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of their wealth in a more liquid form than previously. In other words, the<br />

dem<strong>and</strong> for money will increase.<br />

Friedman’s dem<strong>and</strong> for money function<br />

Putting all this together, we arrive at Friedman’s 1970 version of his revised<br />

quantity theory: 11<br />

where:<br />

THE THEORY OF THE DEMAND FOR MONEY 123<br />

Md/P = f [Yp, w; i m, i b, i e, (1/P).dP e/dt, u]<br />

...5.27<br />

• P is the price level. It is included because the dem<strong>and</strong> for money is a<br />

dem<strong>and</strong> for real balances <strong>and</strong> a change in P changes the real value of money<br />

holdings. Thus, P is positively related to Md.<br />

• Yp is permanent income, introduced as a proxy for wealth because of the<br />

difficulties involved in measuring wealth. As in Friedman’s consumption<br />

theory, permanent income was taken as an exponentially weighted average<br />

of past <strong>and</strong> current levels of income. Yp is positively related to the dem<strong>and</strong><br />

for money.<br />

• w is non-human wealth/wealth <strong>and</strong> is negatively related to the dem<strong>and</strong> for<br />

money.<br />

• im is the rate of return on money <strong>its</strong>elf <strong>and</strong> is positively related to the<br />

dem<strong>and</strong> for money.<br />

• ib is the rate of return on bonds, abstracting from the possibility of capital<br />

gains <strong>and</strong> losses. It is negatively related to the dem<strong>and</strong> for money.<br />

• ie is the rate of return on equities, abstracting from the effects on equity<br />

prices of changes in interest rates <strong>and</strong> the rate of inflation. It is negatively<br />

related to the dem<strong>and</strong> for money.<br />

• (1/P).dPe/dt is the expected rate of inflation, included as the rate of return<br />

on real assets. It is also negatively related to the dem<strong>and</strong> for money. Note<br />

that the dem<strong>and</strong> for money is positively related to the price level, but negatively<br />

related to the expected rate of inflation.<br />

• u is a portmanteau symbol st<strong>and</strong>ing for other variables affecting the utility<br />

attached to the services of money <strong>and</strong> also includes tastes <strong>and</strong> preferences.<br />

It may be either negatively or positively related to the dem<strong>and</strong> for<br />

money.<br />

The rates of return in the above equation are expected variables.<br />

Although we have indicated the likely signs to be attached to the variables

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