BİLDİRİ KİTABI

AYDIN İKTİSAT FAKÜLTESİ
Effect of the Syrian Crisis on International Tourism of Antalya: The Case of EU Countries
Abstract
The tourism sector is very sensitive against terror and violence issues. In most of theoretical
and empirical studies in the literature, this sensitivity were taken into account. In this study, the
effects of the Syrian crisis on international tourism demand to Antalya from EU countries were
investigated for 2013 and subsequent years. In this context, number of tourist arrivals to Antalya
from EU countries were dealt with by time series intervention analysis method over the period
1996Q1 - 2015Q4. The essential reason of the investigation of the year 2013 and subsequent
years is that the Syrian crisis, which began with small demonstrations by effect of the Arab
Spring in March 2011, started to affect negatively to Turkey in 2013. At the end of the study,
the effect of Syrian crisis on the numbers of tourists coming to Antalya were determined for
each EU countries.
Keywords: Tourism, time series analysis, EU, Turkey, Syrian crisis
Jel Codes: C22, C51, E24, H26
844