Rob van Hest Capture-recapture Methods in Surveillance - RePub ...

More documents

Recommendations

Info

Infectious disease capture-recapture studies 3.2 Application of capture-recapture analysis in studies on infectious diseases An increasing number of capture-recapture studies have infectious diseases as their subject. Before 1997 studies using capture-recapture analyses in the context of infectious disease epidemiology were performed predominantly for HIV/AIDS. 3-12 Other infectious diseases studied were cryptococcosis, 13 measles, 14,15 meningococcal infection, 16,17 pertussis, 18 sexually transmitted diseases other than HIV/AIDS 19 and tetanus. 20 The majority of these studies were two-source capture-recapture studies. An overview of these studies can be found at http://www.pitt.edu/~yuc2/infec.html (accessed 1 May 2007). A synopsis of capture-recapture studies performed after 1997 is given in Table 3.1 Capturerecapture studies on tuberculosis have been discussed separately in section 1.2. The capture-recapture studies involved 19 different infectious diseases or groups of infectious diseases. The four infectious diseases mostly studied with capture-recapture analysis over the past ten years are HIV/AIDS, malaria, meningitis and pertussis. The capturerecapture studies on infectious diseases were performed all over the world but mostly in Europe or the USA. Again, the majority are two-source capture-recapture studies. Half were national studies and half were regional or local studies. The aims varied from estimating the completeness of registers, the completeness of ascertainment of linked registers, under-notification, the number of patients or disease incidence, the number of fatal cases or mortality rates, to estimating the number of outbreaks of an infectious disease. Registers used for capture-recapture estimates were notification, surveillance, hospital episode, laboratory, death and school registers. Sometimes one data source was created by performing a survey and incidentally self-reports were used as a second source. Reported completeness of registration or case-ascertainment could be as high as 99.9 % or as low as 9%. 39
Table 3.1 Published capture-recapture studies of infectious diseases, excluding tuberculosis, 1997-2006. Disease Authors Objective Method Data-source Outcome The completeness of the mandatory AIDS surveillance system was estimated at 83.6% Two-source CRCc model (95%CI d 82.9-84.3%) 1. Mandatory AIDS surveillance system 2. Hospital database on HIV infection 1. Mandatory AIDS surveillance system 2. Hospital discharge database or Medicaid database HIVa/AIDSb Bernillon et al21 To estimate the completeness of the French mandatory AIDS surveillance system, 1990-1993 The completeness of the mandatory AIDS surveillance system was estimated at 92.6% (95%CI 91.6-93.5%) using the hospital discharge database and at 94.5% (95%CI 93.7- 95.3%) using the Medicaid database Two-source CRC model HIV/AIDS Jara et al22 To estimate the completeness of the Massachusetts AIDS registry in 1994 The completeness of the prison register of AIDS patients was estimated at 55.3% (95%CI Three-source loglinear CRC model 51.7-58.0%) HIV/AIDS Acin et al23 To estimate the completeness of the prison AIDS register in Spain in 2000 The number of people infected with HIV was estimated at 11 281 (95%CI 10 981-11 621) and 1. Prison register of AIDS patients 2. Prison register of TBe patients 3. Prison register of hospital admissions 1. National mandatory AIDS registry 2. Regional HIV registry 3. Regional death registry 4. Regional hospital discharge Four-source loglinear CRC model the completeness of case-ascertainment at 77.3% (95%CI 75.1-79.4%) HIV/AIDS Pezotti et al24 To estimate the number of people infected with HIV in the Venetto region in Italy and the completeness of case-ascertainment, 1983- 2000 registry In non-epidemic years an estimated average of 2791 (95%CI 1553-3481) suspected dengue 1. Laboratory–based surveillance system 2. Hospital–based surveillance system Two-source CRC model Dengue Dechant et al25 To estimate the number of people hospitalised for suspected dengue in Puerto Rico, 1991-1995 patients were hospitalised and in an epidemic year 9479 (95%CI 9076-9882) persons. Inclusion of the hospital-based system improved case-ascertainment with 12.6%
Page 1 and 2: Capture-recapture Methods in Survei
Page 3 and 4: Colofon Capture-recapture methods i
Page 5 and 6: Promotiecommissie Promotor: Prof.dr
Page 8: Contents Page 1 Introduction 9 2 Me
Page 11 and 12: Chapter 1 1.1 Assessing completenes
Page 13 and 14: Chapter 1 94% among AIDS patients w
Page 15 and 16: Table 1.1 Objectives, methods, data
Page 17 and 18: Researchers Objective Method Data-s
Page 19 and 20: Chapter 1 source capture-recapture
Page 21 and 22: Chapter 1 32. Bradley BL, Kerr KM,
Page 24 and 25: 2 Methodology of capture-recapture
Page 26 and 27: Methodology of capture-recapture an
Page 36: Methodology of capture-recapture an
Page 39: Chapter 3 3.1 Application of captur
Page 43 and 44: Disease Authors Objective Method Da
Page 49 and 50: Chapter 3 3.3 References 1. Hook EB
Page 51 and 52: Chapter 3 52. Reintjes R, Termorshu
Page 53 and 54: Chapter 4 Abstract The aim of this
Page 55 and 56: Chapter 4 Methods Nearly all Dutch
Page 57 and 58: Chapter 4 Table 4.2 The number of m
Page 59 and 60: Chapter 4 diagnosis. Other patients
Page 61 and 62: Chapter 4 stratify the population i
Page 63 and 64: Chapter 4 25. Lambeth, Southwark an
Page 65 and 66: Chapter 5 Abstract To estimate inci
Page 67 and 68: Chapter 5 patients. Capture-recaptu
Page 69 and 70: Chapter 5 Figure 5.1 Four regions o
Page 71 and 72: Chapter 5 Hospital records From 385
Page 73 and 74: Chapter 5 Table 5.1 Epidemiological
Page 75 and 76: Table 5.2 Number and proportion of
Page 77 and 78: Chapter 5 cautious about the associ
Page 79 and 80: Chapter 5 Incidence of community-ac
Page 81 and 82: Chapter 6 Abstract The aim of this
Page 83 and 84: Chapter 6 3. Hospitalised patients
Page 85 and 86: Chapter 6 Record-linkage of all 537
Page 87 and 88: Chapter 6 Figure 6.1 Schematic view
Page 89 and 90: Chapter 6 Table 6.2 Total and strat
Page 91 and 92:
Chapter 6 administrative discrepanc
Page 93 and 94:
Chapter 6 the patients, and complet
Page 96 and 97:
7 Undetected burden of tuberculosis
Page 98 and 99:
Introduction Underreporting of tube
Page 100 and 101:
Underreporting of tuberculosis in t
Page 102 and 103:
Table 7.1 Total and subset numbers
Page 104 and 105:
Table 7.2 Capture-recapture estimat
Page 106 and 107:
Page 108:
Page 111 and 112:
Chapter 8 Abstract In 1999 the Enha
Page 113 and 114:
Chapter 8 bacteriological confirmat
Page 115 and 116:
Chapter 8 Results Table 8.1 shows t
Page 117 and 118:
Table 8.3 Annual and overall observ
Page 119 and 120:
Table 8.4 Annual and overall estima
Page 121 and 122:
Chapter 8 interaction however, i.e.
Page 123 and 124:
Chapter 8 shows that observed under
Page 126 and 127:
9 Estimating the coverage of tuberc
Page 128 and 129:
Introduction Estimating targeted mo
Page 130 and 131:
Estimating targeted mobile tubercul
Page 132 and 133:
Page 134 and 135:
Page 136 and 137:
References Estimating targeted mobi
Page 138 and 139:
10 Estimating infectious diseases i
Page 140 and 141:
Introduction Estimating infectious
Page 142 and 143:
Estimating infectious disease incid
Page 144 and 145:
Study Disease and number of patient
Page 146 and 147:
4. Gallay A, Vaillant V, Bouvet P,
Page 148 and 149:
Table 10.3 Comparison of the variou
Page 150 and 151:
Discussion Estimating infectious di
Page 152 and 153:
Page 154 and 155:
Page 156:
Page 159 and 160:
Chapter 11 The aim of this thesis i
Page 161 and 162:
Chapter 11 overestimation of the nu
Page 163 and 164:
Chapter 11 clinicians to the Public
Page 165 and 166:
Chapter 11 operation with the chest
Page 167 and 168:
Chapter 11 of the proportion of fal
Page 169 and 170:
Chapter 11 Question 3: What is the
Page 171 and 172:
Chapter 11 11.2 Some findings of th
Page 173 and 174:
Chapter 11 • To improve timelines
Page 176 and 177:
Summary Summary Surveillance is an
Page 178 and 179:
Summary linkage of notification and
Page 180 and 181:
Samenvatting Samenvatting Surveilla
Page 182 and 183:
Samenvatting subgroepen binnen de b
Page 184 and 185:
Acknowledgements Acknowledgements W
Page 186 and 187:
Curriculum vitae Rob van Hest was b
Page 188 and 189:
Publications This thesis Van Hest N
show all

Rob van Hest Capture-recapture Methods in Surveillance - RePub ...

Create successful ePaper yourself

Delete template?

Save as template?