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The Potential for Scale and Sustainability in Weather Index Insurance

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THE POTENTIAL FOR SCALE AND SUSTAINABILITY IN WEATHER INDEX INSURANCE<br />

FOR AGRICULTURE AND RURAL LIVELIHOODS<br />

a very small portion of the risk on their books <strong>and</strong> depend<strong>in</strong>g on re<strong>in</strong>surance companies to<br />

validate pric<strong>in</strong>g, the ability to <strong>in</strong>sure small deals is severely restricted. This <strong>in</strong>stigates a<br />

vicious circle <strong>in</strong> which the programmes cannot be exp<strong>and</strong>ed without re<strong>in</strong>surance support<br />

<strong>and</strong>, <strong>in</strong> turn, there is no re<strong>in</strong>surance support because the programmes are not sizable.<br />

<strong>Weather</strong> <strong>in</strong>surance programmes <strong>in</strong> the country are small to beg<strong>in</strong> with, <strong>and</strong> they exp<strong>and</strong><br />

gradually, with farmers test<strong>in</strong>g the concept <strong>and</strong> gradually endors<strong>in</strong>g it over time. In addition,<br />

most re<strong>in</strong>surers require the sales process to end 10 days prior to the risk <strong>in</strong>ception date.<br />

However, <strong>in</strong>dex <strong>in</strong>surance cannot work with policies older than 30 days.<br />

<strong>The</strong> lack of pric<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> underwrit<strong>in</strong>g skills further deters development of the local<br />

re<strong>in</strong>surance market <strong>and</strong> limits the retention capacity of the <strong>in</strong>surer. S<strong>in</strong>ce coverage is<br />

voluntary, the number of enrolled farmers may vary significantly from one season to the next<br />

<strong>and</strong> may represent a small value of total premium <strong>in</strong> the <strong>in</strong>surance market. As a<br />

consequence, those re<strong>in</strong>surance companies that enter the market load the premium, ow<strong>in</strong>g<br />

to lack of reliable data on a real-time basis.<br />

In answer to these current restrictions, better designed products <strong>and</strong> a larger number of<br />

<strong>in</strong>dex <strong>in</strong>surance participants would encourage more re<strong>in</strong>surance companies to jo<strong>in</strong> the<br />

market, promot<strong>in</strong>g lower rates. Public <strong>and</strong> private <strong>in</strong>surers <strong>in</strong> the country could jo<strong>in</strong> a<br />

common plat<strong>for</strong>m <strong>in</strong> which they pool spare underwrit<strong>in</strong>g capacity, as has happened <strong>in</strong><br />

some other countries. However, a neutral <strong>and</strong> credible <strong>in</strong>stitution is needed to br<strong>in</strong>g all the<br />

<strong>in</strong>surers together <strong>in</strong> agreement. <strong>The</strong> M<strong>in</strong>istry of Agriculture could play this role with technical<br />

support from a multilateral <strong>in</strong>stitution. In the meantime, there is a proposal that a<br />

cont<strong>in</strong>gency fund be created by pool<strong>in</strong>g resources from the Government <strong>and</strong> other<br />

agencies. This cont<strong>in</strong>gency fund could support programmes <strong>for</strong> marg<strong>in</strong>al farmers <strong>in</strong> a<br />

community mutual <strong>in</strong>surance <strong>for</strong>mat. WRMS, which is a stakeholder <strong>in</strong> the ICICI-PepsiCo<br />

programme, estimates that one million more small farmers could be served with a<br />

cont<strong>in</strong>gency fund of US$3-4 million (expected to last 8-10 years be<strong>for</strong>e reserves allow the<br />

programme to reach self-sufficiency). This fund could be used to target farmers <strong>in</strong> areas<br />

with <strong>in</strong>adequate historical data availability.<br />

Adaptability of <strong>in</strong>dex <strong>in</strong>surance<br />

Once the proposed improvements to NAIS are <strong>in</strong>troduced <strong>and</strong> prove to be effective, it is<br />

possible that it could seem a more comprehensive <strong>and</strong> farmer-friendly product. Thus <strong>in</strong>dex<br />

<strong>in</strong>surance may have to consider ways to become more competitive with NAIS.<br />

<strong>Insurance</strong> Programmes – Public<br />

History<br />

<strong>The</strong> Agriculture <strong>Insurance</strong> Company of India (AIC) is a government-founded, public <strong>in</strong>surance<br />

company set up <strong>in</strong> 2003 with the responsibility of design<strong>in</strong>g appropriate crop <strong>in</strong>surance<br />

products to meet the diverse needs of the farm<strong>in</strong>g sector. 38 Its first role was to take over<br />

implementation of NAIS. Although a new body <strong>in</strong> name, it had almost 30 years of experience<br />

<strong>in</strong> crop <strong>in</strong>surance, as it was created out of the Crop <strong>Insurance</strong> Department of General<br />

<strong>Insurance</strong> Corporation of India (GIC), the sole entity adm<strong>in</strong>ister<strong>in</strong>g crop <strong>in</strong>surance s<strong>in</strong>ce 1973.<br />

38 www.aicof<strong>in</strong>dia.org.<br />

ANNEX<br />

111

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