References Underreport<strong>in</strong>g of malaria <strong>in</strong> the Netherlands 1. Muentener P, Schlagenhauf P, Steffen R. Imported malaria (1985-95): trends and perspectives. Bull World Health Organ 1999; 77: 560-6. 2. Sprenger MJW, Schrijnemakers PM. [More <strong>in</strong>formation on <strong>in</strong>fectious diseases provided by a national <strong>in</strong>formation system]. Ned Tijdschr Geneeskd 1998; 142: 1923-6. 3. Reep-<strong>van</strong> den Bergh CMM, Docters <strong>van</strong> Leeuwen WM, Kessel RPM <strong>van</strong>, Lelijveld JLM. [Malaria: undernotification and risk assessment for travellers to the tropics]. Ned Tijdschr Geneeskd 1996; 140: 878-82. 4. Hubert B, Desenclos JC. [Evaluation of the exhaustiveness and representativeness of a surveillance system us<strong>in</strong>g the capture-<strong>recapture</strong> method. Application to the surveillance of men<strong>in</strong>gococcal <strong>in</strong>fections <strong>in</strong> France <strong>in</strong> 1989 and 1990]. Rev Epidemiol Sante Publique 1993; 41: 241-9. 5. Abeni DD, Brancato G, Perucci CA. <strong>Capture</strong>-<strong>recapture</strong> to estimate the size of the population with human immunodeficiency virus type 1 <strong>in</strong>fection. Epidemiology 1994; 5: 410-4. 6. International Work<strong>in</strong>g Group for Disease Monitor<strong>in</strong>g and Forecast<strong>in</strong>g. <strong>Capture</strong>-<strong>recapture</strong> and multiplerecord estimation I: History and theoretical development. II: Applications <strong>in</strong> human diseases. Am J of Epidemiol 1995; 142: 1047-68. 7. Dromer F, Mathoul<strong>in</strong> S, Dupont B, Laporte A. Epidemiology of cryptococcosis <strong>in</strong> France: a 9-year survey (1985-1993). French Cryptococcosis Study Group. Cl<strong>in</strong> Infect Dis 1996; 23: 82-90. 8. Infuso A, Hubert B, Etienne J. Underreport<strong>in</strong>g of Legionnaires' disease <strong>in</strong> France: the case for more active surveillance. Eurosurveillance 1998; 3: 48-50. 9. Dev<strong>in</strong>e MJ, Bellis MA, Tocque K, Syed Q. Whoop<strong>in</strong>g cough surveillance <strong>in</strong> the north west of England. Commun Dis Public Health 1998; 1: 121-5. 10. Re<strong>in</strong>tjes R, Termorshuizen F, <strong>van</strong> de Laar MJ. Assess<strong>in</strong>g the sensitivity of STD surveillance <strong>in</strong> the Netherlands: an application of the capture-<strong>recapture</strong> method. Epidemiol Infect 1999; 122: 97-102. 11. Dechant EJ, Rigau-Perez JG. Hospitalizations for suspected dengue <strong>in</strong> Puerto Rico, 1991-1995: estimation by capture-<strong>recapture</strong> methods. The Puerto Rico Association of Epidemiologists. Am J Trop Med Hyg 1999; 61: 574-8. 12. Bernillon P, Lievre L, Pillonel J, Laporte A, Costagliola D. Record-l<strong>in</strong>kage between two anonymous databases for a capture-<strong>recapture</strong> estimation of underreport<strong>in</strong>g of AIDS cases: France 1990-1993. The Cl<strong>in</strong>ical Epidemiology Group from Centres d'Information et de So<strong>in</strong>s de l'Immunodeficience Huma<strong>in</strong>e. Int J Epidemiol 2000; 29: 168-74 13. Gallay A, Vaillant V, Bouvet P, Grimont P, Desenclos JC. How many foodborne outbreaks of Salmonella <strong>in</strong>fection occurred <strong>in</strong> France <strong>in</strong> 1995? Application of the capture-<strong>recapture</strong> method to three surveillance systems. Am J Epidemiol 2000; 152: 171-7. 14. Tocque K, Bellis MA, Beech<strong>in</strong>g NJ, Davies PD. <strong>Capture</strong> <strong>recapture</strong> as a method of determ<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g the completeness of tuberculosis notifications. Commun Dis Public Health 2001; 4:141-3. 15. Deparis X, Pascal B, Baudon D. [Evaluation of the completeness of the epidemiological surveillance systems for malaria by the capture-<strong>recapture</strong> system <strong>in</strong> the French armies <strong>in</strong> l994]. Trop Med Int Health 1997; 2: 433-9. 16. Barat LM, Barnett BJ, Smol<strong>in</strong>ski MS et al. Evaluation of malaria surveillance us<strong>in</strong>g retrospective, laboratory-based active case detection <strong>in</strong> four southwestern states, 1995. Am J Trop Med Hyg 1999; 60: 910- 4. 17. Fienberg SE. The multiple-<strong>recapture</strong> census for closed populations and the 2 k <strong>in</strong>complete cont<strong>in</strong>gency table. Biometrika 1972; 59: 591-603. 18. Bishop YMM, Fienberg SE, Holland PW. Discrete multivariate analysis. Cambridge: MIT-Press, 1975. 19. Hook EB, Regal RR. <strong>Capture</strong>-<strong>recapture</strong> methods <strong>in</strong> epidemiology: methods and limitations. Epidemiol Rev 1995; 17: 243-63. 20. LaPorte RE, Dearwater SR, Chang YF, Songer TJ, Aaron DJ, Anderson RL, Olsen T. Efficiency and accuracy of disease monitor<strong>in</strong>g systems: application of capture-<strong>recapture</strong> methods to <strong>in</strong>jury monitor<strong>in</strong>g. Am J Epidemiol 1995; 142: 1069-77. 21. Wetsteyn JCFM, De Geus A. Falciparum malaria, imported <strong>in</strong>to the Netherlands, 1979-1988. I. Epidemiological aspects. Trop Geogr Med 1995; 47: 53-60. 22. Philips-Howard PA, Porter J, Behrens RH, Bradley DJ. Epidemic alert: malaria <strong>in</strong>fections <strong>in</strong> travellers from West Africa. Lancet 1990; 335: 119-120. 23. Kachur SP, Reller ME, Barber AM, Barat LM, Koumans EH, Parise ME, <strong>Rob</strong>ert J, Ruebush TK, Zucker JR. Malaria surveillance-United States, 1994. MMWR CDC Surveill Summ 1997; 46: 1-18. 24. Wetsteyn JCFM, Kager PA, Van Gool. The chang<strong>in</strong>g pattern of imported malaria <strong>in</strong> the Academic Medical Centre, Amsterdam. In: Wetsteyn JCFM. Imported malaria <strong>in</strong> the Netherlands, an un<strong>in</strong>vited guest (dissertation). Amsterdam: University of Amsterdam, 1993: pp. 117-133. 61
Chapter 4 25. Lambeth, Southwark and Lewisham Health Authority. The surveillance of communicable disease and non-<strong>in</strong>fectious environmental hazards <strong>in</strong> Lambeth, Southwark and Lewisham. London: Directorate of Health Policy and Public Health, 1996: 1996 <strong>Surveillance</strong> Report. 26. Bradley DJ, Warhurst DC. Malaria imported <strong>in</strong>to the United K<strong>in</strong>gdom dur<strong>in</strong>g 1991. Commun Dise Rep CDR Rev 1993; 3: R25-8. 27. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Summary of notifiable diseases United States 1996. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 1997; 45: 1-87. 28. Legros F, Fromage M, Ancelle T, Burg E, Danis M. Enquête nationale de recensement des cas de paludisme d’importation en France métropolita<strong>in</strong>e pour l’année 1997. Paris: Centre National de Référence pour les Maladies d’Importation (CNMRI), 1998; Bullet<strong>in</strong> No 14. 29. Davidson RN, Scott JA, Behrens RH, Warhurst D. Underreport<strong>in</strong>g of malaria, a notifiable disease <strong>in</strong> Brita<strong>in</strong>. J Infect 1993; 26: 348-9. 30. Steffen R, Heuser R, Machler R, Bruppacher R, Naef U, Chen D, Hofman AM, Soma<strong>in</strong>i B. Malaria chemoprophylaxis among European tourists <strong>in</strong> tropical Africa: use, adverse reactions, and efficacy. Bull World Health Organ 1990; 68: 313-22. 31. Cormack RM. Logl<strong>in</strong>ear models for capture-<strong>recapture</strong> experiments <strong>in</strong> open populations. In: Hiorns RW, Cooke D, eds. The mathematical theory of the dynamics of biological populations II. London: Academic Press, 1981. 62
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9 Estimating the coverage of tuberc
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Introduction Estimating targeted mo
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Estimating targeted mobile tubercul
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Estimating targeted mobile tubercul
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Estimating targeted mobile tubercul
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References Estimating targeted mobi
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10 Estimating infectious diseases i
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Introduction Estimating infectious
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Estimating infectious disease incid
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Study Disease and number of patient
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4. Gallay A, Vaillant V, Bouvet P,
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Discussion Estimating infectious di
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Estimating infectious disease incid
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Estimating infectious disease incid
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Estimating infectious disease incid
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Chapter 11 The aim of this thesis i
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Chapter 11 overestimation of the nu
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Summary Summary Surveillance is an
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Summary linkage of notification and
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Samenvatting Samenvatting Surveilla
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Acknowledgements Acknowledgements W
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Curriculum vitae Rob van Hest was b
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Publications This thesis Van Hest N