2007 Conference Program - Midwest Political Science Association

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Paper Deliberation, Power, Conspiracy, and Political Culture Philip T. Neisser, SUNY, Potsdam Overview: Conspiracy theory and the overly voluntaristic notions of power that typically inform it function together as major sources of disagreement failure, and thus as obstacles to deliberative democracy. Paper Political Manipulation and Collective Responsibility John M. Parrish, Loyola Marymount University Overview: To what extent are democratic citizens responsible for the outcomes of public choices that have been subject to manipulation? Manipulated publics, this paper argues, may bear more responsibility collectively than manipulated individuals would. Disc. Andrew Rehfeld, Washington University 34-14 BARGAINING AND SEPARATION OF POWERS Room Dearborn 1, 7 th Floor, Thur at 12:45 pm Chair Krishna Ladha, University of Mississippi Paper Modelling Complex Negotiations: An Agent-Based Expected Utility Model Andreas K. Warntjen, London School of Economics and Political Science Overview: The paper presents several results of an agent-based model based on Bueno de Mesquita’s expected utility model. The focus is on the relationship between the initial main parameters (i.e., preferences, salience, capabilities) and decision outcomes. Paper A Model of Endogenous Government Formation Anna Bassi, New York University Overview: Government formation is analyzed as a bargaining process in which the formateur is endogenously determined in a model where legislators are assumed to care about both the allocation of cabinet portfolio and the content of the government policy. Paper Bargaining Over a New Welfare State - FDR and Congress in the 1930s Kaj M. Thomsson, Yale University Alessandro Bonatti, Yale University Overview: We develop a model of President-Congress bargaining during the New Deal period. We use the model the estimate a "New Deal objective function" - i.e. the objectives that determined the distribution of funds across regions of the country. Paper Managing Expectations: When Can Candidates Profitably Under-Report Competence? Rene Lindstaedt, SUNY, Stony Brook Jeffrey K. Staton, Florida State University Overview: It is unclear why some candidates appear to undersell themselves. We develop a model in which a rational candidate interacts with a boundedly rational donor, the aim of which is to explain when underselling quality is plausible. Disc. John T. Gasper, Carnegie Mellon University 35-13 SPATIAL COMPETITION Room Montrose 2, 7 th Floor, Thur at 12:45 pm Chair Guy Whitten, Texas A&M University Paper Candidate Proximity Models in Spatially Weighted Regression Kyle W. Leiker, University of Wisconsin, Milwaukee Overview: This paper uses ideological proximity in a locally weighted regression to examine variation in the importance and meaning of political issues across the ideological spectra. Paper Specification of Proximity Models: Non-Euclidean Distances and Weighting Kyle W. Leiker, University of Wisconsin, Milwaukee Min Ye, University of Wisconsin, Milwaukee Overview: This paper explores the dimensional and contextual natures of policy spaces by specifying and testing the performance of non-Euclidean distance measures against traditional measures, using universal (aspatial) and spatially weighted regressions. Paper Estimating a Political Space Melvin J. Hinich, University of Texas, Austin Alia Carkoglu, Sabanci University Overview: I will present an improved version of my MAP program to estimate the dimensionality of a political space and the location of candidates and voters in that space. Page | 100 Paper Vote: Analyze Vote Behavior Joan Serra, University of Chicago Overview: This paper introduces vote, a package to analyze vote behavior. It computes the impact of the different factors that affect the choice of voters from among two or more candidates and abstention, be demographic, candidate, or abstention specific. Disc. Dean P. Lacy, Dartmouth College 37-1 MINOR PARTIES, THIRD PARTIES: THEIR IMPACT ON THE ELECTORAL PROCESS Room LaSalle 2, 7 th Floor, Thur at 12:45 pm Chair Robin Kolodny, Temple University Paper The Prohibition Party, the 1884 Election, and the Minor Party Question Lisa M. Andersen, University of Chicago Overview: The peculiar results of the 1884 election made the role of third parties a problem for debate among political thinkers and inspired an exciting investigation of the relationship between party organization and democracy. Paper Election Laws or Cooptation: The Decline of American Third- Parties Over the Twentieth Century Bernard Ivan Tamas, Illinois State University Matthew Dean Hindman, University of Minnesota Overview: Using interrupted time-series regression, we analyzed the decline of electoral support for third-parties by state. We argue that third-parties declined in support primarily because of cooptation and marginalization, not because of changes in election law. Paper Issue Fragmentation and Third Party Support in U.S. Gizem Arikan, Stony Brook University Eser Sekercioglu, Stony Brook University Overview: We argue that emergence of 3rd party candidates in presidential elections is the result of issue fragmentation rather than major party deterioration. Using candidate fractionalization in primaries as a proxy,we predict support for 3rd party candidates. Paper A Historical Look at the Agenda-Setting Role of American Minor Parties Eric D. Russell, Ohio State University Overview: This paper systematically studies the flow of policy positions and ideas between major and minor parties over the course of American history from 1840 to 2004 in an effort to test several new theories about the agenda-setting role of third parties. Disc. Leon Halpert, Siena College 38-201 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: FOREIGN POLICY IN PRESIDENTIAL DEBATES Room State, 4 th Floor, Table 6, Thur at 12:45 pm Presenter Foreign Policy Content in Presidential Debates: From Cold War to Post-9/11 Adam Joyce, New School for Social Research Overview: How has the political debate changed from Cold War to post-9/11? This paper tracks presidential debates from 1980- 2004 to determine foreign policy content, how foreign and domestic policy are linked, and the number of foreign policy topics raised. 38-202 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: 9/11-ICIZING POLITICS Room State, 4 th Floor, Table 6, Thur at 12:45 pm Presenter 9/11-izing Politics: Separated Powers and the State of Exception Dan Muszynski, University of Toledo Overview: This presentation investigates the state of the American separation of powers regime in the post 9/11 world. Specifically, I argue that the unprecedented power of the modern executive exists not in spite of this system, but because of it.
39-2 CONSEQUENCES OF PARTISAN POLARIZATION Room Montrose 1, 7 th Floor, Thur at 12:45 pm Chair Robert P. Van Houweling, University of California, Berkeley Paper Partisanship in One Minute Speeches in the 108th Congress Kathryn Pearson, University of Minnesota Wendy Rahn, University of Minnesota Logan Dancey, University of Minnesota Overview: In a content analysis of one-minute speeches on the House floor, we demonstrate through members' words that partisanship is social and emotional, in addition to strategic, in the 108th Congress. Paper Partisanship without Ideology: Using Votes to Shape Party Reputations for Competence Frances E. Lee, University of Maryland This paper analyzes the parties’ use of the roll-call record to improve their own collective reputations on "good government" causes (and to undermine their opposition’s reputation for competence or uprightness). Paper Polarization and the Congressional Agenda Laurel M. Harbridge, Stanford University Overview: I examine how elite polarization in Congress has translated into the level of partisanship in the congressional agenda and how institutional features of Congress temper agenda partisanship. Paper Legislative Conflict and Policy Productivity in Congress, 1873- 2004 Lawrence C. Dodd, University of Florida Scot D. Schraufnagel, University of Central Florida Overview: Congress’s capacity to enact landmark legislation confronts a central dilemma: too much intra-institutional conflict inhibits landmark productivity -- but so does too little conflict. Moderate levels of conflict foster landmark productivity. Paper Party, the Distribution of Preferences, and Bill Passage Length in Congress Andrew J. Taylor, North Carolina State University Overview: I test partisan and partyless hypotheses about bill passage length in Congress using survival analysis. I show that a partisan understanding of the distribution of member preferences helps explain bill passage length, but a chamber one does not. Disc. Kevin A. Roust, University of California, San Diego Robert P. Van Houweling, University of California, Berkeley 39-15 CONGRESSIONAL POLICY MAKING IN MULTIPLE DOMAINS Room Suite 9-142, 9 th Floor, Thur at 12:45 pm Chair Wendy Schiller, Brown University Paper U.S. Defense Budget Allocations for Weapons Production from 1904-2006 Rebecca U. Thorpe, University of Maryland Overview: This project assesses whether U.S. Defense budget allocations convey increasing levels of spending for weapons contracts at the expense of standard military operations. Paper Explaining Bipartisanship in Foreign Policy: Spectacles Revised Jianying Wang, University of Missouri, Columbia Overview: This paper explains how domestic economy situation changes the bipartisan presidential support in the House in economy-related foreign policies. The observation period is from 1953 through 1998. Paper Playing the Field: Committee Referrals of Abortion-Related Proposals Scott Ainsworth, University of Georgia Thad E. Hall, University of Utah Overview: Our work focuses on how the legislative strategies employed by members have evolved over time. With attention to the members' internal and external environments, we ask: Under what circumstances are abortion related measures introduced. Paper A Congressional Politics Theory of the Size of Government Robi Ragan, University of Georgia Overview: This paper incorporates three models of Congressional policy making into a larger model of the size of the redistribution system in the U.S., and then empirically tests the implications of these models. Paper Equal Representation? Race and Legislators’ Support for Civil Rights Jeffrey W. Ladewig, University of Connecticut Michelle M. Dube, University of Connecticut Overview: An examination of the effects of constituents' and legislators' demographic characteristics on their support for civil rights legislation. Disc. Wendy Schiller, Brown University 41-2 DECIDING TO DECIDE: GRANTING CERT ON THE SUPREME COURT Room Montrose 7, 7 th Floor, Thur at 12:45 pm Chair Sara C. Benesh, University of Wisconsin, Milwaukee Paper The Will of the Minority: The Rule of Four on the United States Supreme Court Jason M. Roberts, University of Minnesota Timothy R. Johnson, University of Minnesota Songying Fang, University of Minnesota Overview: In this paper we develop a formal model that seeks to explain why a majority of justices are willing to allow a minority to determine the Court’s agenda. We then use data from the 1946- 1985 to test the predictions of our model. Paper Litigant Status and Agenda Setting on the U.S. Supreme Court Ryan C. Black, Washington University, St. Louis Christina L. Boyd, Washington University, St. Louis Overview: We test whether litigant status affects the likelihood of granting discretionary review by the U.S. Supreme Court. Paper U.S. Supreme Court Certiorari Votes: A Social Choice Explanation Quan Li, University of Central Florida Danette Brickman, John Jay College of Criminal Justice Overview: This paper examines Supreme Court justices’ choices between sophisticated voting and sincere voting in certiorari decisions as a result of uncertainty generated by the Court’s group context. Paper Strategic Opinion-Minded Justices During Certiorari Ehud N. Sommer, SUNY, Stony Brook Overview: My research question - to what extent justices' potential future influence on the opinion writing process guides the vote they cast on Cert? Paper Litigant Status and the Certiorari Decision Wendy L. Watson, University of North Texas Overview: This paper considers the effect of petitioners' in forma pauperis status and pro se status on the U.S. Supreme Court's decision to accept petitions for review in criminal cases. Disc. Sara C. Benesh, University of Wisconsin, Milwaukee Harold Spaeth, Michigan State University 41-15 COURTS AND PUBLIC OPINION II: SUPPORT FOR THE COURTS (Co-sponsored with Public Opinion, see 25-23) Room Burnham 1, 7 th Floor, Thur at 12:45 pm Chair Elliot E. Slotnick, Ohio State University Paper The Supreme Court, Foreign Law, and its Consequences for Public Support Brett Curry, Georgia Southern University Banks Miller, Ohio State University Overview: We employ an experimental design to investigate the extent to which the U.S. Supreme Court’s reliance of foreign law impacts public support for the Court and its decisions. Paper U.S. Supreme Court Nominations, Legitimacy Theory, and the American Public: A Dynamic Test of the Positivity Bias Hypothesis James L. Gibson, Washington University, St. Louis Gregory A. Caldeira, Ohio State University Overview: Based on a three-wave nationally representative panel survey, the purpose of this paper is specifically to test hypotheses about the causes of changes in attitudes toward the United States Supreme Court. Page | 101
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Page 5 and 6: deliberation experiment. We argue t
Page 7 and 8: Paper The Rise of the Conservative
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Page 15 and 16: Paper Contagion as an Omitted Varia
Page 17 and 18: Paper Rewarding Human Rights: The E
Page 19 and 20: Paper Presentation Style and Politi
Page 21 and 22: 37-2 THE WORKINGS OF INTEREST GROUP
Page 23 and 24: 46-2 THE DYNAMICS OF WELFARE POLICY
Page 25 and 26: 53-12 ISLAM IN COMPARATIVE PERSPECT
Page 27 and 28: Paper Government Response to Crisis
Page 29 and 30: Paper Durable Authoritarianism in J
Page 31 and 32: Paper Managing Challenges to China
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Page 37 and 38: Paper De-Mobilizing Citizens: Inter
Page 39 and 40: Paper Labor Union Revitalization: T
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Page 43 and 44: Paper Socioeconomic Rights as Human
Page 45 and 46: Paper Priming the Quantity and Iden
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Page 49 and 50: Paper Explaining the Increased Pola
Page 51 and 52: Paper Is Convergence of Environment
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Page 55 and 56: Paper Islam, Education, Trust and E
Page 57 and 58: 23-3 INTERNET AND NEW CAMPAIGNING T
Page 59 and 60: Paper Allegiance to Race: The Polit
Page 61 and 62: Paper When Do Individuals Perceive
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Page 65 and 66: ehavioral patterns, and subject the
Page 67 and 68: Paper Corruption and Anti-Corruptio
Page 69 and 70: Paper Monetary Institutions, Partis
Page 71 and 72: Paper The New and Old Electoral Con
Page 73 and 74: 30-2 THE PRACTICE OF POLITICS Room
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Page 77 and 78: Paper School Governance and Informa
Page 79 and 80: Presenter Doing it Thai Way: Toward
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Disc. Susan L. Gaffney, Governors S
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39-5 THE POLITICS OF CONGRESS AND T
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Paper City Manager Leadership Techn
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Friday, April 13 - 12:45 pm - 2:20
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two theories about the causes of th
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country’s history of past success
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Paper The Policy Preferences and Pr
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Paper A Strategic Model and Empiric
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42-101 AUTHOR MEETS CRITICS: MARK G
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64-101 ROUNDTABLE: SETTING AN AGEND
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elationship between states and thei
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etween political and interpersonal
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Paper EUs "Power of Attraction" and
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of gender in the intersection of de
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Paper Dual Defection: Liberating Pa
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Paper The Public and School Board A
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51-203 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: PATH DE
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4-9 DEMOCRATIC TRANSITIONS - PERSPE
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15-17 EAST ASIAN SECURITY POLITICS
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26-14 ON THE PERIPHERY: THE PARTICI
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Presenter Integrated Spectacle: Ori
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Paper Going Negative in a New Media
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Paper Does Environmental Policy Des
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Saturday, April 14 - 8:00 am - 9:35
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Paper Is Federalism Dead in Russia,
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Paper External and Domestic Issues
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Paper Ideology vs. Social Identity:
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39-102 ROUNDTABLE: THE STATE OF THE
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Paper Why Do You Believe So?: Polic
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Saturday, April 14 - 9:50 am - 11:2
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Paper A Study of Chinese Peasants
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21-201 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: AMBIVAL
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Paper Types of Political Participat
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33-24 PROBLEMS OF MODERN POLITICAL
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Paper God and Caeser: Religion in t
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Presenter The Role of Kenya's Tradi
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Saturday, April 14 - 12:45 pm - 2:2
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Paper Political Institutions and Ci
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Paper Challenger Opportunity Costs
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Paper Liberty, Law, and the Histori
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38-8 PRESIDENTIAL DELEGATIONS (Co-s
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46-202 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: PROCURE
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Presenter College and International
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Saturday, April 14 - 2:35 pm - 4:10
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Paper The Peace Process and the Pal
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Paper A Systems Theory Understandin
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Paper Somewhere in the Middle: The
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includes all possible important pre
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47-5 BARRIERS TO EMPOWERMENT AMONG
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Presenter William Lowndes Yancey an
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4-14 TRANSITIONAL JUSTICE Room PDR
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16-15 SOVEREIGNTY, BORDERS, AND NAT
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Paper The Politics of Electoral Sys
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35-10 TOPICS IN POLITICAL METHODOLO
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Paper A Comparison of Wisconsin Par
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Presenter Dimensions of Religosity,
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Sunday, April 15 - 8:00 am - 9:35 a
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13-9 POST-COMMUNIST POLITICAL ECONO
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Paper Activating, Mobilizing Race a
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Disc. Gisela Sin, University of Ill
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Sunday, April 15 - 9:50 am - 11:25
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system is one of the most important
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Paper How Wife and Husband Influenc
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Paper Circumventing the Senate: The
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2007 Conference Program - Midwest Political Science Association

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