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The Potential for Scale and Sustainability in Weather Index Insurance

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THE POTENTIAL FOR SCALE AND SUSTAINABILITY IN WEATHER INDEX INSURANCE<br />

FOR AGRICULTURE AND RURAL LIVELIHOODS<br />

Case Study 6<br />

Forage Ra<strong>in</strong>fall Plan<br />

<strong>in</strong> Ontario, Canada<br />

Context<br />

Primary agriculture (crop <strong>and</strong> animal production) accounts <strong>for</strong> some 8.7 per cent of<br />

Ontario’s GDP. Nearly half the prov<strong>in</strong>ce’s agricultural activity is related to <strong>for</strong>age, with<br />

753,681 ha of pasture <strong>and</strong> 1,037,062 ha of hay l<strong>and</strong>, which together account <strong>for</strong> 33 per cent<br />

of total farm l<strong>and</strong>. Forage production is the foundation of Ontario’s beef <strong>and</strong> dairy <strong>in</strong>dustries.<br />

<strong>The</strong> value of <strong>for</strong>age <strong>for</strong> agriculture <strong>in</strong> Ontario was estimated at 746 million Canadian dollars<br />

(C$) (US$697 million) <strong>in</strong> 2007, mak<strong>in</strong>g it the second largest crop produced <strong>in</strong> Ontario<br />

after corn. 42<br />

<strong>The</strong> average annual yield of <strong>for</strong>age crop is about 2.70 tons/acre <strong>in</strong> Canada. 43 Seasonal<br />

<strong>for</strong>age yields vary across Ontario <strong>and</strong> over time, depend<strong>in</strong>g on ra<strong>in</strong>fall. One half to two thirds<br />

of the total yield is typically from the first cut. Yield variability <strong>in</strong> the first cut ranges from<br />

25 per cent below to 20 per cent above the average first-cut yield. In years of drought,<br />

second- <strong>and</strong> third-cut yields are more valuable than the first cut, but <strong>in</strong> extremely dry areas,<br />

there may not be enough growth to have a second cut. Dry weather dur<strong>in</strong>g the pasture<br />

‘summer slump’ can quickly <strong>for</strong>ce farmers to use up their stored <strong>for</strong>age supplies.<br />

In 1998, Ontario experienced lower than average precipitation <strong>and</strong> low water levels.<br />

Dur<strong>in</strong>g the spr<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> summer of 1999, south-western <strong>and</strong> eastern Ontario experienced<br />

an extended period of low ra<strong>in</strong>fall. Traditionally, Ontario farmers cope with <strong>for</strong>age losses by<br />

rotational graz<strong>in</strong>g, supplement<strong>in</strong>g pastures with hay, restrict<strong>in</strong>g livestock to a paddock with<br />

full feed, <strong>and</strong> the use of corn silage. However, <strong>in</strong> 2000 the Ontario prov<strong>in</strong>cial government<br />

<strong>in</strong>itiated a Forage Pilot programme to protect producers from the f<strong>in</strong>ancial consequences<br />

of <strong>for</strong>age production decreases due to drought.<br />

42 In February 2010, US$1 = C$1.07.<br />

43 1 acre = 0.405 ha.<br />

ANNEX<br />

121

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