22.05.2013 Views

bain_y_howells__monetary_economics__policy_and_its_theoretical_basis

bain_y_howells__monetary_economics__policy_and_its_theoretical_basis

bain_y_howells__monetary_economics__policy_and_its_theoretical_basis

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles

YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.

44 MONETARY ECONOMICS<br />

ized by the M3/PSL2 distinction) became unsustainable <strong>and</strong> so M4 developed<br />

alongside M3 as a rival broad money aggregate. The same Act<br />

enabled building societies to convert to plc status, in other words to become<br />

banks. When the Abbey National Building Society did so in June 1989, this<br />

produced a sharp upward break in all those series (excluding NIBM1),<br />

which contained only bank depos<strong>its</strong>. From July 1989, therefore, M3 was<br />

discontinued <strong>and</strong> building society depos<strong>its</strong> became officially, as many holders<br />

had regarded them for years unofficially, ‘money’. NIBM1 survived<br />

until 1991 because it was unaffected, the Abbey National Building Society<br />

having virtually no non-interest-bearing depos<strong>its</strong>.<br />

1991 also saw major changes in the recording <strong>and</strong> classification of liquid<br />

(non-money) assets. Part of the revision involved discontinuing the<br />

publication of M4c <strong>and</strong> transferring the foreign currency component to M5.<br />

But the assets in M5 <strong>its</strong>elf were dramatically supplemented to include,<br />

amongst other items, UK-owned off-shore sterling depos<strong>its</strong>; the overseas<br />

sector’s holdings of sterling depos<strong>its</strong> (in the UK <strong>and</strong> offshore); UK-owned<br />

commercial paper, short-dated gilts <strong>and</strong>, reminiscent of a suggestion first<br />

made over sixty years ago by J M Keynes, unused sterling credit facilities<br />

such as agreed (but unused) overdraft agreements.<br />

The traditional approach to defining money, as Table 2.1 shows, involves<br />

identifying an appropriate subset of financial assets. Measuring the quantity<br />

of money then involves the simple aggregation of all those assets in the<br />

subset at their nominal value. While this may be an obvious (<strong>and</strong> straightforward)<br />

approach it suffers from both a <strong>theoretical</strong> <strong>and</strong> an empirical weakness.<br />

At the <strong>theoretical</strong> level, simple aggregation implies that we are dealing<br />

with homogeneous assets. We seem to be saying, for example, that from<br />

a <strong>monetary</strong> point of view, £1bn of CDs is the same as £1bn of notes <strong>and</strong><br />

coin. The mere fact that CDs pay interest while notes <strong>and</strong> coin do not, however,<br />

indicates some degree of differentiation since otherwise no one would<br />

hold notes <strong>and</strong> coin. At the empirical level, as we saw in Section 1.3, economists<br />

are usually interested in the closeness of the relationship between a<br />

<strong>monetary</strong> aggregate <strong>and</strong> income. This is likely to increase with the extent<br />

to which the aggregate is dominated by assets used for transactions. As we<br />

also saw in 1.3, however, it is difficult to know exactly where to draw the<br />

line between whole classes of assets for this purpose. Notes <strong>and</strong> coin <strong>and</strong><br />

sight depos<strong>its</strong> are all perfectly liquid <strong>and</strong> are obvious transactions media but<br />

we know that time depos<strong>its</strong> can be switched to sight depos<strong>its</strong> quickly <strong>and</strong><br />

cheaply <strong>and</strong> that other, apparently less liquid, assets have sufficient liquidity<br />

that they could still be relevant to transactions, albeit to a lesser degree.<br />

The Divisia approach involves weighting each of the component assets

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!