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Rob van Hest Capture-recapture Methods in Surveillance - RePub ...

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Disease Authors Objective Method Data-source Outcome<br />

Rocky Mounta<strong>in</strong> Paddock et al<br />

spotted fever<br />

(RMSF)<br />

51 To estimate the magnitude of fatal Two-source CRC 1. Reported cases of fatal RMSF An estimated 612 (95%CI 548-675) cases of<br />

RMSF and to evaluate the<br />

model<br />

2. Mortality records from national fatal RMSF were diagnosed between 1983completeness<br />

of report<strong>in</strong>g of<br />

centre for health statistics 1998. The completeness of report<strong>in</strong>g of fatal<br />

recognised RMSF deaths <strong>in</strong> the USA,<br />

RMSF and registration on death certificates was<br />

1983-1998<br />

estimated at 36.6% and 49.7% respectively<br />

The estimated sensitivities for the MHS were<br />

31% (95%CI 27-35%) and 15% (95%CI 14-<br />

18%) for syphilis and GO respectively aga<strong>in</strong>st<br />

64% (95%CI 56-71%) and 22% (95%CI 19-<br />

25%) for the NNS. The estimated sensitivities<br />

after record-l<strong>in</strong>kage were 76% and 34% for<br />

1. STD register at Municipal Health<br />

Services (MHS)<br />

2. Statutory notification by<br />

physicians (NNS)<br />

Two-source CRC<br />

model<br />

STD’sf Re<strong>in</strong>tjes et al52 To estimate the sensitivity of casef<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g<br />

of syphilis and gonorrhoea<br />

(GO) <strong>in</strong> two national STD<br />

surveillance systems <strong>in</strong> the<br />

Netherlands <strong>in</strong> 1995<br />

syphilis and GO respectively<br />

The neonatal group B streptococcal disease<br />

<strong>in</strong>cidence rate was estimated at 1.9 (95%CI 1.0-<br />

1. Active paediatric surveillance<br />

system<br />

2. Survey among readers of a<br />

national parent’s magaz<strong>in</strong>e<br />

Two-source CRC<br />

model<br />

To estimate the <strong>in</strong>cidence rate of<br />

neonatal group B streptococcal<br />

disease and completeness of an<br />

active paediatric surveillance system<br />

<strong>in</strong> the Netherlands, 1997-1998<br />

Trijbels-<br />

Smeulders et<br />

Streptococcal<br />

disease<br />

2.7) per 1000 live births. The completeness for<br />

neonatal group B streptococcal disease of the<br />

al 53<br />

active paediatric surveillance system was<br />

estimated at 47% (95%CI 33-90%)<br />

The estimated number of food-borne<br />

Salmonella outbreaks was 757, result<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> an<br />

estimated “case”-ascerta<strong>in</strong>ment of 94.6% after<br />

record-l<strong>in</strong>kage<br />

1. Public health notification system<br />

2. Veter<strong>in</strong>ary notification system<br />

3. National Salmonella and Shigella<br />

reference centre<br />

Three-source logl<strong>in</strong>ear<br />

CRC model<br />

Gallay et al54 To assess the number of food-borne<br />

Salmonella outbreaks <strong>in</strong> France <strong>in</strong><br />

1995<br />

Salmonella<br />

<strong>in</strong>fection

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