an American and Russian approaches to Central Eurasian security in the context of U.S.’ and Russian geopolitical competence in the region after Afghan Strike. Disc. Virginie Grzelczyk, Lafayette College 17-8 CIVIL WAR -- THE STATE Room Sandburg 8, 7 th Floor, Fri at 12:45 pm Chair Mahendra Lawoti, Western Michigan University Paper Coercive Capacity, Institutional Authority, and the Risk of Civil War Bethany A. Lacina, Stanford University Overview: The relationship between state strength and the risk of civil war is tested by coding two distinct components of the archetypal modern state: coercive capacity and institutional authority. These variables independently predict civil conflict onset. Paper Rebellion, Mobilization, and Institutions in Post-Colonial Societies Jean-Pierre Tranchant, CERDI-CNRS and Université d'Auvergne Overview: 3SLS and 2SLS estimations for post-colonial societies reveal that a strong state, captured by bureaucratic quality, exerts a strong preventive effect on rebellion. But, working institutions increase also rebellion, indirectly, through mobilization. Paper Civil-Military Relations, State Weakness and Civil Wars Naunihal Singh, University of Notre Dame Overview: This paper examines the impact of state weakness on civil war onset and duration. State weakness is proxied using a
country’s history of past successful and failed coups, drawn from an original dataset of 500 post-WWII coup attempts worldwide. Paper State Capacity, Taxation and Civil Wars Zeynep Taydas, Clemson University Dursun Peksen, University of Missouri Overview: State capacity is an important determinant of civil wars. Our paper shows that weaker states are more likely to experience civil wars. Disc. Jessica A. Stanton, Columbia University 18-5 PUBLIC OPINION, CONGRESS, AND FOREIGN POLICY Room Salon 7, 3 rd Floor, Fri at 12:45 pm Chair James M. McCormick, Iowa State University Paper Ideology, Economy, Policy Opposition, and the Strategic Targeting of the U.S. Dennis M. Foster, Virginia Military Institute Overview: Explores the intervening role of partisan ideology on the relationships amongst diversionary incentives, congressional foreign policy opposition, and the strategic targeting/avoidance of the United States. Paper Playing with AIPAC: The Growing Arab Lobby's Strength Khalil M. Marrar, DePaul University Overview: Scholarship on domestic actors shaping American policy toward the Israeli-Palestinian conflict has always concentrated on pro-Israel lobbying groups while ignoring the growing effectiveness of the pro-Arab lobby. This paper attempts to remedy that. Disc. Elizabeth A. Bloodgood, Concordia University 19-6 INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATION AND VIOLENCE Room Clark 10, 7 th Floor, Fri at 12:45 pm Chair Alexander Thompson, Ohio State University Paper Does Hierarchy Matter? International Hierarchy and the Final Solution Ethan J. Hollander, University of California, San Diego Overview: This paper demonstrates that the efficient implementation of the Final Solution depended upon the level of hierarchy between Germany and each occupied country. It thus elucidates the factors that contribute to the success of policy implementation. Paper Accounting for Endogeneity in the Success of UN Peacekeeping Missions Andrew G. Long, University of Mississippi Greg Day, University of Mississippi Harvey D. Palmer, University of Mississippi Overview: We evaluate a bivariate probit model that accounts for endogeneity in the decision-making calculus determining where the UN intervenes and the impact of UN intervention, as well as other factors, on the likelihood of conflict reoccurrence. Paper Time Out: Examining the Duration of Interventions Susan Hannah Allen, Texas Tech University Shelli Keck, Texas Tech University Overview: What determines when an international intervention effort will end? Higher casualties increase the likelihood of intervention (Gilligan and Stedman 2003), but do more intense conflicts lead to longer or shorter intervention efforts? Disc. Alexander Thompson, Ohio State University 21-3 VOTER RESPONSE TO CANDIDATE STRATEGY AND INFORMATION (Co-sponsored with Voting Behavior, see 22-18) Room Salon 12, 3 rd Floor, Fri at 12:45 pm Chair Dan Cassino, Fairleigh Dickinson University Paper Do Citizens Follow the Crowd at Election Time? How Polls Affect Decisions Cheryl Boudreau, University of California, San Diego Mathew D. McCubbins, University of California, San Diego Overview: We use experiments to assess whether and when polls help citizens to improve their decisions. Specifically, we examine whether polls help even unsophisticated citizens and whether opportunity costs prevent citizens from seeking polling information. Paper What to Attack? Candidate Strategy and Voter Response David A. M. Peterson, Texas A&M University Overview: This paper focuses on the content of attacks by candidates. I ask two questions: 1) do candidate chose to attack their opponents' perceived strengths or weaknesses? and 2) which attack is more effective at persuading voters? Paper Like leader, Like Party: Leadership Assessments and Party Images in NL Tereza Capelos, Leiden University Sabine van der Eijk, Leiden University Ron van den Akker, Leiden University Overview: This paper examines how trait perceptions of political leaders determine the image of political parties. This question is particularly timely in the context of more personalized and candidate centered politics in parliamentary European democracies. Paper Candidate Ambiguity and Political Competition Robert P. Van Houweling, University of California, Berkeley Michael Tomz, Stanford University Paul Sniderman, Stanford University Overview: We use survey experiments to assess the effects of candidate ambiguity on voter perceptions and choice. Our findings have important implications for politics, because they demonstrate a partisan bias citizens responses to ambiguous platforms. Disc. Cindy D. Kam, University of California, Davis 21-101 ROUNDTABLE: 25 YEARS OF POLITICAL TOLERANCE Room Red Lacquer, 4 th Floor, Fri at 12:45 pm Chair Stanley Feldman, Stony Brook University Panelist George Marcus, Williams College Dennis Chong, Northwestern University Darren Davis, Michigan State University James Gibson, Washington University, St. Louis Overview: Reflections on the past, present, and future of tolerance research. 22-6 THE POLITICAL IMPLICATIONS OF GEOGRAPHY Room Salon 8, 3 rd Floor, Fri at 12:45 pm Chair Scott McClurg, Southern Illinois University Paper The Political Geography of the 2006 Election David A. Hopkins, University of California, Berkeley Overview: Voting patterns have become more geographically distinct in recent U.S. elections. This paper investigates the extent to which this trend continued in 2006. Paper The Effects of Racial Segregation on Political Participation Ryan D. Enos, University of California, Los Angeles Overview: This paper shows that racial homogeneity at the neighborhood level increases individual political participation among African Americans; while segregating these neighborhoods within cities also increases participation. Paper There Goes the Neighborhood: The Impact of Population Growth on Turnout Joseph D. Giammo, University of Arkansas, Little Rock Overview: In this paper I examine the impact of population growth on the rate of turnout in a community, focusing on a random sample of counties across the country over the past eight presidential elections. Paper Voters Like Me: Domestic Migration and Proximity to Shared Ideology Ian R. McDonald, Duke University Overview: Does migration within the United States lead to geographic sorting of political preferences? This paper considers the claim that individuals tend to migrate towards other residents who share their political ideology. Page | 161
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Paper The Rise of the Conservative
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35-1 NETWORK ANALYSIS Room Montrose
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Paper One Level Over Another: An An
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Paper Contagion as an Omitted Varia
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Paper Rewarding Human Rights: The E
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37-2 THE WORKINGS OF INTEREST GROUP
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46-2 THE DYNAMICS OF WELFARE POLICY
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53-12 ISLAM IN COMPARATIVE PERSPECT
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Paper Government Response to Crisis
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Paper Durable Authoritarianism in J
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Paper Managing Challenges to China
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Paper Challenging Inequality, Deman
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39-2 CONSEQUENCES OF PARTISAN POLAR
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Paper De-Mobilizing Citizens: Inter
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Paper Labor Union Revitalization: T
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5-3 ORGANIZING REPRESENTATION Room
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Paper A Study of Chinese Peasants
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21-201 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: AMBIVAL
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Paper Types of Political Participat
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33-24 PROBLEMS OF MODERN POLITICAL
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Paper God and Caeser: Religion in t
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Presenter The Role of Kenya's Tradi
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Paper Political Institutions and Ci
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Paper Challenger Opportunity Costs
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Paper Liberty, Law, and the Histori
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46-202 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: PROCURE
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Presenter College and International
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Paper The Peace Process and the Pal
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Paper A Systems Theory Understandin
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Paper Somewhere in the Middle: The
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includes all possible important pre
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47-5 BARRIERS TO EMPOWERMENT AMONG
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Presenter William Lowndes Yancey an
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4-14 TRANSITIONAL JUSTICE Room PDR
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16-15 SOVEREIGNTY, BORDERS, AND NAT
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Paper The Politics of Electoral Sys
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35-10 TOPICS IN POLITICAL METHODOLO
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Paper A Comparison of Wisconsin Par
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Presenter Dimensions of Religosity,
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Sunday, April 15 - 8:00 am - 9:35 a
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13-9 POST-COMMUNIST POLITICAL ECONO
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Paper Activating, Mobilizing Race a
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Disc. Gisela Sin, University of Ill
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system is one of the most important
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Paper How Wife and Husband Influenc
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Paper Circumventing the Senate: The
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2007 Conference Program - Midwest Political Science Association

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