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bain_y_howells__monetary_economics__policy_and_its_theoretical_basis

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In fact, even though each approach offers a different range of insights <strong>and</strong><br />

highlights different features of the <strong>monetary</strong> system as being significant, it<br />

is possible to reconcile the two approaches. Indeed it is perfectly possible<br />

to analyse money supply changes or flows by using an identity which features<br />

the <strong>monetary</strong> base while one could, if one were so inclined, analyse<br />

the existing stock of money in terms of the amount of lending. Each<br />

approach is, strictly speaking, agnostic as regards the underlying behavioural<br />

characteristics of the <strong>monetary</strong> system, but each furnishes insights<br />

which are more relevant to a certain type of regime <strong>and</strong> has thus become<br />

associated with it. We shall see more of this in a moment, but let us firstly<br />

see that the two approaches are formally equivalent.<br />

Pause for thought 3.5:<br />

The B-M approach consists of a statement about the <strong>monetary</strong> base <strong>and</strong><br />

two behavioural relations (see 3.6). We can write the FoF approach in<br />

exactly the same terms if we remember that the <strong>monetary</strong> base consists of<br />

cash held by the non-bank public (Cp) together with bank lending to the<br />

public sector in the form of reserve assets (Db + Cb). (See endnote 2 for<br />

this treatment of bank reserves). Bank lending to the public sector in the<br />

form of reserve assets must be equal to total bank lending to the public sector<br />

minus bank holdings of non-reserve assets (e.g. bank holdings of government<br />

bonds, Gb). So (in changes):<br />

∆B ≡∆Cp + (∆Lg −∆Gb)<br />

<strong>and</strong>, substituting 3.16 <strong>and</strong> rearranging:<br />

∆B ≡∆Cp −∆Gb + (PSBR −∆Gp ± ∆ext − ∆Cp )<br />

From 3.18 <strong>and</strong> 3.20 we can obtain:<br />

∆M ≡∆B + ∆Gb + ∆BLp<br />

THE MONEY SUPPLY PROCESS 67<br />

Using the FoF approach, explain the likely effect on the rate of <strong>monetary</strong> expansion<br />

of a central bank’s decision to raise interest rates. (Compare your answer with your<br />

reaction to PfT 3.2).<br />

...3.19<br />

...3.20<br />

...3.21<br />

What 3.21 shows is that we can make control of changes in the money<br />

stock appear to depend upon control of the base together with two behavioural<br />

relationships, in this case the banks’ dem<strong>and</strong> for government debt<br />

(∆Gb) <strong>and</strong> lending to the non-bank private sector (∆Lp), almost as easily as

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