Rob van Hest Capture-recapture Methods in Surveillance - RePub ...

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5 Incidence and completeness of notification of Legionnaires' disease in the Netherlands: covariate capture-recapture analysis acknowledging geographical differences N.A.H. VAN HEST 1,2 , C.J.P.A. HOEBE 3 , J.W. DEN BOER 4 , J.K. VERMUNT 5 , E.P.F.IJZERMAN 6 , W.G. BOERSMA 7 and J.H. RICHARDUS 1,2 1 Department of Infectious Disease Control, Municipal Public Health Service Rotterdam-Rijnmond, Rotterdam 2 Department of Public Health, Erasmus MC, University Medical Centre Rotterdam, Rotterdam 3 Department of Infectious Diseases, South Limburg Public Health Service, Geleen 4 Department of Infectious Diseases and the Environment, Kennemerland Public Health Service, Haarlem 5 Department of Methodology and Statistics, Tilburg University, Tilburg 6 Regional Public Health Laboratory Kennermerland, Haarlem 7 Department of Pulmonary Diseases, Medical Centre Alkmaar, Alkmaar the Netherlands Epidemiol Infect (in press)
Chapter 5 Abstract To estimate incidence and completeness of notification of Legionnaires’ disease in the Netherlands in 2000 and 2001, we performed a capture-recapture analysis using three registers: Notifications, Laboratory results and Hospital admissions. After record-linkage, of the 780 Legionnaires’ disease patients identified 373 were notified. Ascertained undernotification was 52.2%. Because of expected and observed regional differences in the incidence rate of Legionnaires’ disease, alternatively to conventional log-linear capturerecapture models, a covariate (region) capture-recapture model, not previously used for estimating infectious disease incidence, was specified and estimated 886 Legionnaires’ disease patients (95% confidence interval (CI) 827-1022). Estimated under-notification was 57.9%. Notified, ascertained and estimated average annual incidence rates of Legionnaires’ disease were 1.15, 2.42 and 2.77 per 100 000 inhabitants respectively, with the highest incidence in the southern region of the Netherlands. Covariate capturerecapture analysis acknowledging regional differences of Legionnaires’ disease incidence appears to reduce bias in the estimated national incidence rate. 64
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Capture-recapture Methods in Survei
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Colofon Capture-recapture methods i
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Promotiecommissie Promotor: Prof.dr
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Contents Page 1 Introduction 9 2 Me
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Chapter 1 1.1 Assessing completenes
Page 13 and 14: Chapter 1 94% among AIDS patients w
Page 15 and 16: Table 1.1 Objectives, methods, data
Page 17 and 18: Researchers Objective Method Data-s
Page 19 and 20: Chapter 1 source capture-recapture
Page 21 and 22: Chapter 1 32. Bradley BL, Kerr KM,
Page 24 and 25: 2 Methodology of capture-recapture
Page 26 and 27: Methodology of capture-recapture an
Page 36: Methodology of capture-recapture an
Page 39 and 40: Chapter 3 3.1 Application of captur
Page 41 and 42: Table 3.1 Published capture-recaptu
Page 43 and 44: Disease Authors Objective Method Da
Page 49 and 50: Chapter 3 3.3 References 1. Hook EB
Page 51 and 52: Chapter 3 52. Reintjes R, Termorshu
Page 53 and 54: Chapter 4 Abstract The aim of this
Page 55 and 56: Chapter 4 Methods Nearly all Dutch
Page 57 and 58: Chapter 4 Table 4.2 The number of m
Page 59 and 60: Chapter 4 diagnosis. Other patients
Page 61 and 62: Chapter 4 stratify the population i
Page 63: Chapter 4 25. Lambeth, Southwark an
Page 67 and 68: Chapter 5 patients. Capture-recaptu
Page 69 and 70: Chapter 5 Figure 5.1 Four regions o
Page 71 and 72: Chapter 5 Hospital records From 385
Page 73 and 74: Chapter 5 Table 5.1 Epidemiological
Page 75 and 76: Table 5.2 Number and proportion of
Page 77 and 78: Chapter 5 cautious about the associ
Page 79 and 80: Chapter 5 Incidence of community-ac
Page 81 and 82: Chapter 6 Abstract The aim of this
Page 83 and 84: Chapter 6 3. Hospitalised patients
Page 85 and 86: Chapter 6 Record-linkage of all 537
Page 87 and 88: Chapter 6 Figure 6.1 Schematic view
Page 89 and 90: Chapter 6 Table 6.2 Total and strat
Page 91 and 92: Chapter 6 administrative discrepanc
Page 93 and 94: Chapter 6 the patients, and complet
Page 96 and 97: 7 Undetected burden of tuberculosis
Page 98 and 99: Introduction Underreporting of tube
Page 100 and 101: Underreporting of tuberculosis in t
Page 102 and 103: Table 7.1 Total and subset numbers
Page 104 and 105: Table 7.2 Capture-recapture estimat
Page 106 and 107: Underreporting of tuberculosis in t
Page 108: Underreporting of tuberculosis in t
Page 111 and 112: Chapter 8 Abstract In 1999 the Enha
Page 113 and 114: Chapter 8 bacteriological confirmat
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Chapter 8 Results Table 8.1 shows t
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Table 8.3 Annual and overall observ
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Table 8.4 Annual and overall estima
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Chapter 8 interaction however, i.e.
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Chapter 8 shows that observed under
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9 Estimating the coverage of tuberc
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Introduction Estimating targeted mo
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Estimating targeted mobile tubercul
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References Estimating targeted mobi
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10 Estimating infectious diseases i
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Introduction Estimating infectious
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Estimating infectious disease incid
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Study Disease and number of patient
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4. Gallay A, Vaillant V, Bouvet P,
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Table 10.3 Comparison of the variou
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Discussion Estimating infectious di
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Chapter 11 The aim of this thesis i
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Chapter 11 overestimation of the nu
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Chapter 11 clinicians to the Public
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Chapter 11 operation with the chest
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Chapter 11 of the proportion of fal
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Chapter 11 Question 3: What is the
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Chapter 11 11.2 Some findings of th
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Chapter 11 • To improve timelines
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Summary Summary Surveillance is an
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Summary linkage of notification and
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Samenvatting Samenvatting Surveilla
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Samenvatting subgroepen binnen de b
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Acknowledgements Acknowledgements W
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Curriculum vitae Rob van Hest was b
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Publications This thesis Van Hest N
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