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Environmental Statement - Maersk Oil

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6 ‐ 10<br />

Balloch Field Development <strong>Environmental</strong> <strong>Statement</strong><br />

Figure 6‐3 Shoreline summary outputs for a well blowout at subsea.<br />

Blowout ‐ subsea release<br />

Section 6 Accidental Spills<br />

Probability of oil reaching shoreline<br />

Max. Shoreline Shetland Orkney UK main. Norway Faeroes Min time to beach 20.7 days<br />

probability (%) 1‐10 % 1‐10 % 1‐10 % 30‐40 % 0%<br />

Maximum mass oil beached 1,986 tonnes Max. mass emulsion beached 9,930 tonnes<br />

% of scenarios<br />

100%<br />

90%<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

62°00'N<br />

60°00'N<br />

58°00'N<br />

56°00'N<br />

5°00'W<br />

5°00'W<br />

200 km<br />

0°00'E<br />

0°00'E<br />

0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500<br />

Mass of oil beaching (tonnes)<br />

5°00'E<br />

5°00'E<br />

Mass reaching shore distribution (tonnes) Time to reach shore distribution<br />

<strong>Oil</strong> to shore statistics<br />

10°00'E<br />

Statistical Map: Shoreline: Probability of contamination [%]<br />

% of scenarios<br />

100%<br />

90%<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

10°00'E<br />

62°00'N<br />

60°00'N<br />

58°00'N<br />

56°00'N<br />

0 50 100 150<br />

Time ashore (days)

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